Skip to the predictions
Live 23 UTC
League One Round 13 Saturday, 24 October 2026 FT
StevenageHomeWLWLD
0:1Half-time 0:0
Milton Keynes DonsAwayWLWWW
502723
Stevenage winDrawMilton Keynes Dons win
Kick-off
Sat 24 Oct
Expected goals
2.55
1.56 : 0.99
Favourite
50%
Stevenage
Over 2.5 goals
47%
model chance
Both teams to score
51%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Best odds for Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.973.343.802.041.731.841.86Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

Ad

Stevenage to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Stevenage price at 1.97, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.34 and 1xBet have Milton Keynes Dons longest at 3.80.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 93.4%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.04 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.73 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.84 (1xBet) and no 1.86 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

77%

Our prediction

Stevenage or draw
StrongExpected goals 1.56 : 0.99-4.5% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
53% chance1.73
BTTSBoth teams to score
51% chance1.84
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
72% chance1.38fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
12% chance8.20fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Stevenage, full-time Stevenage
31% chance3.24fair
First halfFirst-half goal
68% chance1.46fair

Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons odds movement

Stevenage win1.97-0.09
Draw3.34-0.06
Milton Keynes Dons win3.80-0.29
Over 2.5 goals2.04-0.09
Under 2.5 goals1.73-0.07

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons prediction

Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons prediction, who wins and at what price

Stevenage are a narrow favourite in the Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons prediction, rated 50% to win this League One match on Saturday, 24 October 2026. Milton Keynes Dons sit at 23% and the draw at 27%.

The goal expectancy is 2.55 in total, split 1.56 to Stevenage and 0.99 to Milton Keynes Dons. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 47% and both teams to score 51%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is stevenage or draw at 77%. At 1.24 with 1xBet the market prices it at 81%, against 77% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Stevenage average 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last 5, Milton Keynes Dons 2.6 and 1.0 across 5.

How many goals in Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Under 2.5 goals is rated 53% and under 3.5 75%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 72% and over 2.5 at 47%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 53%, best priced 1.73 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 51%, built from Stevenage scoring in 79% of runs and Milton Keynes Dons in 63%; clean sheets come at 37% for Stevenage and 21% for Milton Keynes Dons.

The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 12.2%, followed by 1-1 (12.1%) and 2-0 (9.5%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.2% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Stevenage, full-time Stevenage leads at 31%. A goal before the break is rated 68%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Stevenage to win50%1.97
Draw27%3.34
Milton Keynes Dons to win23%3.80
Stevenage, draw no bet68%fair 1.46
Milton Keynes Dons, draw no bet32%fair 3.16

Double chance

Stevenage or draw77%1.24
Milton Keynes Dons or draw50%1.78
Stevenage or Milton Keynes Dons (no draw)73%1.30

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals72%fair 1.38
Over 2.5 goals47%2.04
Over 3.5 goals25%fair 3.95
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.62
Under 1.5 goals28%fair 3.61
Under 2.5 goals53%1.73
Under 3.5 goals75%fair 1.34

BTTS

Both teams to score51%1.84
Not both teams to score49%1.86

Halves

First-half goal68%fair 1.46
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.14
Second-half goal75%fair 1.33

Team goals

Stevenage to score79%fair 1.27
Milton Keynes Dons to score63%fair 1.59
Stevenage clean sheet37%fair 2.69
Milton Keynes Dons clean sheet21%fair 4.76
Stevenage to win to nil34%fair 2.92
Milton Keynes Dons to win to nil19%fair 5.18

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-012.2%
1-112.1%
2-09.5%
2-19.4%
0-07.8%
0-17.7%

Half-time / full-time

Stevenage / Stevenage30.9%
Draw / Stevenage17.3%
Draw / Draw15.9%
Milton Keynes Dons / Milton Keynes Dons13.3%
Draw / Milton Keynes Dons9.3%

Questions about Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons

Who will win Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons?

The model gives Stevenage the best chance at 50%, with the draw at 27%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What scoreline is most likely in Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 47%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 51%. Stevenage find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Milton Keynes Dons in 63%.

What time does Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons kick off?

Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons starts at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Stevenage v Milton Keynes DonsStevenage or draw, 77%
1.24Bet