League Two
CheltenhamHomeDLWWL
1:0Half-time 1:0
Newport CountyAwayWDDLW392734
Cheltenham winDrawNewport County win
CheltenhamHomeDLWWLNewport CountyAwayWDDLW- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.73 1.42 : 1.31
- Favourite
- 39% Cheltenham
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 56% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Cheltenham vs Newport County
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.45 | 3.34 | 2.64 | 1.87 | 1.86 | 1.68 | 2.06 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Cheltenham to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Cheltenham vs Newport County are 2.45 for Cheltenham at 1xBet, 3.34 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.64 for Newport County at 1xBet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 92.1%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.87 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.86 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.68 (1xBet) and no 2.06 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
73%
Our prediction
Cheltenham or Newport County (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
51% chance1.87
BTTSBoth teams to score
56% chance1.68
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
76% chance1.32fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.26fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Cheltenham, full-time Cheltenham
24% chance4.26fair
First halfFirst-half goal
71% chance1.41fair
Cheltenham vs Newport County odds movement
Cheltenham win2.45-0.10
Draw3.34-0.16
Newport County win2.64-0.10
Over 2.5 goals1.87-0.08
Under 2.5 goals1.86-0.04
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Cheltenham vs Newport County prediction
Our Cheltenham vs Newport County prediction and pick
The Cheltenham vs Newport County prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. League Two on Saturday, 24 October 2026 gives Cheltenham a 39% chance, Newport County 34% and the draw 27%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.
Cheltenham are expected to score 1.42 and Newport County 1.31, so the total line is 2.73 goals; over 2.5 lands at 51% and BTTS at 56%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is cheltenham or Newport County (no draw) at 73%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.27. That price implies 79%, 6 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Form check: Cheltenham have won 2 of their last 5 with 9 scored and 11 conceded, Newport County 2 of 5 scoring 8 and conceding 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Cheltenham vs Newport County
On the goal lines Cheltenham vs Newport County reads 76% for over 1.5, 51% for over 2.5 and 29% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 49%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 51%; 1xBet pay 1.87.
The chance of both teams scoring is 56%, built from Cheltenham scoring in 76% of runs and Newport County in 73%; clean sheets come at 27% for Cheltenham and 24% for Newport County.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Cheltenham vs Newport County: 1-1 (12.1%), 1-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (8.6%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.1% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Cheltenham, full-time Cheltenham is the top combination at 24%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 71%.
Every market for Cheltenham vs Newport County
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 39% / 27% / 34% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Cheltenham to win39%2.45
Draw27%3.34
Newport County to win34%2.64
Cheltenham, draw no bet54%fair 1.87
Newport County, draw no bet46%fair 2.16
Double chance
Cheltenham or draw66%1.41
Newport County or draw61%1.47
Cheltenham or Newport County (no draw)73%1.27
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals76%fair 1.32
Over 2.5 goals51%1.87
Over 3.5 goals29%fair 3.41
Over 4.5 goals14%fair 7.04
Under 1.5 goals24%fair 4.12
Under 2.5 goals49%1.86
Under 3.5 goals71%fair 1.41
BTTS
Both teams to score56%1.68
Not both teams to score44%2.06
Halves
First-half goal71%fair 1.41
Over 1.5 first-half goals35%fair 2.87
Second-half goal78%fair 1.29
Team goals
Cheltenham to score76%fair 1.32
Newport County to score73%fair 1.37
Cheltenham clean sheet27%fair 3.70
Newport County clean sheet24%fair 4.13
Cheltenham to win to nil25%fair 4.03
Newport County to win to nil22%fair 4.50
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.1%
1-09.3%
2-18.6%
0-18.5%
1-27.9%
2-06.6%
Half-time / full-time
Cheltenham / Cheltenham23.5%
Newport County / Newport County20.2%
Draw / Draw15.2%
Draw / Cheltenham13.8%
Draw / Newport County12.4%
Questions about Cheltenham vs Newport County
Who is favourite in Cheltenham vs Newport County?
The model gives Cheltenham the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 27%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for Cheltenham vs Newport County?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.1%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 51%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Cheltenham vs Newport County both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 56%. Cheltenham find the net in 76% of simulated matches and Newport County in 73%.
What time does Cheltenham vs Newport County kick off?
Cheltenham vs Newport County starts at 11:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.