Albinoleffe vs Pergolettese prediction

Albinoleffe vs Pergolettese prediction, who wins and at what price

Albinoleffe vs Pergolettese prediction for the Serie C - Girone A on Friday, 30 October 2026: the model makes Albinoleffe marginally ahead at 44%, with the draw at 31% and Pergolettese at 26%.

Expected goals are 1.34 for Albinoleffe and 0.98 for Pergolettese, a total of 2.32, which puts over 2.5 goals at 41% and both teams to score at 48%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Albinoleffe vs Pergolettese is albinoleffe or draw, a 74% chance. At 1.27 with 22Bet the market prices it at 79%, against 74% from the model.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Albinoleffe vs Pergolettese.

The draw is live at 31%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.

Form check: Albinoleffe have won 2 of their last 5 with 9 scored and 8 conceded, Pergolettese 3 of 5 scoring 11 and conceding 9.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Albinoleffe vs Pergolettese

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 67%, over 2.5 at 41%, over 3.5 at 21%; under 2.5 is 59% and under 3.5 is 80%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 59%, best priced 1.64 at BC.Game.

BTTS yes stands at 48%. Albinoleffe score in 74% of simulations against a 26% clean sheet for Pergolettese; Pergolettese score in 63% while Albinoleffe shut them out 38% of the time.

Correct score: 1-0 leads at 13.2%, then 1-1 at 12.9% and 0-0 at 9.8%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Albinoleffe, full-time Albinoleffe is the top combination at 27%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 65%.