FA Cup
Plymouth ParkwayHomeWLWW
2:0Half-time 0:0
Chertsey TownAwayWDWLW522325
Plymouth Parkway winDrawChertsey Town win
Plymouth ParkwayHomeWLWWChertsey TownAwayWDWLW- Kick-off Sat 17 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.46 2.06 : 1.40
- Favourite
- 52% Plymouth Parkway
- Over 2.5 goals
- 66% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 67% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.79 | 3.78 | 3.54 | 1.41 | 2.52 | 1.42 | 2.62 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Plymouth Parkway to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Plymouth Parkway price at 1.79, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.78 and 1xBet have Chertsey Town longest at 3.54.
The best-price payout across the three results is 90.4%, several points better than any single book offers here.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.41 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.52 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.42 (1xBet) and no 2.62 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
52%
Our prediction
Plymouth Parkway to win
Double chancePlymouth Parkway or Chertsey Town (no draw)
77% chance1.19
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
66% chance1.41
BTTSBoth teams to score
67% chance1.42
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
86% chance1.16fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
9% chance10.75fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Plymouth Parkway, full-time Plymouth Parkway
34% chance2.98fair
Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town odds movement
Plymouth Parkway win1.79-0.11
Draw3.78-0.22
Chertsey Town win3.54-0.06
Over 2.5 goals1.41-0.03
Under 2.5 goals2.52-0.11
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town prediction
Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town prediction, who wins and at what price
Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town prediction for the FA Cup on Saturday, 17 October 2026: the model makes Plymouth Parkway a narrow favourite at 52%, with the draw at 23% and Chertsey Town at 25%.
Plymouth Parkway are expected to score 2.06 and Chertsey Town 1.40, so the total line is 3.46 goals; over 2.5 lands at 66% and BTTS at 67%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town is plymouth Parkway to win, a 52% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.79 at 1xBet, which implies 56%, so the model sits 4 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town.
Plymouth Parkway or Chertsey Town (no draw) is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 77% chance, priced 1.19.
Plymouth Parkway average 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last 4, Chertsey Town 2.2 and 1.2 across 5.
Goals forecast for Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town reads 86% for over 1.5, 66% for over 2.5 and 46% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 34%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 66%; 1xBet pay 1.41.
BTTS yes stands at 67%. Plymouth Parkway score in 87% of simulations against a 13% clean sheet for Chertsey Town; Chertsey Town score in 75% while Plymouth Parkway shut them out 25% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 67%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town: 2-1 (9.3%), 1-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (6.7%).
With the top scoreline at 9.3%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Plymouth Parkway, full-time Plymouth Parkway is the top combination at 34%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 79%.
All markets, Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 52% / 23% / 25% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Plymouth Parkway to win52%1.79
Draw23%3.78
Chertsey Town to win25%3.54
Plymouth Parkway, draw no bet68%fair 1.48
Chertsey Town, draw no bet32%fair 3.10
Double chance
Plymouth Parkway or draw75%1.21
Chertsey Town or draw48%1.83
Plymouth Parkway or Chertsey Town (no draw)77%1.19
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals86%fair 1.16
Over 2.5 goals66%1.41
Over 3.5 goals46%fair 2.20
Over 4.5 goals27%fair 3.75
Under 1.5 goals14%fair 7.14
Under 2.5 goals34%2.52
Under 3.5 goals55%fair 1.83
BTTS
Both teams to score67%1.42
Not both teams to score33%2.62
Halves
First-half goal79%fair 1.27
Over 1.5 first-half goals46%fair 2.17
Second-half goal85%fair 1.18
Team goals
Plymouth Parkway to score87%fair 1.15
Chertsey Town to score75%fair 1.33
Plymouth Parkway clean sheet25%fair 4.05
Chertsey Town clean sheet13%fair 7.87
Plymouth Parkway to win to nil23%fair 4.41
Chertsey Town to win to nil12%fair 8.55
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-19.3%
1-19.1%
2-06.7%
2-26.5%
1-06.5%
3-16.4%
Half-time / full-time
Plymouth Parkway / Plymouth Parkway33.6%
Draw / Plymouth Parkway15.6%
Chertsey Town / Chertsey Town15%
Draw / Draw11%
Draw / Chertsey Town8.8%
Questions about Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town
Plymouth Parkway or Chertsey Town: which side does the model back?
The model gives Plymouth Parkway the best chance at 52%, with the draw at 23%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town correct score: what does the model say?
2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 66% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town?
The BTTS yes line is rated 67%. Plymouth Parkway find the net in 87% of simulated matches and Chertsey Town in 75%.
What time does Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town kick off?
Kick-off is 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.