Conference League
Matchday 3 Thursday, 5 November 2026
Kick-off
MonacoHomeWLWDL
Thu 5 Nov
FC NordsjaellandAwayDDDWL681814
Monaco winDrawFC Nordsjaelland win
Conference League
Matchday 3 Thursday, 5 November 2026
Kick-off
MonacoHomeWLWDLFC NordsjaellandAwayDDDWL- Kick-off Thu 5 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.48 2.44 : 1.04
- Favourite
- 68% Monaco
- Over 2.5 goals
- 67% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 60% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Monaco vs FC Nordsjaelland odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.47 | 4.88 | 6.54 | 1.44 | 2.69 | 1.57 | 2.26 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.42 | 4.98 | 6.85 | 1.45 | 2.69 | 1.59 | 2.21 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.42 | 4.80 | 6.20 | 1.42 | 2.70 | 1.57 | 2.18 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.42 | 4.98 | 6.85 | 1.45 | 2.69 | 1.59 | 2.21 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.45 | 4.80 | 6.40 | 1.45 | 2.69 | 1.57 | 2.26 | Bet |
 Stake | 1.43 | 4.90 | 6.00 | - | - | 1.57 | 2.21 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Monaco to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Monaco vs FC Nordsjaelland are 1.47 for Monaco at 1xBet, 4.98 for the draw at 22Bet and 6.85 for FC Nordsjaelland at 22Bet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 97.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.45 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.70 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.59 (22Bet) and no 2.26 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
68%
Our prediction
Monaco to win
Double chanceMonaco or draw
86% chance1.13
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
67% chance1.45
BTTSBoth teams to score
60% chance1.59
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
86% chance1.16fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
10% chance10.53fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Monaco, full-time Monaco
46% chance2.17fair
Monaco vs FC Nordsjaelland prediction
Our Monaco vs FC Nordsjaelland prediction and pick
Monaco are the clear favourite in the Monaco vs FC Nordsjaelland prediction, rated 68% to win this Conference League match on Thursday, 5 November 2026. FC Nordsjaelland sit at 14% and the draw at 18%.
Expected goals are 2.44 for Monaco and 1.04 for FC Nordsjaelland, a total of 3.48, which puts over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams to score at 60%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is monaco to win at 68%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.47. That price implies 68%, 0 points over the model figure.
Monaco or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 86% chance, priced 1.13.
With the draw down at 18%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Monaco average 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 5, FC Nordsjaelland 1.8 and 1.8 across 5.
Goals forecast for Monaco vs FC Nordsjaelland with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 34% and under 3.5 54%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 86% and over 2.5 at 67%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 67%, best priced 1.45 at 22Bet.
Both teams to score is 60%: Monaco find the net in 91% of simulated matches and FC Nordsjaelland in 65%. Monaco keep a clean sheet 35% of the time and FC Nordsjaelland 9%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.
The most likely scoreline is 2-1 at 9.5%, followed by 2-0 (9.2%) and 1-1 (7.8%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.5% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Monaco, full-time Monaco is the top combination at 46%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 79%.
Every market rated for Monaco vs FC Nordsjaelland
The grid built from 2.44 and 1.04 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Monaco to win68%1.47
Draw18%4.98
FC Nordsjaelland to win14%6.85
Monaco, draw no bet83%fair 1.20
FC Nordsjaelland, draw no bet17%fair 5.88
Double chance
Monaco or draw86%1.13
FC Nordsjaelland or draw32%2.88
Monaco or FC Nordsjaelland (no draw)82%1.20
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals86%fair 1.16
Over 2.5 goals67%1.45
Over 3.5 goals46%fair 2.18
Over 4.5 goals27%fair 3.69
Under 1.5 goals14%fair 7.25
Under 2.5 goals34%2.70
Under 3.5 goals54%fair 1.85
BTTS
Both teams to score60%1.59
Not both teams to score40%2.26
Halves
First-half goal79%fair 1.26
Over 1.5 first-half goals46%fair 2.16
Second-half goal85%fair 1.17
Team goals
Monaco to score91%fair 1.10
FC Nordsjaelland to score65%fair 1.55
Monaco clean sheet35%fair 2.83
FC Nordsjaelland clean sheet9%fair 11.49
Monaco to win to nil33%fair 3.08
FC Nordsjaelland to win to nil8%fair 12.50
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-19.5%
2-09.2%
1-17.8%
3-17.8%
1-07.5%
3-07.5%
Half-time / full-time
Monaco / Monaco46%
Draw / Monaco18.4%
Draw / Draw9.4%
FC Nordsjaelland / FC Nordsjaelland7.9%
Draw / FC Nordsjaelland5.2%
Questions about Monaco vs FC Nordsjaelland
Monaco or FC Nordsjaelland: which side does the model back?
The model gives Monaco the best chance at 68%, with the draw at 18%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
Monaco vs FC Nordsjaelland correct score: what does the model say?
2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.5%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 67%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Monaco vs FC Nordsjaelland?
The BTTS yes line is rated 60%. Monaco find the net in 91% of simulated matches and FC Nordsjaelland in 65%.
When do Monaco play FC Nordsjaelland?
Kick-off is 20:00 UTC on Thursday, 5 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.