Liga Leumit predictions for every fixture

Liga Leumit predictions for the coming round

Liga Leumit predictions cover 12 of the next 12 fixtures. 0 of them already carry bookmaker prices. On an average fixture in this round the model makes the favourite a 49% chance, the draw 24%, over 2.5 goals 59% and BTTS 60%.

Expected goals average 3.09 a match, so the goal lines open above 2.5 for most of the round. Home sides are favoured in 5 of the 12 rated fixtures. 1 pick reaches banker grade, which needs a chance of 80% or more.

The strongest Liga Leumit pick of the round is over 1.5 goals in Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa v Hapoel Kfar Saba on Mon 2 Nov, rated 82%.

No Liga Leumit pick in this round clears the 3% edge bar against the best price, so the value page lists nothing from this competition today. The picks below stand on probability alone.

Each row on the board shows the three-way bar, the pick in green and the best price. The match pages print every market, the six most likely scores and the full Liga Leumit odds table.

Liga Leumit results and trends, last 60 days

The last 68 Liga Leumit matches of the past 60 days produced 25 home wins, 16 draws and 27 away wins. That is a home win rate of 37% and a draw rate of 24%.

Goals averaged 3.00 a match, 1.51 for the home side and 1.49 for the visitors. Over 2.5 goals landed in 59% of matches and over 1.5 in 74%. Both teams scored in 53%, and at least one side kept a clean sheet in 47%.

The highest-scoring match in the window was Hapoel Ra'anana 6-1 Hapoel Kfar Saba on Sun 6 Sep.

The model rates over 2.5 at 59% for the coming round against a 59% strike rate in these results, so the two readings agree.

The results block under the board lists each match with the final score, the half-time score and the pick that was frozen before kick-off, so the trend can be checked line by line.

How the Liga Leumit tips have gone

The Liga Leumit record starts with the first settled matchday. 32 tips for this competition are already frozen: the 1X2 or double chance line, over 1.5 and over 2.5 goals, both teams to score, the correct score, the half-time/full-time call and the first-half goal line for every rated match inside 40 hours of kick-off.

Once a round has been played, the hit rate, the flat-stake return and the best-performing market for the competition appear in this block. The same figures are broken down by market on the results pages, where every graded tip is listed with its chance and price.

A frozen tip cannot be edited or withdrawn after the freeze, so the Liga Leumit record reads the same way as the site-wide one: what was published, then what came in.

Liga Leumit odds comparison

Bookmakers have priced 4 of the coming Liga Leumit fixtures, with a median of 5 prices per outcome on a typical match. Taking the best price on each 1X2 outcome pays 92.4% of stakes across the round, against 90.1% at an average single bookmaker.

That gap of 2.3 points is what the comparison saves before any pick is made. Every match page lists each bookmaker's 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS lines with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link.

The edge printed beside a pick compares the model chance with that best price. The value bets page collects the largest gaps across every competition and the banker page the highest chances, with Liga Leumit rows included whenever they qualify.