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Live 18 UTC
League Two Round 14 Saturday, 31 October 2026 FT
Port ValeHomeWDLWW
4:2Half-time 3:0
RochdaleAwayDLDLL
592417
Port Vale winDrawRochdale win
Kick-off
Sat 31 Oct
Expected goals
2.61
1.76 : 0.85
Favourite
59%
Port Vale
Over 2.5 goals
48%
model chance
Both teams to score
48%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Best odds for Port Vale vs Rochdale

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.633.755.021.901.831.871.83Bet
22Bet1.593.845.561.971.831.951.80Bet
BC.Game1.563.855.401.861.851.851.81Bet
Betwinner1.593.845.561.971.831.951.80Bet
Melbet1.593.845.561.971.831.951.80Bet
Stake1.573.855.401.891.791.961.73Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Port Vale to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Port Vale price at 1.63, BC.Game lead the draw at 3.85 and Betwinner have Rochdale longest at 5.56.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 95%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.97 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.85 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.96 (Stake) and no 1.83 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

59%

Our prediction

Port Vale to win
StrongExpected goals 1.76 : 0.85-4.3% against the best price
Double chancePort Vale or draw
83% chance1.14
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
52% chance1.85
BTTSNot both teams to score
52% chance1.83
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
74% chance1.36fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
13% chance7.75fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Port Vale, full-time Port Vale
37% chance2.70fair

Port Vale vs Rochdale prediction

Port Vale vs Rochdale prediction and best bet

Port Vale host Rochdale on Saturday, 31 October 2026 in the League Two, and the model has Port Vale at 59%, the draw at 24% and Rochdale at 17%: that is the Port Vale vs Rochdale prediction in one line.

Port Vale are expected to score 1.76 and Rochdale 0.85, so the total line is 2.61 goals; over 2.5 lands at 48% and BTTS at 48%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for Port Vale vs Rochdale is port Vale to win, a 59% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.63 at 1xBet, which implies 61%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

For a safer line, port Vale or draw covers 83% of outcomes at 1.14.

Form check: Port Vale have won 3 of their last 5 with 11 scored and 5 conceded, Rochdale 0 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 15.

How many goals in Port Vale vs Rochdale? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

On the goal lines Port Vale vs Rochdale reads 74% for over 1.5, 48% for over 2.5 and 27% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 52%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 52%; BC.Game pay 1.85.

Both teams to score is 48%: Port Vale find the net in 83% of simulated matches and Rochdale in 57%. Port Vale keep a clean sheet 43% of the time and Rochdale 17%.

Correct score: 1-0 leads at 12.9%, then 2-0 at 11.4% and 1-1 at 11%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Port Vale, full-time Port Vale leads at 37%. A goal before the break is rated 69%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Port Vale vs Rochdale

The grid built from 1.76 and 0.85 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Port Vale to win59%1.63
Draw24%3.85
Rochdale to win17%5.56
Port Vale, draw no bet77%fair 1.29
Rochdale, draw no bet23%fair 4.42

Double chance

Port Vale or draw83%1.14
Rochdale or draw41%2.27
Port Vale or Rochdale (no draw)76%1.24

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals74%fair 1.36
Over 2.5 goals48%1.97
Over 3.5 goals27%fair 3.76
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.06
Under 1.5 goals27%fair 3.77
Under 2.5 goals52%1.85
Under 3.5 goals73%fair 1.36

BTTS

Both teams to score48%1.96
Not both teams to score52%1.83

Halves

First-half goal69%fair 1.45
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.05
Second-half goal76%fair 1.31

Team goals

Port Vale to score83%fair 1.21
Rochdale to score57%fair 1.75
Port Vale clean sheet43%fair 2.34
Rochdale clean sheet17%fair 5.81
Port Vale to win to nil39%fair 2.54
Rochdale to win to nil16%fair 6.37

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-012.9%
2-011.4%
1-111%
2-19.7%
0-07.4%
3-06.7%

Half-time / full-time

Port Vale / Port Vale37.1%
Draw / Port Vale19.2%
Draw / Draw14.7%
Rochdale / Rochdale9.7%
Draw / Rochdale7.1%

Questions about Port Vale vs Rochdale

Who is favourite in Port Vale vs Rochdale?

The model gives Port Vale the best chance at 59%, with the draw at 24%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What scoreline is most likely in Port Vale vs Rochdale?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 48%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Port Vale vs Rochdale?

The BTTS yes line is rated 48%. Port Vale find the net in 83% of simulated matches and Rochdale in 57%.

When do Port Vale play Rochdale?

Port Vale vs Rochdale starts at 12:30 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Port Vale v RochdalePort Vale to win, 59%
1.63Bet