2. Bundesliga
VfL OsnabrückHomeDDLWL
3:0Half-time 2:0
SpVgg Greuther FürthAwayDLWLW462529
VfL Osnabrück winDrawSpVgg Greuther Fürth win
VfL OsnabrückHomeDDLWLSpVgg Greuther FürthAwayDLWLW- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.12 1.75 : 1.37
- Favourite
- 46% VfL Osnabrück
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 62% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.10 | 3.62 | 3.16 | 1.59 | 2.27 | 1.50 | 2.42 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.20 | 3.68 | 3.06 | 1.74 | 2.09 | 1.65 | 2.25 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.16 | 3.50 | 3.05 | 1.67 | 2.10 | 1.56 | 2.26 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.20 | 3.68 | 3.06 | 1.74 | 2.09 | 1.65 | 2.25 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.20 | 3.68 | 3.06 | 1.74 | 2.09 | 1.65 | 2.25 | Bet |
 Stake | 2.19 | 3.60 | 3.10 | 1.63 | 2.20 | 1.55 | 2.30 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
VfL Osnabrück to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth prediction: VfL Osnabrück 2.20 (22Bet), draw 3.68 (22Bet), SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3.16 (1xBet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 95.9%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.74 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 2.27 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.65 (Melbet) and no 2.42 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
75%
Our prediction
VfL Osnabrück or SpVgg Greuther Fürth (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
60% chance1.74
BTTSBoth teams to score
62% chance1.65
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
82% chance1.22fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.43fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time VfL Osnabrück, full-time VfL Osnabrück
29% chance3.50fair
First halfFirst-half goal
75% chance1.33fair
VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth prediction
VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth prediction and best bet
VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth prediction for the 2. Bundesliga on Sunday, 25 October 2026: the model makes VfL Osnabrück marginally ahead at 46%, with the draw at 25% and SpVgg Greuther Fürth at 29%.
Expected goals are 1.75 for VfL Osnabrück and 1.37 for SpVgg Greuther Fürth, a total of 3.12, which puts over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 62%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is vfL Osnabrück or SpVgg Greuther Fürth (no draw) at 75%. The best price in our comparison is 1.28 at Melbet, which implies 78%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
Form check: VfL Osnabrück have won 1 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 6 conceded, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2 of 5 scoring 5 and conceding 6.
VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
On the goal lines VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth reads 82% for over 1.5, 60% for over 2.5 and 38% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 40%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 60%, best priced 1.74 at Betwinner.
BTTS yes stands at 62%. VfL Osnabrück score in 83% of simulations against a 17% clean sheet for SpVgg Greuther Fürth; SpVgg Greuther Fürth score in 75% while VfL Osnabrück shut them out 25% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10.6%, followed by 2-1 (9.3%) and 1-0 (7.7%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time VfL Osnabrück, full-time VfL Osnabrück is the top combination at 29%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 75%.
All markets, VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 46% / 25% / 29% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
VfL Osnabrück to win46%2.20
Draw25%3.68
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win29%3.16
VfL Osnabrück, draw no bet61%fair 1.64
SpVgg Greuther Fürth, draw no bet39%fair 2.56
Double chance
VfL Osnabrück or draw71%1.38
SpVgg Greuther Fürth or draw54%1.69
VfL Osnabrück or SpVgg Greuther Fürth (no draw)75%1.28
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals82%fair 1.22
Over 2.5 goals60%1.74
Over 3.5 goals38%fair 2.63
Over 4.5 goals21%fair 4.88
Under 1.5 goals18%fair 5.49
Under 2.5 goals40%2.27
Under 3.5 goals62%fair 1.61
BTTS
Both teams to score62%1.65
Not both teams to score38%2.42
Halves
First-half goal75%fair 1.33
Over 1.5 first-half goals41%fair 2.44
Second-half goal82%fair 1.22
Team goals
VfL Osnabrück to score83%fair 1.21
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to score75%fair 1.34
VfL Osnabrück clean sheet25%fair 3.94
SpVgg Greuther Fürth clean sheet17%fair 5.75
VfL Osnabrück to win to nil23%fair 4.27
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win to nil16%fair 6.25
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110.6%
2-19.3%
1-07.7%
1-27.3%
2-06.8%
2-26.3%
Half-time / full-time
VfL Osnabrück / VfL Osnabrück28.6%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth / SpVgg Greuther Fürth17.6%
Draw / VfL Osnabrück14.8%
Draw / Draw12.8%
Draw / SpVgg Greuther Fürth10.4%
Questions about VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Who will win VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
The model gives VfL Osnabrück the best chance at 46%, with the draw at 25%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.6%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 60% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
The BTTS yes line is rated 62%. VfL Osnabrück find the net in 83% of simulated matches and SpVgg Greuther Fürth in 75%.
What time does VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth kick off?
VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth starts at 12:30 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.