Champions League
Matchday 4 Wednesday, 4 November 2026
Kick-off
FenerbahçeHomeLWDLL
Wed 4 Nov
LiverpoolAwayWWWDL192160
Fenerbahçe winDrawLiverpool win
Champions League
Matchday 4 Wednesday, 4 November 2026
Kick-off
FenerbahçeHomeLWDLLLiverpoolAwayWWWDL- Kick-off Wed 4 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.42 1.19 : 2.23
- Favourite
- 61% Liverpool
- Over 2.5 goals
- 66% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 63% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 5.23 | 4.57 | 1.65 | 1.49 | 2.61 | 1.52 | 2.40 | Bet |
 22Bet | 5.30 | 4.50 | 1.56 | 1.48 | 2.63 | 1.54 | 2.35 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 5.20 | 4.50 | 1.55 | 1.46 | 2.64 | 1.52 | 2.36 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 5.50 | 4.68 | 1.61 | 1.48 | 2.63 | 1.54 | 2.35 | Bet |
 Melbet | 5.50 | 4.68 | 1.61 | 1.48 | 2.63 | 1.54 | 2.35 | Bet |
 Stake | 5.20 | 4.60 | 1.51 | - | - | 1.55 | 2.25 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Liverpool to win partner prices
Betwinner pay the best Fenerbahçe price at 5.50, Betwinner lead the draw at 4.68 and 1xBet have Liverpool longest at 1.65.
The best-price payout across the three results is 99.8%, several points better than any single book offers here.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.49 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.64 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.55 (Stake) and no 2.40 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
61%
Our prediction
Liverpool to win
Double chanceLiverpool or draw
81% chance1.21
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
66% chance1.49
BTTSBoth teams to score
63% chance1.55
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
86% chance1.17fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-2
10% chance10.31fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Liverpool, full-time Liverpool
40% chance2.51fair
Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool prediction
Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool prediction and best bet
Fenerbahçe host Liverpool on Wednesday, 4 November 2026 in the Champions League, and the model has Liverpool at 61%, the draw at 21% and Fenerbahçe at 19%: that is the Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool prediction in one line.
The goal expectancy is 3.42 in total, split 1.19 to Fenerbahçe and 2.23 to Liverpool. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 66% and both teams to score 63%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool is liverpool to win, a 61% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.65 at 1xBet, which implies 61%, so the model sits 0 points below the market.
For a safer line, liverpool or draw covers 81% of outcomes at 1.21.
The draw sits at only 21%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Form check: Fenerbahçe have won 1 of their last 5 with 7 scored and 12 conceded, Liverpool 3 of 5 scoring 9 and conceding 6.
Goals forecast for Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool reads 86% for over 1.5, 66% for over 2.5 and 45% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 34%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 66%; 1xBet pay 1.49.
Both teams to score is 63%: Fenerbahçe find the net in 70% of simulated matches and Liverpool in 89%. Fenerbahçe keep a clean sheet 11% of the time and Liverpool 30%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 63%.
Correct score: 1-2 leads at 9.7%, then 1-1 at 8.7% and 0-2 at 8.1%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.7% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Liverpool, full-time Liverpool is the top combination at 40%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 79%.
Every market rated for Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 19% / 21% / 61% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Fenerbahçe to win19%5.50
Draw21%4.68
Liverpool to win61%1.65
Fenerbahçe, draw no bet24%fair 4.20
Liverpool, draw no bet76%fair 1.31
Double chance
Fenerbahçe or draw39%2.53
Liverpool or draw81%1.21
Fenerbahçe or Liverpool (no draw)80%1.25
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals86%fair 1.17
Over 2.5 goals66%1.49
Over 3.5 goals45%fair 2.24
Over 4.5 goals26%fair 3.86
Under 1.5 goals15%fair 6.90
Under 2.5 goals34%2.64
Under 3.5 goals55%fair 1.81
BTTS
Both teams to score63%1.55
Not both teams to score37%2.40
Halves
First-half goal79%fair 1.27
Over 1.5 first-half goals46%fair 2.20
Second-half goal85%fair 1.18
Team goals
Fenerbahçe to score70%fair 1.44
Liverpool to score89%fair 1.12
Fenerbahçe clean sheet11%fair 9.26
Liverpool clean sheet30%fair 3.29
Fenerbahçe to win to nil10%fair 10.10
Liverpool to win to nil28%fair 3.57
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-29.7%
1-18.7%
0-28.1%
0-17.3%
1-37.2%
0-36%
Half-time / full-time
Liverpool / Liverpool39.8%
Draw / Liverpool17.3%
Fenerbahçe / Fenerbahçe10.9%
Draw / Draw10.4%
Draw / Fenerbahçe6.9%
Questions about Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool
Fenerbahçe or Liverpool: which side does the model back?
The model gives Liverpool the best chance at 61%, with the draw at 21%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool correct score: what does the model say?
1-2 is the most likely scoreline at 9.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 66%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 63%. Fenerbahçe find the net in 70% of simulated matches and Liverpool in 89%.
When do Fenerbahçe play Liverpool?
Kick-off is 17:45 UTC on Wednesday, 4 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.