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Live 25 UTC
FA Cup 4th Round Qualifying Saturday, 17 October 2026 FT
Spalding UnitedHomeWDWDL
2:2Half-time 1:0
AlvechurchAwayWLWDW
532522
Spalding United winDrawAlvechurch win
Kick-off
Sat 17 Oct
Expected goals
2.66
1.67 : 0.99
Favourite
53%
Spalding United
Over 2.5 goals
49%
model chance
Both teams to score
52%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Best odds for Spalding United vs Alvechurch

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.763.483.991.861.811.771.92Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Spalding United to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Spalding United price at 1.76, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.48 and 1xBet have Alvechurch longest at 3.99.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.86 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.81 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.77 (1xBet) and no 1.92 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

53%

Our prediction

Spalding United to win
StrongExpected goals 1.67 : 0.99-6.2% against the best price
Double chanceSpalding United or draw
78% chance1.17
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
51% chance1.81
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.77
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
74% chance1.34fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
12% chance8.55fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Spalding United, full-time Spalding United
33% chance3.03fair

Spalding United v Alvechurch head to head

0Spalding United wins
0Draws
1Alvechurch wins
  • 20 Oct 26Alvechurch4:0Spalding United

1 meeting since coverage began, 4 goals in total: Spalding United scored 0, Alvechurch scored 4.

Spalding United vs Alvechurch odds movement

Spalding United win1.76-0.07
Draw3.48-0.12
Alvechurch win3.99-0.11
Over 2.5 goals1.86-0.09
Under 2.5 goals1.81-0.04

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Spalding United vs Alvechurch prediction

Spalding United vs Alvechurch prediction and best bet

Spalding United vs Alvechurch prediction for the FA Cup on Saturday, 17 October 2026: the model makes Spalding United a narrow favourite at 53%, with the draw at 25% and Alvechurch at 22%.

Spalding United are expected to score 1.67 and Alvechurch 0.99, so the total line is 2.66 goals; over 2.5 lands at 49% and BTTS at 52%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for Spalding United vs Alvechurch is spalding United to win, a 53% chance. At 1.76 with 1xBet the market prices it at 57%, against 53% from the model.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Spalding United vs Alvechurch.

For a safer line, spalding United or draw covers 78% of outcomes at 1.17.

Over the last 5 matches Spalding United stand at 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Alvechurch show 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats in 5.

How many goals in Spalding United vs Alvechurch? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 74%, over 2.5 at 49%, over 3.5 at 28%; under 2.5 is 51% and under 3.5 is 72%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 51%; 1xBet pay 1.81.

The chance of both teams scoring is 52%, built from Spalding United scoring in 81% of runs and Alvechurch in 63%; clean sheets come at 37% for Spalding United and 19% for Alvechurch.

Correct score: 1-0 leads at 11.7%, then 1-1 at 11.6% and 2-0 at 9.8%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.7% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Spalding United, full-time Spalding United is the top combination at 33%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 70%.

Every market rated for Spalding United vs Alvechurch

The grid built from 1.67 and 0.99 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Spalding United to win53%1.76
Draw25%3.48
Alvechurch to win22%3.99
Spalding United, draw no bet71%fair 1.41
Alvechurch, draw no bet29%fair 3.45

Double chance

Spalding United or draw78%1.17
Alvechurch or draw47%1.86
Spalding United or Alvechurch (no draw)75%1.22

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals74%fair 1.34
Over 2.5 goals49%1.86
Over 3.5 goals28%fair 3.61
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 7.63
Under 1.5 goals26%fair 3.91
Under 2.5 goals51%1.81
Under 3.5 goals72%fair 1.38

BTTS

Both teams to score52%1.77
Not both teams to score48%1.92

Halves

First-half goal70%fair 1.43
Over 1.5 first-half goals34%fair 2.98
Second-half goal77%fair 1.30

Team goals

Spalding United to score81%fair 1.23
Alvechurch to score63%fair 1.59
Spalding United clean sheet37%fair 2.69
Alvechurch clean sheet19%fair 5.32
Spalding United to win to nil34%fair 2.92
Alvechurch to win to nil17%fair 5.78

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-011.7%
1-111.6%
2-09.8%
2-19.7%
0-07%
0-16.9%

Half-time / full-time

Spalding United / Spalding United33%
Draw / Spalding United17.7%
Draw / Draw14.9%
Alvechurch / Alvechurch12.4%
Draw / Alvechurch8.6%

Questions about Spalding United vs Alvechurch

Spalding United or Alvechurch: which side does the model back?

The model gives Spalding United the best chance at 53%, with the draw at 25%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

Spalding United vs Alvechurch correct score: what does the model say?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 11.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 49% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Spalding United vs Alvechurch?

The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Spalding United find the net in 81% of simulated matches and Alvechurch in 63%.

When do Spalding United play Alvechurch?

Kick-off is 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Spalding United v AlvechurchSpalding United to win, 53%
1.76Bet