EFL Trophy
Port ValeHomeWDLWW
5:0Half-time 4:0
Manchester City U21AwayL572122
Port Vale winDrawManchester City U21 win
Port ValeHomeWDLWWManchester City U21AwayL- Kick-off Tue 27 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.88 2.39 : 1.49
- Favourite
- 57% Port Vale
- Over 2.5 goals
- 74% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 71% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Port Vale vs Manchester City U21 betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.64 | 4.10 | 4.10 | 1.29 | 3.04 | 1.35 | 2.90 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Port Vale to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Port Vale vs Manchester City U21 are 1.64 for Port Vale at 1xBet, 4.10 for the draw at 1xBet and 4.10 for Manchester City U21 at 1xBet.
The best-price payout across the three results is 91.1%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.29 (1xBet) and under 2.5 3.04 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.35 (1xBet) and no 2.90 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
57%
Our prediction
Port Vale to win
Double chancePort Vale or Manchester City U21 (no draw)
79% chance1.17
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
74% chance1.29
BTTSBoth teams to score
71% chance1.35
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
90% chance1.11fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
9% chance11.36fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Port Vale, full-time Port Vale
38% chance2.65fair
Port Vale vs Manchester City U21 odds movement
Port Vale win1.64-0.10
Draw4.10-0.20
Manchester City U21 win4.10unchanged
Over 2.5 goals1.29-0.05
Under 2.5 goals3.04-0.26
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Port Vale vs Manchester City U21 prediction
Our Port Vale vs Manchester City U21 prediction and pick
Port Vale vs Manchester City U21 prediction for the EFL Trophy on Tuesday, 27 October 2026: the model makes Port Vale a narrow favourite at 57%, with the draw at 21% and Manchester City U21 at 23%.
Port Vale are expected to score 2.39 and Manchester City U21 1.49, so the total line is 3.88 goals; over 2.5 lands at 74% and BTTS at 71%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Port Vale vs Manchester City U21 is port Vale to win, a 57% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.64. That price implies 61%, 4 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Port Vale vs Manchester City U21.
Port Vale or Manchester City U21 (no draw) is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 79% chance, priced 1.17.
With the draw down at 21%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Goals forecast for Port Vale vs Manchester City U21 with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines Port Vale vs Manchester City U21 reads 90% for over 1.5, 74% for over 2.5 and 54% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 26%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 74%, best priced 1.29 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 71%: Port Vale find the net in 91% of simulated matches and Manchester City U21 in 78%. Port Vale keep a clean sheet 23% of the time and Manchester City U21 9%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 71%.
The most likely scoreline is 2-1 at 8.8%, followed by 1-1 (7.4%) and 3-1 (7%).
With the top scoreline at 8.8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Port Vale vs Manchester City U21; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Port Vale, full-time Port Vale leads at 38%. A goal before the break is rated 83%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Port Vale vs Manchester City U21
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 57% / 21% / 23% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Port Vale to win57%1.64
Draw21%4.10
Manchester City U21 to win23%4.10
Port Vale, draw no bet72%fair 1.40
Manchester City U21, draw no bet28%fair 3.52
Double chance
Port Vale or draw78%1.17
Manchester City U21 or draw43%2.05
Port Vale or Manchester City U21 (no draw)79%1.17
Goals
Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals90%fair 1.11
Over 2.5 goals74%1.29
Over 3.5 goals54%fair 1.84
Over 4.5 goals35%fair 2.87
Under 1.5 goals10%fair 9.90
Under 2.5 goals26%3.04
Under 3.5 goals46%fair 2.19
BTTS
Both teams to score71%1.35
Not both teams to score29%2.90
Halves
First-half goal83%fair 1.21
Over 1.5 first-half goals52%fair 1.92
Second-half goal88%fair 1.13
Team goals
Port Vale to score91%fair 1.10
Manchester City U21 to score78%fair 1.29
Port Vale clean sheet23%fair 4.44
Manchester City U21 clean sheet9%fair 10.87
Port Vale to win to nil21%fair 4.83
Manchester City U21 to win to nil8%fair 11.90
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-18.8%
1-17.4%
3-17%
2-26.5%
2-05.9%
1-25.5%
Half-time / full-time
Port Vale / Port Vale37.7%
Draw / Port Vale15.7%
Manchester City U21 / Manchester City U2113.5%
Draw / Draw9.2%
Draw / Manchester City U217.6%
Questions about Port Vale vs Manchester City U21
Who will win Port Vale vs Manchester City U21?
The model gives Port Vale the best chance at 57%, with the draw at 21%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What is the correct score prediction for Port Vale vs Manchester City U21?
2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 8.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 74% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Port Vale vs Manchester City U21?
The BTTS yes line is rated 71%. Port Vale find the net in 91% of simulated matches and Manchester City U21 in 78%.
When is Port Vale vs Manchester City U21 and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 19:00 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.