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Live 11 UTC
League One Round 9 Tuesday, 27 October 2026 FT
Oxford UnitedHomeDWDWD
1:0Half-time 1:0
Stockport CountyAwayWWDLW
302545
Oxford United winDrawStockport County win
Kick-off
Tue 27 Oct
Expected goals
3.04
1.34 : 1.70
Favourite
46%
Stockport County
Over 2.5 goals
58%
model chance
Both teams to score
62%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Best odds for Oxford United vs Stockport County

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet3.303.742.001.592.271.512.39Bet
22Bet3.483.741.941.622.221.582.29Bet
BC.Game3.403.601.941.602.221.522.30Bet
Betwinner3.483.741.941.622.221.582.29Bet
Melbet3.483.741.941.622.221.582.29Bet
Stake3.403.751.991.582.291.542.33Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Stockport County to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Oxford United vs Stockport County are 3.48 for Oxford United at Melbet, 3.75 for the draw at Stake and 2.00 for Stockport County at 1xBet.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 94.9%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.62 (Melbet) and under 2.5 2.29 (Stake); both teams to score yes pays 1.58 (Melbet) and no 2.39 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

76%

Our prediction

Oxford United or Stockport County (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.34 : 1.70-4.7% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
58% chance1.62
BTTSBoth teams to score
62% chance1.58
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
81% chance1.24fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.17fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Stockport County, full-time Stockport County
28% chance3.55fair
First halfFirst-half goal
75% chance1.34fair

Oxford United vs Stockport County odds movement

Oxford United win3.48-0.02
Draw3.75-0.19
Stockport County win2.00-0.03
Over 2.5 goals1.62-0.01
Under 2.5 goals2.29-0.04

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Oxford United vs Stockport County prediction

Our Oxford United vs Stockport County prediction and pick

Stockport County are marginally ahead in the Oxford United vs Stockport County prediction, rated 46% to win this League One match on Tuesday, 27 October 2026. Oxford United sit at 30% and the draw at 25%.

Expected goals are 1.34 for Oxford United and 1.70 for Stockport County, a total of 3.04, which puts over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 62%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Oxford United or Stockport County (no draw) is the main selection, rated 76%. Stake offer the top price at 1.26. That price implies 79%, 4 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Form check: Oxford United have won 2 of their last 5 with 5 scored and 3 conceded, Stockport County 3 of 5 scoring 6 and conceding 3.

How many goals in Oxford United vs Stockport County? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

On the goal lines Oxford United vs Stockport County reads 81% for over 1.5, 58% for over 2.5 and 36% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 42%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 58%; Melbet pay 1.62.

BTTS yes stands at 62%. Oxford United score in 74% of simulations against a 26% clean sheet for Stockport County; Stockport County score in 82% while Oxford United shut them out 18% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 10.9%, then 1-2 at 9.3% and 0-1 at 8.1%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Stockport County, full-time Stockport County is the top combination at 28%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 75%.

All markets, Oxford United vs Stockport County

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 30% / 25% / 46% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Oxford United to win30%3.48
Draw25%3.75
Stockport County to win46%2.00
Oxford United, draw no bet39%fair 2.54
Stockport County, draw no bet61%fair 1.65

Double chance

Oxford United or draw54%1.80
Stockport County or draw70%1.30
Oxford United or Stockport County (no draw)76%1.26

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals81%fair 1.24
Over 2.5 goals58%1.62
Over 3.5 goals36%fair 2.76
Over 4.5 goals19%fair 5.24
Under 1.5 goals19%fair 5.18
Under 2.5 goals42%2.29
Under 3.5 goals64%fair 1.57

BTTS

Both teams to score62%1.58
Not both teams to score39%2.39

Halves

First-half goal75%fair 1.34
Over 1.5 first-half goals40%fair 2.52
Second-half goal81%fair 1.23

Team goals

Oxford United to score74%fair 1.36
Stockport County to score82%fair 1.22
Oxford United clean sheet18%fair 5.46
Stockport County clean sheet26%fair 3.82
Oxford United to win to nil17%fair 5.95
Stockport County to win to nil24%fair 4.15

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-110.9%
1-29.3%
0-18.1%
2-17.3%
0-26.9%
1-06.4%

Half-time / full-time

Stockport County / Stockport County28.2%
Oxford United / Oxford United17.6%
Draw / Stockport County14.9%
Draw / Draw13.2%
Draw / Oxford United10.6%

Questions about Oxford United vs Stockport County

Who is favourite in Oxford United vs Stockport County?

The model gives Stockport County the best chance at 46%, with the draw at 25%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

Oxford United vs Stockport County correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 58%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Oxford United vs Stockport County?

The BTTS yes line is rated 62%. Oxford United find the net in 74% of simulated matches and Stockport County in 82%.

When is Oxford United vs Stockport County and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 19:45 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Oxford United v Stockport CountyOxford United or Stockport County (no draw), 76%
1.26Bet