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Liga Leumit Round 11 Friday, 23 October 2026 FT
Kafr QasimHomeLLLWL
0:1Half-time 0:0
AshdodAwayWWDWW
172261
Kafr Qasim winDrawAshdod win
Kick-off
Fri 23 Oct
Expected goals
3.00
0.99 : 2.01
Favourite
61%
Ashdod
Over 2.5 goals
57%
model chance
Both teams to score
55%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Kafr Qasim vs Ashdod odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet5.393.841.511.612.131.662.05Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Ashdod to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Kafr Qasim vs Ashdod are 5.39 for Kafr Qasim at 1xBet, 3.84 for the draw at 1xBet and 1.51 for Ashdod at 1xBet.

The best-price payout across the three results is 90.2%, several points better than any single book offers here.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.61 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.13 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.66 (1xBet) and no 2.05 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

61%

Our prediction

Ashdod to win
StrongExpected goals 0.99 : 2.01-8.3% against the best price
Double chanceAshdod or draw
83% chance1.08
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
57% chance1.61
BTTSBoth teams to score
55% chance1.66
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.25fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-2
10% chance9.90fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Ashdod, full-time Ashdod
39% chance2.54fair

Kafr Qasim vs Ashdod prediction

Kafr Qasim vs Ashdod prediction, who wins and at what price

The Kafr Qasim vs Ashdod prediction leans to Ashdod: 61% against 17% for Kafr Qasim, with 22% left for the draw, in the Liga Leumit on Friday, 23 October 2026.

The goal expectancy is 3.00 in total, split 0.99 to Kafr Qasim and 2.01 to Ashdod. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 57% and both teams to score 55%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Ashdod to win is the main selection, rated 61%. At 1.51 with 1xBet the market prices it at 66%, against 61% from the model.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Kafr Qasim vs Ashdod.

Ashdod or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 83% chance, priced 1.08.

With the draw down at 22%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Kafr Qasim average 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded across their last 5, Ashdod 2.0 and 1.0 across 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Kafr Qasim vs Ashdod

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 80%, over 2.5 at 57%, over 3.5 at 35%; under 2.5 is 43% and under 3.5 is 65%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 57%, best priced 1.61 at 1xBet.

BTTS yes stands at 55%. Kafr Qasim score in 63% of simulations against a 37% clean sheet for Ashdod; Ashdod score in 87% while Kafr Qasim shut them out 13% of the time.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Kafr Qasim vs Ashdod: 0-2 (10.1%), 0-1 (10%) and 1-2 (10%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.1% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Ashdod, full-time Ashdod is the top combination at 39%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 74%.

Every market for Kafr Qasim vs Ashdod

The grid built from 0.99 and 2.01 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Kafr Qasim to win17%5.39
Draw22%3.84
Ashdod to win61%1.51
Kafr Qasim, draw no bet22%fair 4.48
Ashdod, draw no bet78%fair 1.29

Double chance

Kafr Qasim or draw39%2.24
Ashdod or draw83%1.08
Kafr Qasim or Ashdod (no draw)78%1.18

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.25
Over 2.5 goals57%1.61
Over 3.5 goals35%fair 2.83
Over 4.5 goals19%fair 5.41
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 5.03
Under 2.5 goals43%2.13
Under 3.5 goals65%fair 1.55

BTTS

Both teams to score55%1.66
Not both teams to score45%2.05

Halves

First-half goal74%fair 1.35
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.56
Second-half goal81%fair 1.24

Team goals

Kafr Qasim to score63%fair 1.59
Ashdod to score87%fair 1.15
Kafr Qasim clean sheet13%fair 7.46
Ashdod clean sheet37%fair 2.69
Kafr Qasim to win to nil12%fair 8.13
Ashdod to win to nil34%fair 2.92

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

0-210.1%
0-110%
1-210%
1-19.9%
0-36.7%
1-36.7%

Half-time / full-time

Ashdod / Ashdod39.4%
Draw / Ashdod18.5%
Draw / Draw12.2%
Kafr Qasim / Kafr Qasim9.9%
Draw / Kafr Qasim6.8%

Questions about Kafr Qasim vs Ashdod

Kafr Qasim or Ashdod: which side does the model back?

The model gives Ashdod the best chance at 61%, with the draw at 22%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

Kafr Qasim vs Ashdod correct score: what does the model say?

0-2 is the most likely scoreline at 10.1%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 57% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Kafr Qasim vs Ashdod?

The BTTS yes line is rated 55%. Kafr Qasim find the net in 63% of simulated matches and Ashdod in 87%.

What time does Kafr Qasim vs Ashdod kick off?

Kick-off is 13:00 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Kafr Qasim v AshdodAshdod to win, 61%
1.51Bet