J2 League
Jubilo IwataHomeLDDDW
2:0Half-time 0:0
Sagan TosuAwayWLWLL372934
Jubilo Iwata winDrawSagan Tosu win
Jubilo IwataHomeLDDDWSagan TosuAwayWLWLL- Kick-off Sat 31 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.47 1.26 : 1.21
- Favourite
- 37% Jubilo Iwata
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 52% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Best odds for Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.42 | 3.16 | 2.57 | 1.98 | 1.71 | 1.76 | 1.94 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.55 | 3.20 | 2.75 | 2.11 | 1.73 | 1.82 | 1.93 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.50 | 3.10 | 2.74 | 1.99 | 1.74 | 1.72 | 1.95 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.55 | 3.20 | 2.75 | 2.11 | 1.73 | 1.82 | 1.93 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.55 | 3.20 | 2.75 | 2.11 | 1.73 | 1.82 | 1.93 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Jubilo Iwata to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu are 2.55 for Jubilo Iwata at Melbet, 3.20 for the draw at Melbet and 2.75 for Sagan Tosu at Melbet.
The best-price payout across the three results is 93.4%, several points better than any single book offers here.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.11 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.74 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.82 (Melbet) and no 1.95 (BC.Game).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
71%
Our prediction
Jubilo Iwata or Sagan Tosu (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
55% chance1.74
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.82
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
71% chance1.42fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.75fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Jubilo Iwata, full-time Jubilo Iwata
22% chance4.57fair
First halfFirst-half goal
67% chance1.49fair
Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu prediction
Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu prediction, who wins and at what price
The Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. J2 League on Saturday, 31 October 2026 gives Jubilo Iwata a 37% chance, Sagan Tosu 34% and the draw 29%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.
The goal expectancy is 2.47 in total, split 1.26 to Jubilo Iwata and 1.21 to Sagan Tosu. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 45% and both teams to score 52%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu is jubilo Iwata or Sagan Tosu (no draw), a 71% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.32 at Betwinner, which implies 76%, so the model sits 4 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Jubilo Iwata average 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 5, Sagan Tosu 1.0 and 1.4 across 5.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 71%, over 2.5 at 45%, over 3.5 at 24%; under 2.5 is 55% and under 3.5 is 76%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 55%; BC.Game pay 1.74.
BTTS yes stands at 52%. Jubilo Iwata score in 72% of simulations against a 28% clean sheet for Sagan Tosu; Sagan Tosu score in 70% while Jubilo Iwata shut them out 30% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu: 1-1 (12.9%), 1-0 (10.7%) and 0-1 (10.2%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Jubilo Iwata, full-time Jubilo Iwata leads at 22%. A goal before the break is rated 67%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu
The grid built from 1.26 and 1.21 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Jubilo Iwata to win37%2.55
Draw29%3.20
Sagan Tosu to win34%2.75
Jubilo Iwata, draw no bet52%fair 1.92
Sagan Tosu, draw no bet48%fair 2.09
Double chance
Jubilo Iwata or draw66%1.42
Sagan Tosu or draw63%1.48
Jubilo Iwata or Sagan Tosu (no draw)71%1.32
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals71%fair 1.42
Over 2.5 goals45%2.11
Over 3.5 goals24%fair 4.24
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 9.52
Under 1.5 goals29%fair 3.40
Under 2.5 goals55%1.74
Under 3.5 goals76%fair 1.31
BTTS
Both teams to score52%1.82
Not both teams to score49%1.95
Halves
First-half goal67%fair 1.49
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.28
Second-half goal74%fair 1.35
Team goals
Jubilo Iwata to score72%fair 1.40
Sagan Tosu to score70%fair 1.42
Jubilo Iwata clean sheet30%fair 3.36
Sagan Tosu clean sheet28%fair 3.52
Jubilo Iwata to win to nil27%fair 3.65
Sagan Tosu to win to nil26%fair 3.83
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-112.9%
1-010.7%
0-110.2%
0-08.5%
2-18.1%
1-27.8%
Half-time / full-time
Jubilo Iwata / Jubilo Iwata21.9%
Sagan Tosu / Sagan Tosu20.3%
Draw / Draw17.1%
Draw / Jubilo Iwata13.7%
Draw / Sagan Tosu13%
Questions about Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu
Who is favourite in Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu?
The model gives Jubilo Iwata the best chance at 37%, with the draw at 29%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What scoreline is most likely in Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 45%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu?
The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Jubilo Iwata find the net in 72% of simulated matches and Sagan Tosu in 70%.
When do Jubilo Iwata play Sagan Tosu?
Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu starts at 05:00 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.