Liga Leumit
Hapoel AfulaHomeWDLWW
1:0Half-time 0:0
Maccabi Kiryat GatAwayLDDDL422632
Hapoel Afula winDrawMaccabi Kiryat Gat win
Hapoel AfulaHomeWDLWWMaccabi Kiryat GatAwayLDDDL- Kick-off Fri 30 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.65 1.43 : 1.22
- Favourite
- 42% Hapoel Afula
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 56% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.17 | 3.36 | 2.85 | 1.81 | 1.86 | 1.66 | 2.05 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.01 | 3.46 | 3.10 | 1.73 | 1.95 | 1.61 | 2.13 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.00 | 3.55 | 3.15 | 1.75 | 1.99 | 1.61 | 2.08 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.01 | 3.46 | 3.10 | 1.73 | 1.95 | 1.61 | 2.13 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.01 | 3.46 | 3.10 | 1.73 | 1.95 | 1.61 | 2.13 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Hapoel Afula to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Hapoel Afula price at 2.17, BC.Game lead the draw at 3.55 and BC.Game have Maccabi Kiryat Gat longest at 3.15.
The best-price payout across the three results is 94.3%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.81 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.99 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.66 (1xBet) and no 2.13 (22Bet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
74%
Our prediction
Hapoel Afula or Maccabi Kiryat Gat (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
52% chance1.99
BTTSBoth teams to score
56% chance1.66
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
74% chance1.35fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.13fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Hapoel Afula, full-time Hapoel Afula
25% chance4.02fair
First halfFirst-half goal
70% chance1.43fair
Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat prediction
Our Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat prediction and pick
Hapoel Afula host Maccabi Kiryat Gat on Friday, 30 October 2026 in the Liga Leumit, and the model has Hapoel Afula at 42%, the draw at 26% and Maccabi Kiryat Gat at 32%: that is the Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat prediction in one line.
The goal expectancy is 2.65 in total, split 1.43 to Hapoel Afula and 1.22 to Maccabi Kiryat Gat. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 48% and both teams to score 56%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat is hapoel Afula or Maccabi Kiryat Gat (no draw), a 74% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.23 at 1xBet, which implies 81%, so the model sits 7 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Over the last 5 matches Hapoel Afula stand at 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Maccabi Kiryat Gat show 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 74%, over 2.5 at 48%, over 3.5 at 28%; under 2.5 is 52% and under 3.5 is 73%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 52%, best priced 1.99 at BC.Game.
BTTS yes stands at 56%. Hapoel Afula score in 76% of simulations against a 24% clean sheet for Maccabi Kiryat Gat; Maccabi Kiryat Gat score in 71% while Hapoel Afula shut them out 30% of the time.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.3%, then 1-0 at 10.1% and 2-1 at 8.8%.
With the top scoreline at 12.3%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Hapoel Afula, full-time Hapoel Afula leads at 25%. A goal before the break is rated 70%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat
The grid built from 1.43 and 1.22 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Hapoel Afula to win42%2.17
Draw26%3.55
Maccabi Kiryat Gat to win32%3.15
Hapoel Afula, draw no bet57%fair 1.77
Maccabi Kiryat Gat, draw no bet44%fair 2.30
Double chance
Hapoel Afula or draw68%1.32
Maccabi Kiryat Gat or draw58%1.67
Hapoel Afula or Maccabi Kiryat Gat (no draw)74%1.23
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals74%fair 1.35
Over 2.5 goals48%1.81
Over 3.5 goals28%fair 3.64
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 7.69
Under 1.5 goals26%fair 3.88
Under 2.5 goals52%1.99
Under 3.5 goals73%fair 1.38
BTTS
Both teams to score56%1.66
Not both teams to score44%2.13
Halves
First-half goal70%fair 1.43
Over 1.5 first-half goals34%fair 2.99
Second-half goal77%fair 1.30
Team goals
Hapoel Afula to score76%fair 1.31
Maccabi Kiryat Gat to score71%fair 1.42
Hapoel Afula clean sheet30%fair 3.39
Maccabi Kiryat Gat clean sheet24%fair 4.18
Hapoel Afula to win to nil27%fair 3.68
Maccabi Kiryat Gat to win to nil22%fair 4.55
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.3%
1-010.1%
2-18.8%
0-18.6%
1-27.5%
2-07.2%
Half-time / full-time
Hapoel Afula / Hapoel Afula24.9%
Maccabi Kiryat Gat / Maccabi Kiryat Gat18.5%
Draw / Draw15.7%
Draw / Hapoel Afula14.6%
Draw / Maccabi Kiryat Gat11.7%
Questions about Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat
Who will win Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat?
The model gives Hapoel Afula the best chance at 42%, with the draw at 26%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.3%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 48%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat?
The BTTS yes line is rated 56%. Hapoel Afula find the net in 76% of simulated matches and Maccabi Kiryat Gat in 71%.
When is Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat and where is the result shown?
Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat starts at 13:00 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.