Skip to the predictions
Live 24 UTC
League One Round 14 Saturday, 31 October 2026 FT
PeterboroughHomeDLDLL
0:2Half-time 0:1
LutonAwayLWWWW
282349
Peterborough winDrawLuton win
Kick-off
Sat 31 Oct
Expected goals
3.37
1.43 : 1.94
Favourite
49%
Luton
Over 2.5 goals
65%
model chance
Both teams to score
66%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Best odds for Peterborough vs Luton

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet3.323.901.951.412.521.422.66Bet
22Bet3.153.882.021.422.491.412.69Bet
BC.Game3.153.801.971.452.601.422.60Bet
Betwinner3.153.882.021.422.491.412.69Bet
Melbet3.153.882.021.422.491.412.69Bet
Stake3.153.852.091.452.601.432.65Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

Ad

Luton to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Peterborough vs Luton prediction: Peterborough 3.32 (1xBet), draw 3.90 (1xBet), Luton 2.09 (Stake).

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 96.5%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.45 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 2.60 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.43 (Stake) and no 2.69 (Melbet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

77%

Our prediction

Peterborough or Luton (no draw)
StrongExpected goals 1.43 : 1.94-3.4% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
65% chance1.45
BTTSBoth teams to score
66% chance1.43
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
85% chance1.18fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance10.53fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Luton, full-time Luton
31% chance3.22fair
First halfFirst-half goal
78% chance1.28fair

Peterborough vs Luton prediction

Our Peterborough vs Luton prediction and pick

Peterborough vs Luton prediction for the League One on Saturday, 31 October 2026: the model makes Luton a narrow favourite at 49%, with the draw at 23% and Peterborough at 28%.

The goal expectancy is 3.37 in total, split 1.43 to Peterborough and 1.94 to Luton. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 65% and both teams to score 66%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Peterborough or Luton (no draw) is the main selection, rated 77%. At 1.26 with Stake the market prices it at 79%, against 77% from the model.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Peterborough vs Luton.

Peterborough average 0.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded across their last 5, Luton 2.0 and 1.0 across 5.

Goals forecast for Peterborough vs Luton with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Under 2.5 goals is rated 35% and under 3.5 57%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 85% and over 2.5 at 65%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 65%; BC.Game pay 1.45.

BTTS yes stands at 66%. Peterborough score in 76% of simulations against a 24% clean sheet for Luton; Luton score in 86% while Peterborough shut them out 14% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 66%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Peterborough vs Luton: 1-1 (9.5%), 1-2 (9.3%) and 2-1 (6.8%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Luton, full-time Luton leads at 31%. A goal before the break is rated 78%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Peterborough vs Luton

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Peterborough vs Luton, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Peterborough to win28%3.32
Draw23%3.90
Luton to win49%2.09
Peterborough, draw no bet36%fair 2.76
Luton, draw no bet64%fair 1.57

Double chance

Peterborough or draw51%1.79
Luton or draw72%1.35
Peterborough or Luton (no draw)77%1.26

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals85%fair 1.18
Over 2.5 goals65%1.45
Over 3.5 goals44%fair 2.30
Over 4.5 goals25%fair 4.00
Under 1.5 goals15%fair 6.67
Under 2.5 goals35%2.60
Under 3.5 goals57%fair 1.77

BTTS

Both teams to score66%1.43
Not both teams to score34%2.69

Halves

First-half goal78%fair 1.28
Over 1.5 first-half goals45%fair 2.23
Second-half goal84%fair 1.19

Team goals

Peterborough to score76%fair 1.31
Luton to score86%fair 1.17
Peterborough clean sheet14%fair 6.94
Luton clean sheet24%fair 4.18
Peterborough to win to nil13%fair 7.58
Luton to win to nil22%fair 4.55

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-19.5%
1-29.3%
2-16.8%
0-16.7%
2-26.6%
0-26.5%

Half-time / full-time

Luton / Luton31.1%
Peterborough / Peterborough16.6%
Draw / Luton15%
Draw / Draw11.5%
Draw / Peterborough9.6%

Questions about Peterborough vs Luton

Peterborough or Luton: which side does the model back?

The model gives Luton the best chance at 49%, with the draw at 23%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

Peterborough vs Luton correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 65% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Peterborough vs Luton?

The BTTS yes line is rated 66%. Peterborough find the net in 76% of simulated matches and Luton in 86%.

What time does Peterborough vs Luton kick off?

Kick-off is 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Peterborough v LutonPeterborough or Luton (no draw), 77%
1.26Bet