DBU Pokalen
RoskildeHomeL
1:2Half-time 0:0
AarhusAwayDDWWL121870
Roskilde winDrawAarhus win
RoskildeHomeLAarhusAwayDDWWL- Kick-off Wed 28 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.32 0.92 : 2.40
- Favourite
- 70% Aarhus
- Over 2.5 goals
- 64% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 55% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Best odds for Roskilde vs Aarhus
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 6.77 | 4.70 | 1.39 | 1.47 | 2.35 | 1.70 | 2.04 | Bet |
 22Bet | 5.73 | 4.99 | 1.44 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 1.75 | 2.01 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 6.40 | 4.70 | 1.40 | 1.51 | 2.42 | 1.68 | 2.00 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 5.94 | 4.95 | 1.43 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 1.75 | 2.01 | Bet |
 Melbet | 5.94 | 4.95 | 1.43 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 1.75 | 2.01 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Aarhus to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Roskilde price at 6.77, 22Bet lead the draw at 4.99 and 22Bet have Aarhus longest at 1.44.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 95.9%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.51 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 2.50 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.75 (Melbet) and no 2.04 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
70%
Our prediction
Aarhus to win
Double chanceAarhus or draw
88% chance1.12
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
64% chance1.51
BTTSBoth teams to score
55% chance1.75
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
84% chance1.18fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-2
10% chance9.62fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Aarhus, full-time Aarhus
48% chance2.11fair
Roskilde vs Aarhus prediction
Our Roskilde vs Aarhus prediction and pick
The Roskilde vs Aarhus prediction leans to Aarhus: 70% against 12% for Roskilde, with 18% left for the draw, in the DBU Pokalen on Wednesday, 28 October 2026.
Roskilde are expected to score 0.92 and Aarhus 2.40, so the total line is 3.32 goals; over 2.5 lands at 64% and BTTS at 55%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Roskilde vs Aarhus is aarhus to win, a 70% chance. At 1.44 with 22Bet the market prices it at 69%, against 70% from the model.
For a safer line, aarhus or draw covers 88% of outcomes at 1.12.
The draw sits at only 18%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Goals forecast for Roskilde vs Aarhus with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines Roskilde vs Aarhus reads 84% for over 1.5, 64% for over 2.5 and 42% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 36%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 64%; BC.Game pay 1.51.
Both teams to score is 55%: Roskilde find the net in 60% of simulated matches and Aarhus in 91%. Roskilde keep a clean sheet 9% of the time and Aarhus 40%.
The most likely scoreline is 0-2 at 10.4%, followed by 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-1 (8.7%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Aarhus, full-time Aarhus leads at 48%. A goal before the break is rated 78%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Roskilde vs Aarhus
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Roskilde vs Aarhus, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Roskilde to win12%6.77
Draw18%4.99
Aarhus to win70%1.44
Roskilde, draw no bet15%fair 6.67
Aarhus, draw no bet85%fair 1.18
Double chance
Roskilde or draw30%2.77
Aarhus or draw88%1.12
Roskilde or Aarhus (no draw)82%1.15
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals84%fair 1.18
Over 2.5 goals64%1.51
Over 3.5 goals42%fair 2.36
Over 4.5 goals24%fair 4.15
Under 1.5 goals16%fair 6.41
Under 2.5 goals36%2.50
Under 3.5 goals58%fair 1.74
BTTS
Both teams to score55%1.75
Not both teams to score45%2.04
Halves
First-half goal78%fair 1.29
Over 1.5 first-half goals44%fair 2.27
Second-half goal84%fair 1.19
Team goals
Roskilde to score60%fair 1.66
Aarhus to score91%fair 1.10
Roskilde clean sheet9%fair 10.99
Aarhus clean sheet40%fair 2.51
Roskilde to win to nil8%fair 12.05
Aarhus to win to nil37%fair 2.72
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
0-210.4%
1-29.6%
0-18.7%
0-38.3%
1-18%
1-37.7%
Half-time / full-time
Aarhus / Aarhus47.5%
Draw / Aarhus19.2%
Draw / Draw9.7%
Roskilde / Roskilde6.9%
Draw / Roskilde4.8%
Questions about Roskilde vs Aarhus
Roskilde or Aarhus: which side does the model back?
The model gives Aarhus the best chance at 70%, with the draw at 18%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
Roskilde vs Aarhus correct score: what does the model say?
0-2 is the most likely scoreline at 10.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 64% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Roskilde vs Aarhus?
The BTTS yes line is rated 55%. Roskilde find the net in 60% of simulated matches and Aarhus in 91%.
When do Roskilde play Aarhus?
Kick-off is 19:00 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.