Liga Leumit
Kiryat Yam SCHomeWDWLW
Fri 6 Nov
AshdodAwayWWDWW262153
Kiryat Yam SC winDrawAshdod win
Kiryat Yam SCHomeWDWLWAshdodAwayWWDWW- Kick-off Fri 6 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.58 1.45 : 2.13
- Favourite
- 53% Ashdod
- Over 2.5 goals
- 69% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 67% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Best odds for Kiryat Yam SC vs Ashdod
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
Bookmakers have not opened Kiryat Yam SC vs Ashdod yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.
53%
Our prediction
Ashdod to win
1.88fair
Double chanceKiryat Yam SC or Ashdod (no draw)
79% chance1.26fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
69% chance1.45fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
67% chance1.48fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
87% chance1.15fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-2
9% chance10.87fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Ashdod, full-time Ashdod
34% chance2.94fair
Kiryat Yam SC vs Ashdod prediction
Our Kiryat Yam SC vs Ashdod prediction and pick
Ashdod are a narrow favourite in the Kiryat Yam SC vs Ashdod prediction, rated 53% to win this Liga Leumit match on Friday, 6 November 2026. Kiryat Yam SC sit at 26% and the draw at 21%.
Expected goals are 1.45 for Kiryat Yam SC and 2.13 for Ashdod, a total of 3.58, which puts over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams to score at 67%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Kiryat Yam SC vs Ashdod is ashdod to win, a 53% chance. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.
For a safer line, kiryat Yam SC or Ashdod (no draw) covers 79% of outcomes.
The draw sits at only 21%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Kiryat Yam SC average 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across their last 5, Ashdod 2.0 and 1.0 across 5.
Kiryat Yam SC vs Ashdod over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
On the goal lines Kiryat Yam SC vs Ashdod reads 87% for over 1.5, 69% for over 2.5 and 48% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 31%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 69%.
BTTS yes stands at 67%. Kiryat Yam SC score in 77% of simulations against a 24% clean sheet for Ashdod; Ashdod score in 88% while Kiryat Yam SC shut them out 12% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 67%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Kiryat Yam SC vs Ashdod: 1-2 (9.2%), 1-1 (8.6%) and 2-2 (6.6%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Ashdod, full-time Ashdod leads at 34%. A goal before the break is rated 80%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Kiryat Yam SC vs Ashdod
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 26% / 21% / 53% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Kiryat Yam SC to win26%fair 3.85
Draw21%fair 4.78
Ashdod to win53%fair 1.88
Kiryat Yam SC, draw no bet33%fair 3.04
Ashdod, draw no bet67%fair 1.49
Double chance
Kiryat Yam SC or draw47%fair 2.13
Ashdod or draw74%fair 1.35
Kiryat Yam SC or Ashdod (no draw)79%fair 1.26
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals87%fair 1.15
Over 2.5 goals69%fair 1.45
Over 3.5 goals48%fair 2.08
Over 4.5 goals29%fair 3.45
Under 1.5 goals13%fair 7.81
Under 2.5 goals31%fair 3.25
Under 3.5 goals52%fair 1.92
BTTS
Both teams to score67%fair 1.48
Not both teams to score33%fair 3.07
Halves
First-half goal80%fair 1.25
Over 1.5 first-half goals48%fair 2.09
Second-half goal86%fair 1.16
Team goals
Kiryat Yam SC to score77%fair 1.31
Ashdod to score88%fair 1.14
Kiryat Yam SC clean sheet12%fair 8.40
Ashdod clean sheet24%fair 4.26
Kiryat Yam SC to win to nil11%fair 9.17
Ashdod to win to nil22%fair 4.63
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-29.2%
1-18.6%
2-26.6%
1-36.5%
0-26.3%
2-16.2%
Half-time / full-time
Ashdod / Ashdod34%
Draw / Ashdod15.4%
Kiryat Yam SC / Kiryat Yam SC15.1%
Draw / Draw10.5%
Draw / Kiryat Yam SC8.6%
Questions about Kiryat Yam SC vs Ashdod
Kiryat Yam SC or Ashdod: which side does the model back?
The model gives Ashdod the best chance at 53%, with the draw at 21%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What is the correct score prediction for Kiryat Yam SC vs Ashdod?
1-2 is the most likely scoreline at 9.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 69%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Kiryat Yam SC vs Ashdod both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 67%. Kiryat Yam SC find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Ashdod in 88%.
When do Kiryat Yam SC play Ashdod?
Kiryat Yam SC vs Ashdod starts at 13:00 UTC on Friday, 6 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.