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Live 31 UTC
League Two Round 13 Saturday, 24 October 2026 FT
NorthamptonHomeDWLWD
2:0Half-time 1:0
ColchesterAwayLDDLL
472924
Northampton winDrawColchester win
Kick-off
Sat 24 Oct
Expected goals
2.35
1.41 : 0.94
Favourite
47%
Northampton
Over 2.5 goals
42%
model chance
Both teams to score
47%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Northampton vs Colchester betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.013.223.682.141.651.881.82Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Northampton to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Northampton vs Colchester are 2.01 for Northampton at 1xBet, 3.22 for the draw at 1xBet and 3.68 for Colchester at 1xBet.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 92.6%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.14 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.65 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.88 (1xBet) and no 1.82 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

76%

Our prediction

Northampton or draw
LeanExpected goals 1.41 : 0.94-6% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
59% chance1.65
BTTSNot both teams to score
53% chance1.82
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
68% chance1.47fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
13% chance7.46fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Northampton, full-time Northampton
29% chance3.48fair
First halfFirst-half goal
65% chance1.53fair

Northampton vs Colchester odds movement

Northampton win2.01-0.09
Draw3.22-0.18
Colchester win3.68-0.17
Over 2.5 goals2.14-0.03
Under 2.5 goals1.65-0.06

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Northampton vs Colchester prediction

Northampton vs Colchester prediction, who wins and at what price

Northampton are marginally ahead in the Northampton vs Colchester prediction, rated 47% to win this League Two match on Saturday, 24 October 2026. Colchester sit at 24% and the draw at 29%.

Northampton are expected to score 1.41 and Colchester 0.94, so the total line is 2.35 goals; over 2.5 lands at 42% and BTTS at 47%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is northampton or draw at 76%. At 1.24 with 1xBet the market prices it at 81%, against 76% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Form check: Northampton have won 2 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 3 conceded, Colchester 0 of 5 scoring 2 and conceding 7.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Northampton vs Colchester

On the goal lines Northampton vs Colchester reads 68% for over 1.5, 42% for over 2.5 and 21% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 59%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 59%, best priced 1.65 at 1xBet.

BTTS yes stands at 47%. Northampton score in 76% of simulations against a 24% clean sheet for Colchester; Colchester score in 61% while Northampton shut them out 39% of the time.

The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 13.4%, followed by 1-1 (12.6%) and 0-0 (9.5%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Northampton, full-time Northampton is the top combination at 29%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 65%.

All markets, Northampton vs Colchester

The grid built from 1.41 and 0.94 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Northampton to win47%2.01
Draw29%3.22
Colchester to win24%3.68
Northampton, draw no bet66%fair 1.51
Colchester, draw no bet34%fair 2.95

Double chance

Northampton or draw76%1.24
Colchester or draw53%1.72
Northampton or Colchester (no draw)71%1.30

Goals

Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals68%fair 1.47
Over 2.5 goals42%2.14
Over 3.5 goals21%fair 4.74
Over 4.5 goals9%fair 11.11
Under 1.5 goals32%fair 3.13
Under 2.5 goals59%1.65
Under 3.5 goals79%fair 1.27

BTTS

Both teams to score47%1.88
Not both teams to score53%1.82

Halves

First-half goal65%fair 1.53
Over 1.5 first-half goals29%fair 3.51
Second-half goal73%fair 1.38

Team goals

Northampton to score76%fair 1.32
Colchester to score61%fair 1.64
Northampton clean sheet39%fair 2.56
Colchester clean sheet24%fair 4.10
Northampton to win to nil36%fair 2.79
Colchester to win to nil22%fair 4.48

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

1-013.4%
1-112.6%
0-09.5%
2-09.5%
0-19%
2-18.9%

Half-time / full-time

Northampton / Northampton28.7%
Draw / Draw17.7%
Draw / Northampton17.1%
Colchester / Colchester13.8%
Draw / Colchester9.9%

Questions about Northampton vs Colchester

Northampton or Colchester: which side does the model back?

The model gives Northampton the best chance at 47%, with the draw at 29%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What is the correct score prediction for Northampton vs Colchester?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 42%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Northampton vs Colchester?

The BTTS yes line is rated 47%. Northampton find the net in 76% of simulated matches and Colchester in 61%.

What time does Northampton vs Colchester kick off?

Northampton vs Colchester starts at 11:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Northampton v ColchesterNorthampton or draw, 76%
1.24Bet