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Live 6 UTC
J2 League Round 16 Saturday, 7 November 2026 Kick-off
Albirex NiigataHomeDLWWL
Sat 7 Nov
ImabariAwayWDLLD
532225
Albirex Niigata winDrawImabari win
Kick-off
Sat 7 Nov
Expected goals
3.25
1.96 : 1.29
Favourite
53%
Albirex Niigata
Over 2.5 goals
63%
model chance
Both teams to score
62%
model chance
Prices compared
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awaiting lines

Albirex Niigata vs Imabari betting odds by bookmaker

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.

53%

Our prediction

Albirex Niigata to win
StrongExpected goals 1.96 : 1.29
1.88fair
Double chanceAlbirex Niigata or Imabari (no draw)
78% chance1.28fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
63% chance1.59fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
62% chance1.61fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
84% chance1.20fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance10.20fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Albirex Niigata, full-time Albirex Niigata
34% chance2.99fair

Albirex Niigata vs Imabari prediction

Albirex Niigata vs Imabari prediction, who wins and at what price

Albirex Niigata vs Imabari prediction for the J2 League on Saturday, 7 November 2026: the model makes Albirex Niigata a narrow favourite at 53%, with the draw at 22% and Imabari at 25%.

Expected goals are 1.96 for Albirex Niigata and 1.29 for Imabari, a total of 3.25, which puts over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 62%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is albirex Niigata to win at 53%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.

Albirex Niigata or Imabari (no draw) is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 78% chance.

With the draw down at 22%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Form check: Albirex Niigata have won 2 of their last 5 with 8 scored and 11 conceded, Imabari 1 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 9.

Goals forecast for Albirex Niigata vs Imabari with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 84%, over 2.5 at 63%, over 3.5 at 41%; under 2.5 is 37% and under 3.5 is 59%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 63%.

The chance of both teams scoring is 62%, built from Albirex Niigata scoring in 86% of runs and Imabari in 73%; clean sheets come at 28% for Albirex Niigata and 14% for Imabari.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Albirex Niigata vs Imabari: 1-1 (9.8%), 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (7.6%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.8% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Albirex Niigata, full-time Albirex Niigata leads at 34%. A goal before the break is rated 77%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Albirex Niigata vs Imabari

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Albirex Niigata vs Imabari, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Albirex Niigata to win53%fair 1.88
Draw22%fair 4.57
Imabari to win25%fair 4.02
Albirex Niigata, draw no bet68%fair 1.47
Imabari, draw no bet32%fair 3.13

Double chance

Albirex Niigata or draw75%fair 1.33
Imabari or draw47%fair 2.14
Albirex Niigata or Imabari (no draw)78%fair 1.28

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals84%fair 1.20
Over 2.5 goals63%fair 1.59
Over 3.5 goals41%fair 2.44
Over 4.5 goals23%fair 4.39
Under 1.5 goals17%fair 6.06
Under 2.5 goals37%fair 2.69
Under 3.5 goals59%fair 1.69

BTTS

Both teams to score62%fair 1.61
Not both teams to score38%fair 2.64

Halves

First-half goal77%fair 1.30
Over 1.5 first-half goals43%fair 2.33
Second-half goal83%fair 1.20

Team goals

Albirex Niigata to score86%fair 1.16
Imabari to score73%fair 1.38
Albirex Niigata clean sheet28%fair 3.64
Imabari clean sheet14%fair 7.09
Albirex Niigata to win to nil25%fair 3.95
Imabari to win to nil13%fair 7.69

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-19.8%
2-19.6%
1-07.6%
2-07.4%
1-26.3%
3-16.3%

Half-time / full-time

Albirex Niigata / Albirex Niigata33.5%
Draw / Albirex Niigata16.1%
Imabari / Imabari14.4%
Draw / Draw11.8%
Draw / Imabari8.7%

Questions about Albirex Niigata vs Imabari

Albirex Niigata or Imabari: which side does the model back?

The model gives Albirex Niigata the best chance at 53%, with the draw at 22%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

Albirex Niigata vs Imabari correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 63% backs the same picture with less variance.

Albirex Niigata vs Imabari both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 62%. Albirex Niigata find the net in 86% of simulated matches and Imabari in 73%.

What time does Albirex Niigata vs Imabari kick off?

Kick-off is 05:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Albirex Niigata v ImabariAlbirex Niigata to win, 53%
1.88fair