League Two
YorkHomeDDWLL
2:0Half-time 0:0
Port ValeAwayWDLWW492625
York winDrawPort Vale win
YorkHomeDDWLLPort ValeAwayWDLWW- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.66 1.59 : 1.07
- Favourite
- 49% York
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 54% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for York vs Port Vale
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.96 | 3.48 | 3.54 | 1.81 | 1.92 | 1.68 | 2.06 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
York to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best York price at 1.96, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.48 and 1xBet have Port Vale longest at 3.54.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 92.6%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.81 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.92 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.68 (1xBet) and no 2.06 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
76%
Our prediction
York or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
51% chance1.92
BTTSBoth teams to score
54% chance1.68
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
74% chance1.34fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.40fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time York, full-time York
30% chance3.31fair
First halfFirst-half goal
70% chance1.43fair
York vs Port Vale odds movement
York win1.96-0.09
Draw3.48-0.12
Port Vale win3.54-0.16
Over 2.5 goals1.81-0.08
Under 2.5 goals1.92-0.03
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
York vs Port Vale prediction
York vs Port Vale prediction and best bet
York host Port Vale on Saturday, 24 October 2026 in the League Two, and the model has York at 49%, the draw at 26% and Port Vale at 25%: that is the York vs Port Vale prediction in one line.
The goal expectancy is 2.66 in total, split 1.59 to York and 1.07 to Port Vale. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 49% and both teams to score 54%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is york or draw at 76%. At 1.25 with 1xBet the market prices it at 80%, against 76% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Over the last 5 matches York stand at 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Port Vale show 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
York vs Port Vale goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Under 2.5 goals is rated 51% and under 3.5 72%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 74% and over 2.5 at 49%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 51%, best priced 1.92 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 54%. York score in 80% of simulations against a 20% clean sheet for Port Vale; Port Vale score in 66% while York shut them out 34% of the time.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11.9%, then 1-0 at 11.1% and 2-1 at 9.5%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time York, full-time York leads at 30%. A goal before the break is rated 70%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for York vs Port Vale
The grid built from 1.59 and 1.07 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
York to win49%1.96
Draw26%3.48
Port Vale to win25%3.54
York, draw no bet67%fair 1.50
Port Vale, draw no bet33%fair 3.01
Double chance
York or draw76%1.25
Port Vale or draw51%1.75
York or Port Vale (no draw)74%1.26
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals74%fair 1.34
Over 2.5 goals49%1.81
Over 3.5 goals28%fair 3.61
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 7.63
Under 1.5 goals26%fair 3.91
Under 2.5 goals51%1.92
Under 3.5 goals72%fair 1.38
BTTS
Both teams to score54%1.68
Not both teams to score46%2.06
Halves
First-half goal70%fair 1.43
Over 1.5 first-half goals34%fair 2.98
Second-half goal77%fair 1.30
Team goals
York to score80%fair 1.26
Port Vale to score66%fair 1.52
York clean sheet34%fair 2.92
Port Vale clean sheet20%fair 4.90
York to win to nil32%fair 3.16
Port Vale to win to nil19%fair 5.32
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.9%
1-011.1%
2-19.5%
2-08.8%
0-17.5%
0-07%
Half-time / full-time
York / York30.2%
Draw / York16.7%
Draw / Draw15.2%
Port Vale / Port Vale14.3%
Draw / Port Vale9.7%
Questions about York vs Port Vale
Who will win York vs Port Vale?
The model gives York the best chance at 49%, with the draw at 26%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for York vs Port Vale?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 49%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
York vs Port Vale both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 54%. York find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Port Vale in 66%.
When do York play Port Vale?
Kick-off is 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.