Notts County vs Stockport County prediction

Notts County vs Stockport County prediction, who wins and at what price

Notts County vs Stockport County prediction for the League One on Saturday, 24 October 2026: the model makes Stockport County a narrow favourite at 60%, with the draw at 23% and Notts County at 17%.

Expected goals are 0.92 for Notts County and 1.89 for Stockport County, a total of 2.81, which puts over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 52%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Notts County vs Stockport County is stockport County to win, a 60% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.58 at 1xBet, which implies 63%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Notts County vs Stockport County.

Stockport County or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 83% chance, priced 1.13.

Over the last 5 matches Notts County stand at 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Stockport County show 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats in 5.

Notts County vs Stockport County goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

On the goal lines Notts County vs Stockport County reads 77% for over 1.5, 53% for over 2.5 and 31% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 47%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; 1xBet pay 1.77.

Both teams to score is 52%: Notts County find the net in 60% of simulated matches and Stockport County in 85%. Notts County keep a clean sheet 15% of the time and Stockport County 40%.

The most likely scoreline is 0-1 at 11.4%, followed by 0-2 (10.8%) and 1-1 (10.5%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Stockport County, full-time Stockport County leads at 38%. A goal before the break is rated 72%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.