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Live 31 UTC
FA Cup 4th Round Qualifying Tuesday, 20 October 2026 FT
Forest GreenHomeLDWWD
5:0Half-time 3:0
Chesham UnitedAwayWWDL
83107
Forest Green winDrawChesham United win
Kick-off
Tue 20 Oct
Expected goals
3.50
2.85 : 0.65
Favourite
83%
Forest Green
Over 2.5 goals
67%
model chance
Both teams to score
45%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Forest Green vs Chesham United betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.146.2012.201.442.522.031.69Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Forest Green to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Forest Green vs Chesham United prediction: Forest Green 1.14 (1xBet), draw 6.20 (1xBet), Chesham United 12.20 (1xBet).

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 89.2%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.44 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.52 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.03 (1xBet) and no 1.69 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

83%

Our prediction

Forest Green to win
BankerExpected goals 2.85 : 0.65-5.5% against the best price
Double chanceForest Green or draw
93% chance-
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
67% chance1.44
BTTSNot both teams to score
55% chance1.69
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
86% chance1.16fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
12% chance8.13fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Forest Green, full-time Forest Green
60% chance1.68fair

Forest Green v Chesham United head to head

0Forest Green wins
1Draw
0Chesham United wins
  • 17 Oct 26Chesham United0:0Forest Green

1 meeting since coverage began, 0 goals in total: Forest Green scored 0, Chesham United scored 0.

Forest Green vs Chesham United odds movement

Forest Green win1.14-0.11
Draw6.20-0.20
Chesham United win12.20-0.80
Over 2.5 goals1.44-0.06
Under 2.5 goals2.52-0.11

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Forest Green vs Chesham United prediction

Forest Green vs Chesham United prediction, who wins and at what price

Forest Green host Chesham United on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 in the FA Cup, and the model has Forest Green at 83%, the draw at 10% and Chesham United at 7%: that is the Forest Green vs Chesham United prediction in one line.

The goal expectancy is 3.50 in total, split 2.85 to Forest Green and 0.65 to Chesham United. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 67% and both teams to score 45%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Forest Green to win is the main selection, rated 83%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.14. That price implies 88%, 5 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Forest Green or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 93% chance, priced -.

The draw sits at only 10%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Form check: Forest Green have won 2 of their last 5 with 11 scored and 6 conceded, Chesham United 2 of 4 scoring 11 and conceding 10.

Goals forecast for Forest Green vs Chesham United with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 86%, over 2.5 at 67%, over 3.5 at 46%; under 2.5 is 34% and under 3.5 is 54%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 67%; 1xBet pay 1.44.

BTTS yes stands at 45%. Forest Green score in 94% of simulations against a 6% clean sheet for Chesham United; Chesham United score in 48% while Forest Green shut them out 52% of the time.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Forest Green vs Chesham United: 2-0 (12.3%), 3-0 (11.7%) and 1-0 (8.6%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.3% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Forest Green, full-time Forest Green is the top combination at 60%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 79%.

All markets, Forest Green vs Chesham United

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 83% / 10% / 7% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Forest Green to win83%1.14
Draw10%6.20
Chesham United to win7%12.20
Forest Green, draw no bet92%fair 1.08
Chesham United, draw no bet8%fair 12.82

Double chance

Forest Green or draw93%-
Chesham United or draw17%4.11
Forest Green or Chesham United (no draw)90%1.04

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals86%fair 1.16
Over 2.5 goals67%1.44
Over 3.5 goals46%fair 2.16
Over 4.5 goals27%fair 3.65
Under 1.5 goals14%fair 7.30
Under 2.5 goals34%2.52
Under 3.5 goals54%fair 1.86

BTTS

Both teams to score45%2.03
Not both teams to score55%1.69

Halves

First-half goal79%fair 1.26
Over 1.5 first-half goals47%fair 2.14
Second-half goal85%fair 1.17

Team goals

Forest Green to score94%fair 1.06
Chesham United to score48%fair 2.09
Forest Green clean sheet52%fair 1.92
Chesham United clean sheet6%fair 17.24
Forest Green to win to nil48%fair 2.08
Chesham United to win to nil5%fair 18.87

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-012.3%
3-011.7%
1-08.6%
4-08.3%
2-18%
3-17.6%

Half-time / full-time

Forest Green / Forest Green59.5%
Draw / Forest Green19.8%
Draw / Draw7%
Chesham United / Chesham United3%
Chesham United / Forest Green2.9%

Questions about Forest Green vs Chesham United

Who will win Forest Green vs Chesham United?

The model gives Forest Green the best chance at 83%, with the draw at 10%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What is the correct score prediction for Forest Green vs Chesham United?

2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12.3%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 67%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Forest Green vs Chesham United?

The BTTS yes line is rated 45%. Forest Green find the net in 94% of simulated matches and Chesham United in 48%.

What time does Forest Green vs Chesham United kick off?

Kick-off is 18:45 UTC on Tuesday, 20 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Forest Green v Chesham UnitedForest Green to win, 83%
1.14Bet