League One predictions for every fixture

League One predictions for the coming round

League One predictions cover 3 of the next 3 fixtures. 0 of them already carry bookmaker prices. On an average fixture in this round the model makes the favourite a 43% chance, the draw 26%, over 2.5 goals 56% and BTTS 61%.

Expected goals average 2.95 a match, so the goal lines open above 2.5 for most of the round. Home sides are favoured in 2 of the 3 rated fixtures. 0 picks reach banker grade, which needs a chance of 80% or more.

The strongest League One pick of the round is over 1.5 goals in Wigan v Mansfield Town on Tue 3 Nov, rated 77%.

No League One pick in this round clears the 3% edge bar against the best price, so the value page lists nothing from this competition today. The picks below stand on probability alone.

Each row on the board shows the three-way bar, the pick in green and the best price. The match pages print every market, the six most likely scores and the full League One odds table.

League One results and trends, last 60 days

The last 108 League One matches of the past 60 days produced 46 home wins, 31 draws and 31 away wins. That is a home win rate of 43% and a draw rate of 29%.

Goals averaged 2.71 a match, 1.43 for the home side and 1.29 for the visitors. Over 2.5 goals landed in 51% of matches and over 1.5 in 78%. Both teams scored in 54%, and at least one side kept a clean sheet in 46%.

The highest-scoring match in the window was Stockport County 3-4 Leicester on Sat 12 Sep.

The model rates over 2.5 at 56% for the coming round against a 51% strike rate in these results, so the two readings agree.

The results block under the board lists each match with the final score, the half-time score and the pick that was frozen before kick-off, so the trend can be checked line by line.

How the League One tips have gone

8 League One tips have been settled in the last 60 days: 5 won and 3 lost, a hit rate of 63%. At a flat stake on the best price at freeze time the return is -30%.

The best-performing market for the competition appears here once any single market reaches five settled tips. Until then the figures above cover every market together and move quickly from round to round.

Every tip is frozen 40 hours before kick-off and graded from the final score. The day-by-day list sits on the results pages. 16 further League One tips are frozen and waiting for their matches.

A frozen tip cannot be edited or withdrawn, so this record reads the same way as the site-wide one: what was published, then what came in.

League One odds comparison

Bookmakers have priced 3 of the coming League One fixtures, with a median of 6 prices per outcome on a typical match. Taking the best price on each 1X2 outcome pays 94.5% of stakes across the round, against 93% at an average single bookmaker.

That gap of 1.5 points is what the comparison saves before any pick is made. Every match page lists each bookmaker's 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS lines with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link.

The edge printed beside a pick compares the model chance with that best price. The value bets page collects the largest gaps across every competition and the banker page the highest chances, with League One rows included whenever they qualify.