FA Cup
Worcester CityHomeWLWDW
1:0Half-time 0:0
ChorleyAwayWWDL382636
Worcester City winDrawChorley win
Worcester CityHomeWLWDWChorleyAwayWWDL- Kick-off Tue 20 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.81 1.42 : 1.39
- Favourite
- 38% Worcester City
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 57% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Worcester City vs Chorley
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.43 | 3.38 | 2.43 | 1.76 | 1.92 | 1.63 | 2.12 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Worcester City to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Worcester City price at 2.43, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.38 and 1xBet have Chorley longest at 2.43.
The best-price payout across the three results is 89.4%, several points better than any single book offers here.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.76 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.92 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.63 (1xBet) and no 2.12 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
74%
Our prediction
Worcester City or Chorley (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
53% chance1.76
BTTSBoth teams to score
57% chance1.63
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
77% chance1.30fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.40fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Worcester City, full-time Worcester City
23% chance4.44fair
First halfFirst-half goal
72% chance1.39fair
Worcester City v Chorley head to head
0Worcester City wins
1Draw
0Chorley wins
- 17 Oct 26Chorley1:1Worcester City
1 meeting since coverage began, 2 goals in total: Worcester City scored 1, Chorley scored 1.
Worcester City vs Chorley odds movement
Worcester City win2.43-0.22
Draw3.38-0.37
Chorley win2.43-0.12
Over 2.5 goals1.76-0.04
Under 2.5 goals1.92-0.08
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Worcester City vs Chorley prediction
Worcester City vs Chorley prediction and best bet
The Worcester City vs Chorley prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. FA Cup on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 gives Worcester City a 38% chance, Chorley 37% and the draw 26%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.
Worcester City are expected to score 1.42 and Chorley 1.39, so the total line is 2.81 goals; over 2.5 lands at 53% and BTTS at 57%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Worcester City or Chorley (no draw) is the main selection, rated 74%. At 1.22 with 1xBet the market prices it at 82%, against 74% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Worcester City average 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last 5, Chorley 1.5 and 0.8 across 4.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Worcester City vs Chorley
Under 2.5 goals is rated 47% and under 3.5 69%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 77% and over 2.5 at 53%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 53%, best priced 1.76 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 57%: Worcester City find the net in 76% of simulated matches and Chorley in 75%. Worcester City keep a clean sheet 25% of the time and Chorley 24%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Worcester City vs Chorley: 1-1 (11.9%), 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-1 (8.4%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Worcester City, full-time Worcester City leads at 23%. A goal before the break is rated 72%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Worcester City vs Chorley
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Worcester City vs Chorley, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Worcester City to win38%2.43
Draw26%3.38
Chorley to win37%2.43
Worcester City, draw no bet51%fair 1.97
Chorley, draw no bet49%fair 2.03
Double chance
Worcester City or draw63%1.41
Chorley or draw62%1.41
Worcester City or Chorley (no draw)74%1.22
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals77%fair 1.30
Over 2.5 goals53%1.76
Over 3.5 goals31%fair 3.23
Over 4.5 goals15%fair 6.49
Under 1.5 goals23%fair 4.37
Under 2.5 goals47%1.92
Under 3.5 goals69%fair 1.45
BTTS
Both teams to score57%1.63
Not both teams to score43%2.12
Halves
First-half goal72%fair 1.39
Over 1.5 first-half goals36%fair 2.77
Second-half goal79%fair 1.27
Team goals
Worcester City to score76%fair 1.32
Chorley to score75%fair 1.33
Worcester City clean sheet25%fair 4.02
Chorley clean sheet24%fair 4.13
Worcester City to win to nil23%fair 4.37
Chorley to win to nil22%fair 4.50
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.9%
1-08.5%
2-18.4%
0-18.4%
1-28.3%
2-06.1%
Half-time / full-time
Worcester City / Worcester City22.5%
Chorley / Chorley21.6%
Draw / Draw14.7%
Draw / Worcester City13.2%
Draw / Chorley12.8%
Questions about Worcester City vs Chorley
Worcester City or Chorley: which side does the model back?
The model gives Worcester City the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 26%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Worcester City vs Chorley correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 53%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Worcester City vs Chorley?
The BTTS yes line is rated 57%. Worcester City find the net in 76% of simulated matches and Chorley in 75%.
When do Worcester City play Chorley?
Worcester City vs Chorley starts at 18:45 UTC on Tuesday, 20 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.