Champions League
Matchday 4 Wednesday, 4 November 2026
Kick-off
FC PortoHomeWLLWW
Wed 4 Nov
NapoliAwayLWDWL482527
FC Porto winDrawNapoli win
Champions League
Matchday 4 Wednesday, 4 November 2026
Kick-off
FC PortoHomeWLLWWNapoliAwayLWDWL- Kick-off Wed 4 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.95 1.71 : 1.24
- Favourite
- 48% FC Porto
- Over 2.5 goals
- 56% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 60% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
FC Porto vs Napoli odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.14 | 3.80 | 3.52 | 1.81 | 2.17 | 1.60 | 2.22 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.06 | 3.66 | 3.38 | 1.74 | 2.09 | 1.60 | 2.22 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.02 | 3.60 | 3.40 | 1.71 | 2.10 | 1.59 | 2.22 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.14 | 3.80 | 3.52 | 1.81 | 2.17 | 1.60 | 2.22 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.14 | 3.80 | 3.52 | 1.81 | 2.17 | 1.60 | 2.22 | Bet |
 Stake | 1.98 | 3.65 | 3.45 | 1.68 | 2.06 | 1.60 | 2.14 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
FC Porto to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for FC Porto vs Napoli are 2.14 for FC Porto at 1xBet, 3.80 for the draw at Melbet and 3.52 for Napoli at 1xBet.
The best-price payout across the three results is 98.6%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.81 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.17 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.60 (Melbet) and no 2.22 (Melbet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
75%
Our prediction
FC Porto or Napoli (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
56% chance1.81
BTTSBoth teams to score
60% chance1.60
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
79% chance1.26fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.01fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time FC Porto, full-time FC Porto
30% chance3.36fair
First halfFirst-half goal
74% chance1.36fair
FC Porto vs Napoli prediction
Our FC Porto vs Napoli prediction and pick
FC Porto vs Napoli prediction for the Champions League on Wednesday, 4 November 2026: the model makes FC Porto marginally ahead at 48%, with the draw at 25% and Napoli at 27%.
FC Porto are expected to score 1.71 and Napoli 1.24, so the total line is 2.95 goals; over 2.5 lands at 56% and BTTS at 60%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for FC Porto vs Napoli is fC Porto or Napoli (no draw), a 75% chance. At 1.33 with 1xBet the market prices it at 75%, against 75% from the model.
Over the last 5 matches FC Porto stand at 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Napoli show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for FC Porto vs Napoli
Under 2.5 goals is rated 44% and under 3.5 66%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 79% and over 2.5 at 56%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 56%; 1xBet pay 1.81.
The chance of both teams scoring is 60%, built from FC Porto scoring in 82% of runs and Napoli in 71%; clean sheets come at 29% for FC Porto and 18% for Napoli.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for FC Porto vs Napoli: 1-1 (11.1%), 2-1 (9.5%) and 1-0 (9%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time FC Porto, full-time FC Porto is the top combination at 30%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 74%.
All markets, FC Porto vs Napoli
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for FC Porto vs Napoli, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
FC Porto to win48%2.14
Draw25%3.80
Napoli to win27%3.52
FC Porto, draw no bet64%fair 1.57
Napoli, draw no bet36%fair 2.76
Double chance
FC Porto or draw73%1.37
Napoli or draw52%1.83
FC Porto or Napoli (no draw)75%1.33
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals79%fair 1.26
Over 2.5 goals56%1.81
Over 3.5 goals34%fair 2.92
Over 4.5 goals18%fair 5.68
Under 1.5 goals21%fair 4.83
Under 2.5 goals44%2.17
Under 3.5 goals66%fair 1.52
BTTS
Both teams to score60%1.60
Not both teams to score41%2.22
Halves
First-half goal74%fair 1.36
Over 1.5 first-half goals38%fair 2.61
Second-half goal80%fair 1.25
Team goals
FC Porto to score82%fair 1.22
Napoli to score71%fair 1.41
FC Porto clean sheet29%fair 3.46
Napoli clean sheet18%fair 5.52
FC Porto to win to nil27%fair 3.76
Napoli to win to nil17%fair 6.02
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-111.1%
2-19.5%
1-09%
2-07.7%
1-26.9%
0-16.5%
Half-time / full-time
FC Porto / FC Porto29.8%
Napoli / Napoli15.9%
Draw / FC Porto15.7%
Draw / Draw13.5%
Draw / Napoli9.9%
Questions about FC Porto vs Napoli
Who is favourite in FC Porto vs Napoli?
The model gives FC Porto the best chance at 48%, with the draw at 25%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in FC Porto vs Napoli?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.1%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 56% backs the same picture with less variance.
FC Porto vs Napoli both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 60%. FC Porto find the net in 82% of simulated matches and Napoli in 71%.
When do FC Porto play Napoli?
Kick-off is 20:00 UTC on Wednesday, 4 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.