Champions League
Matchday 3 Wednesday, 21 October 2026
FT
LilleHomeLDLDW
2:4Half-time 2:2
GalatasarayAwayLWWWW382834
Lille winDrawGalatasaray win
Champions League
Matchday 3 Wednesday, 21 October 2026
FT
LilleHomeLDLDWGalatasarayAwayLWWWW- Kick-off Wed 21 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.03 1.55 : 1.48
- Favourite
- 38% Lille
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 63% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Lille vs Galatasaray odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.56 | 3.60 | 2.88 | 1.72 | 2.31 | 1.51 | 2.42 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Lille to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Lille vs Galatasaray are 2.56 for Lille at 1xBet, 3.60 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.88 for Galatasaray at 1xBet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 98.5%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.72 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.31 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.51 (1xBet) and no 2.42 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
72%
Our prediction
Lille or Galatasaray (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
58% chance1.72
BTTSBoth teams to score
63% chance1.51
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
81% chance1.24fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.01fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Lille, full-time Lille
24% chance4.24fair
First halfFirst-half goal
74% chance1.34fair
Lille vs Galatasaray prediction
Lille vs Galatasaray prediction and best bet
The Lille vs Galatasaray prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Champions League on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 gives Lille a 38% chance, Galatasaray 35% and the draw 28%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.
The goal expectancy is 3.03 in total, split 1.55 to Lille and 1.48 to Galatasaray. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 58% and both teams to score 63%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Lille or Galatasaray (no draw) is the main selection, rated 72%. The best price in our comparison is 1.36 at 1xBet, which implies 74%, so the model sits 1 points below the market.
Lille average 1.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded across their last 5, Galatasaray 2.4 and 1.4 across 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Lille vs Galatasaray
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 81%, over 2.5 at 58%, over 3.5 at 36%; under 2.5 is 43% and under 3.5 is 64%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 58%; 1xBet pay 1.72.
Both teams to score is 63%: Lille find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Galatasaray in 77%. Lille keep a clean sheet 23% of the time and Galatasaray 21%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 63%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Lille vs Galatasaray: 1-1 (11.1%), 2-1 (8.6%) and 1-2 (8.2%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.1% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Lille, full-time Lille leads at 24%. A goal before the break is rated 74%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Lille vs Galatasaray
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 38% / 28% / 35% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Lille to win38%2.56
Draw28%3.60
Galatasaray to win35%2.88
Lille, draw no bet52%fair 1.92
Galatasaray, draw no bet48%fair 2.09
Double chance
Lille or draw65%1.50
Galatasaray or draw62%1.60
Lille or Galatasaray (no draw)72%1.36
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals81%fair 1.24
Over 2.5 goals58%1.72
Over 3.5 goals36%fair 2.79
Over 4.5 goals19%fair 5.26
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 5.13
Under 2.5 goals43%2.31
Under 3.5 goals64%fair 1.56
BTTS
Both teams to score63%1.51
Not both teams to score37%2.42
Halves
First-half goal74%fair 1.34
Over 1.5 first-half goals40%fair 2.53
Second-half goal81%fair 1.23
Team goals
Lille to score79%fair 1.27
Galatasaray to score77%fair 1.30
Lille clean sheet23%fair 4.39
Galatasaray clean sheet21%fair 4.72
Lille to win to nil21%fair 4.78
Galatasaray to win to nil20%fair 5.13
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-111.1%
2-18.6%
1-28.2%
1-07.5%
0-17.2%
2-26.4%
Half-time / full-time
Lille / Lille23.6%
Galatasaray / Galatasaray21.6%
Draw / Draw13.4%
Draw / Lille13.2%
Draw / Galatasaray12.3%
Questions about Lille vs Galatasaray
Who will win Lille vs Galatasaray?
The model gives Lille the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 28%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in Lille vs Galatasaray?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.1%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 58% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Lille vs Galatasaray?
The BTTS yes line is rated 63%. Lille find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Galatasaray in 77%.
When is Lille vs Galatasaray and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 16:45 UTC on Wednesday, 21 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.