FA Cup
ChorleyHomeWWDL
1:1Half-time 1:0
Worcester CityAwayWLWDW622216
Chorley winDrawWorcester City win
ChorleyHomeWWDLWorcester CityAwayWLWDW- Kick-off Sat 17 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.09 2.08 : 1.01
- Favourite
- 62% Chorley
- Over 2.5 goals
- 59% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 57% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Chorley vs Worcester City odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.55 | 3.86 | 4.95 | 1.59 | 2.17 | 1.64 | 2.10 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Chorley to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Chorley vs Worcester City prediction: Chorley 1.55 (1xBet), draw 3.86 (1xBet), Worcester City 4.95 (1xBet).
The best-price payout across the three results is 90.4%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.59 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.17 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.64 (1xBet) and no 2.10 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
62%
Our prediction
Chorley to win
Double chanceChorley or draw
83% chance1.11
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
59% chance1.59
BTTSBoth teams to score
57% chance1.64
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
81% chance1.23fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
10% chance10.10fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Chorley, full-time Chorley
40% chance2.48fair
Chorley v Worcester City head to head
0Chorley wins
0Draws
1Worcester City wins
- 20 Oct 26Worcester City1:0Chorley
1 meeting since coverage began, 1 goals in total: Chorley scored 0, Worcester City scored 1.
Chorley vs Worcester City odds movement
Chorley win1.55unchanged
Draw3.86-0.34
Worcester City win4.95-0.30
Over 2.5 goals1.59-0.03
Under 2.5 goals2.17-0.08
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Chorley vs Worcester City prediction
Our Chorley vs Worcester City prediction and pick
Chorley vs Worcester City prediction for the FA Cup on Saturday, 17 October 2026: the model makes Chorley the clear favourite at 62%, with the draw at 22% and Worcester City at 17%.
Expected goals are 2.08 for Chorley and 1.01 for Worcester City, a total of 3.09, which puts over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 57%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Chorley vs Worcester City is chorley to win, a 62% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.55. That price implies 65%, 3 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Chorley vs Worcester City.
Chorley or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 83% chance, priced 1.11.
The draw sits at only 22%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Over the last 4 matches Chorley stand at 2 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Worcester City show 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Chorley vs Worcester City
Under 2.5 goals is rated 41% and under 3.5 63%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 81% and over 2.5 at 59%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 59%; 1xBet pay 1.59.
Both teams to score is 57%: Chorley find the net in 88% of simulated matches and Worcester City in 64%. Chorley keep a clean sheet 36% of the time and Worcester City 13%.
Correct score: 2-1 leads at 9.9%, then 2-0 at 9.8% and 1-1 at 9.6%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Chorley, full-time Chorley is the top combination at 40%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 75%.
Every market rated for Chorley vs Worcester City
The grid built from 2.08 and 1.01 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Chorley to win62%1.55
Draw22%3.86
Worcester City to win17%4.95
Chorley, draw no bet79%fair 1.27
Worcester City, draw no bet21%fair 4.72
Double chance
Chorley or draw83%1.11
Worcester City or draw38%2.17
Chorley or Worcester City (no draw)78%1.18
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals81%fair 1.23
Over 2.5 goals59%1.59
Over 3.5 goals37%fair 2.68
Over 4.5 goals20%fair 5.00
Under 1.5 goals19%fair 5.38
Under 2.5 goals41%2.17
Under 3.5 goals63%fair 1.59
BTTS
Both teams to score57%1.64
Not both teams to score43%2.10
Halves
First-half goal75%fair 1.33
Over 1.5 first-half goals41%fair 2.47
Second-half goal82%fair 1.22
Team goals
Chorley to score88%fair 1.14
Worcester City to score64%fair 1.57
Chorley clean sheet36%fair 2.75
Worcester City clean sheet13%fair 8.00
Chorley to win to nil34%fair 2.99
Worcester City to win to nil12%fair 8.70
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-19.9%
2-09.8%
1-19.6%
1-09.5%
3-16.9%
3-06.8%
Half-time / full-time
Chorley / Chorley40.3%
Draw / Chorley18.4%
Draw / Draw11.7%
Worcester City / Worcester City9.7%
Draw / Worcester City6.6%
Questions about Chorley vs Worcester City
Who will win Chorley vs Worcester City?
The model gives Chorley the best chance at 62%, with the draw at 22%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
Chorley vs Worcester City correct score: what does the model say?
2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 59% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Chorley vs Worcester City?
The BTTS yes line is rated 57%. Chorley find the net in 88% of simulated matches and Worcester City in 64%.
When is Chorley vs Worcester City and where is the result shown?
Chorley vs Worcester City starts at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.