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Live 11 UTC
J2 League Round 16 Sunday, 8 November 2026 Kick-off
Tochigi CityHomeLDDLL
Sun 8 Nov
Omiya ArdijaAwayWLLDW
322345
Tochigi City winDrawOmiya Ardija win
Kick-off
Sun 8 Nov
Expected goals
3.22
1.45 : 1.77
Favourite
45%
Omiya Ardija
Over 2.5 goals
63%
model chance
Both teams to score
64%
model chance
Prices compared
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awaiting lines

Tochigi City vs Omiya Ardija odds comparison

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.

77%

Our prediction

Tochigi City or Omiya Ardija (no draw)
StrongExpected goals 1.45 : 1.77
1.30fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
63% chance1.60fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
64% chance1.57fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
83% chance1.20fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance9.71fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Omiya Ardija, full-time Omiya Ardija
28% chance3.58fair
First halfFirst-half goal
77% chance1.31fair

Tochigi City vs Omiya Ardija prediction

Tochigi City vs Omiya Ardija prediction, who wins and at what price

The Tochigi City vs Omiya Ardija prediction leans to Omiya Ardija: 45% against 32% for Tochigi City, with 23% left for the draw, in the J2 League on Sunday, 8 November 2026.

The goal expectancy is 3.22 in total, split 1.45 to Tochigi City and 1.77 to Omiya Ardija. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 63% and both teams to score 64%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is tochigi City or Omiya Ardija (no draw) at 77%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.

Form check: Tochigi City have won 0 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 10 conceded, Omiya Ardija 2 of 5 scoring 8 and conceding 9.

Tochigi City vs Omiya Ardija over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 83%, over 2.5 at 63%, over 3.5 at 40%; under 2.5 is 38% and under 3.5 is 60%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 63%.

BTTS yes stands at 64%. Tochigi City score in 77% of simulations against a 24% clean sheet for Omiya Ardija; Omiya Ardija score in 83% while Tochigi City shut them out 17% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 64%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10.3%, followed by 1-2 (9.1%) and 2-1 (7.4%).

With the top scoreline at 10.3%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Tochigi City vs Omiya Ardija; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Omiya Ardija, full-time Omiya Ardija leads at 28%. A goal before the break is rated 77%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Tochigi City vs Omiya Ardija

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 32% / 23% / 45% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Tochigi City to win32%fair 3.14
Draw23%fair 4.35
Omiya Ardija to win45%fair 2.21
Tochigi City, draw no bet41%fair 2.42
Omiya Ardija, draw no bet59%fair 1.70

Double chance

Tochigi City or draw55%fair 1.82
Omiya Ardija or draw68%fair 1.47
Tochigi City or Omiya Ardija (no draw)77%fair 1.30

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals83%fair 1.20
Over 2.5 goals63%fair 1.60
Over 3.5 goals40%fair 2.49
Over 4.5 goals22%fair 4.48
Under 1.5 goals17%fair 5.92
Under 2.5 goals38%fair 2.67
Under 3.5 goals60%fair 1.67

BTTS

Both teams to score64%fair 1.57
Not both teams to score37%fair 2.74

Halves

First-half goal77%fair 1.31
Over 1.5 first-half goals43%fair 2.35
Second-half goal83%fair 1.20

Team goals

Tochigi City to score77%fair 1.31
Omiya Ardija to score83%fair 1.20
Tochigi City clean sheet17%fair 5.88
Omiya Ardija clean sheet24%fair 4.26
Tochigi City to win to nil16%fair 6.37
Omiya Ardija to win to nil22%fair 4.63

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-110.3%
1-29.1%
2-17.4%
0-17.1%
2-26.6%
0-26.3%

Half-time / full-time

Omiya Ardija / Omiya Ardija27.9%
Tochigi City / Tochigi City18.6%
Draw / Omiya Ardija14.3%
Draw / Draw12.3%
Draw / Tochigi City10.7%

Questions about Tochigi City vs Omiya Ardija

Who is favourite in Tochigi City vs Omiya Ardija?

The model gives Omiya Ardija the best chance at 45%, with the draw at 23%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What scoreline is most likely in Tochigi City vs Omiya Ardija?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 63% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Tochigi City vs Omiya Ardija?

The BTTS yes line is rated 64%. Tochigi City find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Omiya Ardija in 83%.

When do Tochigi City play Omiya Ardija?

Tochigi City vs Omiya Ardija starts at 05:00 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Tochigi City v Omiya ArdijaTochigi City or Omiya Ardija (no draw), 77%
1.30fair