League One
LutonHomeLWWWW
2:1Half-time 1:0
LeicesterAwayWWLWD432433
Luton winDrawLeicester win
LutonHomeLWWWWLeicesterAwayWWLWD- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.34 1.78 : 1.56
- Favourite
- 43% Luton
- Over 2.5 goals
- 65% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 67% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Luton vs Leicester betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.20 | 3.90 | 2.79 | 1.43 | 2.46 | 1.42 | 2.66 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Luton to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Luton vs Leicester are 2.20 for Luton at 1xBet, 3.90 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.79 for Leicester at 1xBet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 93.5%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.43 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.46 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.42 (1xBet) and no 2.66 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
76%
Our prediction
Luton or Leicester (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
65% chance1.43
BTTSBoth teams to score
67% chance1.42
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
85% chance1.18fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance10.20fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Luton, full-time Luton
27% chance3.77fair
First halfFirst-half goal
78% chance1.29fair
Luton vs Leicester odds movement
Luton win2.20-0.07
Draw3.90-0.03
Leicester win2.79-0.11
Over 2.5 goals1.43-0.08
Under 2.5 goals2.46-0.17
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Luton vs Leicester prediction
Luton vs Leicester prediction, who wins and at what price
The Luton vs Leicester prediction leans to Luton: 43% against 33% for Leicester, with 24% left for the draw, in the League One on Saturday, 24 October 2026.
Luton are expected to score 1.78 and Leicester 1.56, so the total line is 3.34 goals; over 2.5 lands at 65% and BTTS at 67%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Luton vs Leicester is luton or Leicester (no draw), a 76% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.23. That price implies 81%, 5 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Luton vs Leicester.
Luton average 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last 5, Leicester 2.4 and 1.0 across 5.
Luton vs Leicester over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 85%, over 2.5 at 65%, over 3.5 at 43%; under 2.5 is 35% and under 3.5 is 57%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 65%, best priced 1.43 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 67%. Luton score in 83% of simulations against a 17% clean sheet for Leicester; Leicester score in 79% while Luton shut them out 21% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 67%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Luton vs Leicester: 1-1 (9.8%), 2-1 (8.8%) and 1-2 (7.7%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.8% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Luton, full-time Luton is the top combination at 27%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 78%.
Every market rated for Luton vs Leicester
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 43% / 24% / 33% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Luton to win43%2.20
Draw24%3.90
Leicester to win33%2.79
Luton, draw no bet56%fair 1.78
Leicester, draw no bet44%fair 2.28
Double chance
Luton or draw67%1.41
Leicester or draw57%1.63
Luton or Leicester (no draw)76%1.23
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals85%fair 1.18
Over 2.5 goals65%1.43
Over 3.5 goals43%fair 2.34
Over 4.5 goals25%fair 4.08
Under 1.5 goals15%fair 6.49
Under 2.5 goals35%2.46
Under 3.5 goals57%fair 1.75
BTTS
Both teams to score67%1.42
Not both teams to score33%2.66
Halves
First-half goal78%fair 1.29
Over 1.5 first-half goals44%fair 2.26
Second-half goal84%fair 1.19
Team goals
Luton to score83%fair 1.20
Leicester to score79%fair 1.27
Luton clean sheet21%fair 4.76
Leicester clean sheet17%fair 5.92
Luton to win to nil19%fair 5.18
Leicester to win to nil16%fair 6.45
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-19.8%
2-18.8%
1-27.7%
2-26.8%
1-06.3%
2-05.6%
Half-time / full-time
Luton / Luton26.5%
Leicester / Leicester20.2%
Draw / Luton13.6%
Draw / Draw11.9%
Draw / Leicester11.2%
Questions about Luton vs Leicester
Who will win Luton vs Leicester?
The model gives Luton the best chance at 43%, with the draw at 24%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Luton vs Leicester correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 65% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Luton vs Leicester?
The BTTS yes line is rated 67%. Luton find the net in 83% of simulated matches and Leicester in 79%.
What time does Luton vs Leicester kick off?
Luton vs Leicester starts at 11:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.