League Two
GillinghamHomeWLDLW
1:4Half-time 1:1
GrimsbyAwayLLDWW312742
Gillingham winDrawGrimsby win
GillinghamHomeWLDLWGrimsbyAwayLLDWW- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.80 1.29 : 1.51
- Favourite
- 42% Grimsby
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 57% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Gillingham vs Grimsby
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 3.27 | 3.38 | 2.09 | 1.77 | 1.97 | 1.62 | 2.16 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Grimsby to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Gillingham vs Grimsby are 3.27 for Gillingham at 1xBet, 3.38 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.09 for Grimsby at 1xBet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 92.6%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.77 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.97 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.62 (1xBet) and no 2.16 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
73%
Our prediction
Gillingham or Grimsby (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
53% chance1.77
BTTSBoth teams to score
57% chance1.62
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
77% chance1.30fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.47fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Grimsby, full-time Grimsby
25% chance3.94fair
First halfFirst-half goal
72% chance1.40fair
Gillingham vs Grimsby odds movement
Gillingham win3.27-0.14
Draw3.38-0.17
Grimsby win2.09-0.09
Over 2.5 goals1.77-0.03
Under 2.5 goals1.97-0.07
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Gillingham vs Grimsby prediction
Our Gillingham vs Grimsby prediction and pick
Gillingham vs Grimsby prediction for the League Two on Saturday, 24 October 2026: the model makes Grimsby marginally ahead at 42%, with the draw at 27% and Gillingham at 31%.
The goal expectancy is 2.80 in total, split 1.29 to Gillingham and 1.51 to Grimsby. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 53% and both teams to score 57%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is gillingham or Grimsby (no draw) at 73%. The best price in our comparison is 1.28 at 1xBet, which implies 78%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Gillingham vs Grimsby.
Over the last 5 matches Gillingham stand at 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Grimsby show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
How many goals in Gillingham vs Grimsby? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Under 2.5 goals is rated 47% and under 3.5 69%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 77% and over 2.5 at 53%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; 1xBet pay 1.77.
BTTS yes stands at 57%. Gillingham score in 73% of simulations against a 28% clean sheet for Grimsby; Grimsby score in 78% while Gillingham shut them out 22% of the time.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.8%, followed by 0-1 (9.2%) and 1-2 (8.9%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Grimsby, full-time Grimsby is the top combination at 25%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 72%.
Every market for Gillingham vs Grimsby
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 31% / 27% / 42% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Gillingham to win31%3.27
Draw27%3.38
Grimsby to win42%2.09
Gillingham, draw no bet43%fair 2.33
Grimsby, draw no bet57%fair 1.75
Double chance
Gillingham or draw58%1.66
Grimsby or draw69%1.29
Gillingham or Grimsby (no draw)73%1.28
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals77%fair 1.30
Over 2.5 goals53%1.77
Over 3.5 goals31%fair 3.25
Over 4.5 goals15%fair 6.58
Under 1.5 goals23%fair 4.33
Under 2.5 goals47%1.97
Under 3.5 goals69%fair 1.45
BTTS
Both teams to score57%1.62
Not both teams to score43%2.16
Halves
First-half goal72%fair 1.40
Over 1.5 first-half goals36%fair 2.79
Second-half goal79%fair 1.27
Team goals
Gillingham to score73%fair 1.38
Grimsby to score78%fair 1.28
Gillingham clean sheet22%fair 4.52
Grimsby clean sheet28%fair 3.64
Gillingham to win to nil20%fair 4.93
Grimsby to win to nil25%fair 3.95
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.8%
0-19.2%
1-28.9%
1-07.8%
2-17.6%
0-26.9%
Half-time / full-time
Grimsby / Grimsby25.4%
Gillingham / Gillingham18.8%
Draw / Draw14.7%
Draw / Grimsby14.4%
Draw / Gillingham11.6%
Questions about Gillingham vs Grimsby
Who will win Gillingham vs Grimsby?
The model gives Grimsby the best chance at 42%, with the draw at 27%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in Gillingham vs Grimsby?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 53% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Gillingham vs Grimsby?
The BTTS yes line is rated 57%. Gillingham find the net in 73% of simulated matches and Grimsby in 78%.
When do Gillingham play Grimsby?
Kick-off is 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.