Liga Leumit
Maccabi Kiryat GatHomeLDDDL
2:2Half-time 0:1
Maccabi Ahi NazarethAwayWLDWW492625
Maccabi Kiryat Gat winDrawMaccabi Ahi Nazareth win
Maccabi Kiryat GatHomeLDDDLMaccabi Ahi NazarethAwayWLDWW- Kick-off Fri 23 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.72 1.61 : 1.11
- Favourite
- 49% Maccabi Kiryat Gat
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 55% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.84 | 3.46 | 3.61 | 1.76 | 1.92 | 1.66 | 2.05 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Maccabi Kiryat Gat to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth are 1.84 for Maccabi Kiryat Gat at 1xBet, 3.46 for the draw at 1xBet and 3.61 for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth at 1xBet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.1%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.76 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.92 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.66 (1xBet) and no 2.05 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
74%
Our prediction
Maccabi Kiryat Gat or draw
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
51% chance1.76
BTTSBoth teams to score
55% chance1.66
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
76% chance1.32fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.47fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Maccabi Kiryat Gat, full-time Maccabi Kiryat Gat
30% chance3.34fair
First halfFirst-half goal
71% chance1.42fair
Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth prediction
Our Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth prediction and pick
Maccabi Kiryat Gat are a narrow favourite in the Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth prediction, rated 49% to win this Liga Leumit match on Friday, 23 October 2026. Maccabi Ahi Nazareth sit at 26% and the draw at 26%.
Expected goals are 1.61 for Maccabi Kiryat Gat and 1.11 for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth, a total of 2.72, which puts over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth is maccabi Kiryat Gat or draw, a 74% chance. At 1.20 with 1xBet the market prices it at 83%, against 74% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Maccabi Kiryat Gat average 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across their last 5, Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 2.0 and 2.2 across 5.
Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
On the goal lines Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth reads 76% for over 1.5, 51% for over 2.5 and 29% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 49%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 51%, best priced 1.76 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 55%: Maccabi Kiryat Gat find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Maccabi Ahi Nazareth in 67%. Maccabi Kiryat Gat keep a clean sheet 33% of the time and Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 20%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth: 1-1 (11.8%), 1-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.5%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.8% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Maccabi Kiryat Gat, full-time Maccabi Kiryat Gat leads at 30%. A goal before the break is rated 71%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 49% / 26% / 26% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Maccabi Kiryat Gat to win49%1.84
Draw26%3.46
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth to win26%3.61
Maccabi Kiryat Gat, draw no bet66%fair 1.53
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth, draw no bet35%fair 2.90
Double chance
Maccabi Kiryat Gat or draw74%1.20
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth or draw52%1.77
Maccabi Kiryat Gat or Maccabi Ahi Nazareth (no draw)74%1.22
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals76%fair 1.32
Over 2.5 goals51%1.76
Over 3.5 goals29%fair 3.45
Over 4.5 goals14%fair 7.14
Under 1.5 goals25%fair 4.08
Under 2.5 goals49%1.92
Under 3.5 goals71%fair 1.41
BTTS
Both teams to score55%1.66
Not both teams to score45%2.05
Halves
First-half goal71%fair 1.42
Over 1.5 first-half goals35%fair 2.89
Second-half goal78%fair 1.29
Team goals
Maccabi Kiryat Gat to score80%fair 1.25
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth to score67%fair 1.49
Maccabi Kiryat Gat clean sheet33%fair 3.03
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth clean sheet20%fair 5.00
Maccabi Kiryat Gat to win to nil30%fair 3.30
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth to win to nil18%fair 5.43
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.8%
1-010.6%
2-19.5%
2-08.5%
0-17.3%
0-06.6%
Half-time / full-time
Maccabi Kiryat Gat / Maccabi Kiryat Gat29.9%
Draw / Maccabi Kiryat Gat16.4%
Draw / Draw14.9%
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth / Maccabi Ahi Nazareth14.8%
Draw / Maccabi Ahi Nazareth9.8%
Questions about Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Who will win Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
The model gives Maccabi Kiryat Gat the best chance at 49%, with the draw at 26%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What scoreline is most likely in Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 51%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
The BTTS yes line is rated 55%. Maccabi Kiryat Gat find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Maccabi Ahi Nazareth in 67%.
When do Maccabi Kiryat Gat play Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth starts at 13:00 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.