FA Cup
SouthendHomeWLDDL
1:2Half-time 1:1
BerkhamstedAwayWWWWL76159
Southend winDrawBerkhamsted win
SouthendHomeWLDDLBerkhamstedAwayWWWWL- Kick-off Sat 17 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.53 2.66 : 0.87
- Favourite
- 76% Southend
- Over 2.5 goals
- 67% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 56% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Southend vs Berkhamsted betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.28 | 5.20 | 7.50 | 1.40 | 2.56 | 1.67 | 2.05 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Southend to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Southend vs Berkhamsted prediction: Southend 1.28 (1xBet), draw 5.20 (1xBet), Berkhamsted 7.50 (1xBet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.3%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.40 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.56 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.67 (1xBet) and no 2.05 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
76%
Our prediction
Southend to win
Double chanceSouthend or draw
90% chance1.03
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
67% chance1.40
BTTSBoth teams to score
56% chance1.67
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
87% chance1.15fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
10% chance9.62fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Southend, full-time Southend
53% chance1.90fair
Southend vs Berkhamsted odds movement
Southend win1.28-0.02
Draw5.20-0.05
Berkhamsted win7.50-1.00
Over 2.5 goals1.40-0.04
Under 2.5 goals2.56-0.19
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Southend vs Berkhamsted prediction
Southend vs Berkhamsted prediction, who wins and at what price
Southend host Berkhamsted on Saturday, 17 October 2026 in the FA Cup, and the model has Southend at 76%, the draw at 15% and Berkhamsted at 10%: that is the Southend vs Berkhamsted prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 2.66 for Southend and 0.87 for Berkhamsted, a total of 3.53, which puts over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams to score at 56%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Southend to win is the main selection, rated 76%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.28. That price implies 78%, 3 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Southend or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 90% chance, priced 1.03.
With the draw down at 15%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Over the last 5 matches Southend stand at 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Berkhamsted show 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
Southend vs Berkhamsted over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 87%, over 2.5 at 67%, over 3.5 at 47%; under 2.5 is 33% and under 3.5 is 53%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 67%, best priced 1.40 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 56%: Southend find the net in 93% of simulated matches and Berkhamsted in 58%. Southend keep a clean sheet 42% of the time and Berkhamsted 7%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Southend vs Berkhamsted: 2-0 (10.4%), 3-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (9%).
With the top scoreline at 10.4%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Southend vs Berkhamsted; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Southend, full-time Southend is the top combination at 53%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 80%.
Every market rated for Southend vs Berkhamsted
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 76% / 15% / 10% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Southend to win76%1.28
Draw15%5.20
Berkhamsted to win10%7.50
Southend, draw no bet89%fair 1.13
Berkhamsted, draw no bet11%fair 8.85
Double chance
Southend or draw90%1.03
Berkhamsted or draw25%3.07
Southend or Berkhamsted (no draw)85%1.09
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals87%fair 1.15
Over 2.5 goals67%1.40
Over 3.5 goals47%fair 2.13
Over 4.5 goals28%fair 3.57
Under 1.5 goals13%fair 7.52
Under 2.5 goals33%2.56
Under 3.5 goals53%fair 1.88
BTTS
Both teams to score56%1.67
Not both teams to score44%2.05
Halves
First-half goal80%fair 1.26
Over 1.5 first-half goals47%fair 2.12
Second-half goal86%fair 1.17
Team goals
Southend to score93%fair 1.08
Berkhamsted to score58%fair 1.72
Southend clean sheet42%fair 2.39
Berkhamsted clean sheet7%fair 14.29
Southend to win to nil39%fair 2.60
Berkhamsted to win to nil6%fair 15.63
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-010.4%
3-09.2%
2-19%
3-18%
1-07.8%
1-16.8%
Half-time / full-time
Southend / Southend52.6%
Draw / Southend19.2%
Draw / Draw8.2%
Berkhamsted / Berkhamsted5.3%
Draw / Berkhamsted3.7%
Questions about Southend vs Berkhamsted
Who will win Southend vs Berkhamsted?
The model gives Southend the best chance at 76%, with the draw at 15%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in Southend vs Berkhamsted?
2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 10.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 67%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Southend vs Berkhamsted?
The BTTS yes line is rated 56%. Southend find the net in 93% of simulated matches and Berkhamsted in 58%.
When is Southend vs Berkhamsted and where is the result shown?
Southend vs Berkhamsted starts at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.