FA Cup
AlvechurchHomeWLWDW
4:0Half-time 2:0
Spalding UnitedAwayWDWDL332542
Alvechurch winDrawSpalding United win
AlvechurchHomeWLWDWSpalding UnitedAwayWDWDL- Kick-off Tue 20 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.83 1.31 : 1.52
- Favourite
- 42% Spalding United
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 58% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Alvechurch vs Spalding United betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.76 | 3.40 | 2.22 | 1.74 | 1.94 | 1.61 | 2.16 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Spalding United to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Alvechurch vs Spalding United are 2.76 for Alvechurch at 1xBet, 3.40 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.22 for Spalding United at 1xBet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.3%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.74 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.94 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.61 (1xBet) and no 2.16 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
75%
Our prediction
Alvechurch or Spalding United (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
53% chance1.74
BTTSBoth teams to score
58% chance1.61
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
77% chance1.29fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.47fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Spalding United, full-time Spalding United
25% chance3.94fair
First halfFirst-half goal
72% chance1.39fair
Alvechurch v Spalding United head to head
0Alvechurch wins
1Draw
0Spalding United wins
- 17 Oct 26Spalding United2:2Alvechurch
1 meeting since coverage began, 4 goals in total: Alvechurch scored 2, Spalding United scored 2.
Alvechurch vs Spalding United odds movement
Alvechurch win2.76-0.24
Draw3.40-0.40
Spalding United win2.22-0.04
Over 2.5 goals1.74-0.01
Under 2.5 goals1.94-0.11
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Alvechurch vs Spalding United prediction
Our Alvechurch vs Spalding United prediction and pick
Spalding United are marginally ahead in the Alvechurch vs Spalding United prediction, rated 42% to win this FA Cup match on Tuesday, 20 October 2026. Alvechurch sit at 33% and the draw at 25%.
Expected goals are 1.31 for Alvechurch and 1.52 for Spalding United, a total of 2.83, which puts over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 58%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Alvechurch vs Spalding United is alvechurch or Spalding United (no draw), a 75% chance. At 1.23 with 1xBet the market prices it at 81%, against 75% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Over the last 5 matches Alvechurch stand at 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Spalding United show 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
How many goals in Alvechurch vs Spalding United? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 77%, over 2.5 at 53%, over 3.5 at 32%; under 2.5 is 47% and under 3.5 is 69%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; 1xBet pay 1.74.
Both teams to score is 58%: Alvechurch find the net in 73% of simulated matches and Spalding United in 78%. Alvechurch keep a clean sheet 22% of the time and Spalding United 27%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11.8%, then 0-1 at 9% and 1-2 at 8.9%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Spalding United, full-time Spalding United is the top combination at 25%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 72%.
Every market for Alvechurch vs Spalding United
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Alvechurch vs Spalding United, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Alvechurch to win33%2.76
Draw25%3.40
Spalding United to win42%2.22
Alvechurch, draw no bet44%fair 2.28
Spalding United, draw no bet56%fair 1.78
Double chance
Alvechurch or draw58%1.52
Spalding United or draw67%1.34
Alvechurch or Spalding United (no draw)75%1.23
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals77%fair 1.29
Over 2.5 goals53%1.74
Over 3.5 goals32%fair 3.17
Over 4.5 goals16%fair 6.37
Under 1.5 goals23%fair 4.42
Under 2.5 goals47%1.94
Under 3.5 goals69%fair 1.46
BTTS
Both teams to score58%1.61
Not both teams to score42%2.16
Halves
First-half goal72%fair 1.39
Over 1.5 first-half goals36%fair 2.75
Second-half goal79%fair 1.27
Team goals
Alvechurch to score73%fair 1.37
Spalding United to score78%fair 1.28
Alvechurch clean sheet22%fair 4.57
Spalding United clean sheet27%fair 3.70
Alvechurch to win to nil20%fair 4.98
Spalding United to win to nil25%fair 4.03
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.8%
0-19%
1-28.9%
1-07.7%
2-17.7%
0-26.8%
Half-time / full-time
Spalding United / Spalding United25.4%
Alvechurch / Alvechurch19%
Draw / Draw14.5%
Draw / Spalding United14.3%
Draw / Alvechurch11.6%
Questions about Alvechurch vs Spalding United
Who will win Alvechurch vs Spalding United?
The model gives Spalding United the best chance at 42%, with the draw at 25%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What scoreline is most likely in Alvechurch vs Spalding United?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 53%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Alvechurch vs Spalding United?
The BTTS yes line is rated 58%. Alvechurch find the net in 73% of simulated matches and Spalding United in 78%.
When do Alvechurch play Spalding United?
Kick-off is 18:45 UTC on Tuesday, 20 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.