FA Trophy
TakeleyHomeWL
0:4Half-time 0:1
Chertsey TownAwayWDWLW212059
Takeley winDrawChertsey Town win
TakeleyHomeWLChertsey TownAwayWDWLW- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.46 1.24 : 2.22
- Favourite
- 60% Chertsey Town
- Over 2.5 goals
- 67% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 64% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Takeley vs Chertsey Town odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 4.58 | 4.20 | 1.54 | 1.40 | 2.56 | 1.48 | 2.45 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Chertsey Town to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Takeley vs Chertsey Town prediction: Takeley 4.58 (1xBet), draw 4.20 (1xBet), Chertsey Town 1.54 (1xBet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.40 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.56 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.48 (1xBet) and no 2.45 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
60%
Our prediction
Chertsey Town to win
Double chanceTakeley or Chertsey Town (no draw)
80% chance1.15
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
67% chance1.40
BTTSBoth teams to score
64% chance1.48
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
86% chance1.16fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-2
10% chance10.42fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Chertsey Town, full-time Chertsey Town
39% chance2.58fair
Takeley vs Chertsey Town odds movement
Takeley win4.58-0.02
Draw4.20-0.20
Chertsey Town win1.54-0.08
Over 2.5 goals1.40-0.04
Under 2.5 goals2.56-0.06
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Takeley vs Chertsey Town prediction
Takeley vs Chertsey Town prediction and best bet
Takeley host Chertsey Town on Saturday, 24 October 2026 in the FA Trophy, and the model has Chertsey Town at 60%, the draw at 20% and Takeley at 21%: that is the Takeley vs Chertsey Town prediction in one line.
Takeley are expected to score 1.24 and Chertsey Town 2.22, so the total line is 3.46 goals; over 2.5 lands at 67% and BTTS at 64%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Chertsey Town to win is the main selection, rated 60%. The best price in our comparison is 1.54 at 1xBet, which implies 65%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
For a safer line, takeley or Chertsey Town (no draw) covers 80% of outcomes at 1.15.
With the draw down at 20%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Goals forecast for Takeley vs Chertsey Town with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 33% and under 3.5 55%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 86% and over 2.5 at 67%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 67%, best priced 1.40 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 64%: Takeley find the net in 71% of simulated matches and Chertsey Town in 89%. Takeley keep a clean sheet 11% of the time and Chertsey Town 29%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 64%.
Correct score: 1-2 leads at 9.6%, then 1-1 at 8.7% and 0-2 at 7.7%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Chertsey Town, full-time Chertsey Town is the top combination at 39%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 79%.
All markets, Takeley vs Chertsey Town
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 21% / 20% / 60% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Takeley to win21%4.58
Draw20%4.20
Chertsey Town to win60%1.54
Takeley, draw no bet26%fair 3.88
Chertsey Town, draw no bet74%fair 1.35
Double chance
Takeley or draw40%2.19
Chertsey Town or draw79%1.13
Takeley or Chertsey Town (no draw)80%1.15
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals86%fair 1.16
Over 2.5 goals67%1.40
Over 3.5 goals46%fair 2.20
Over 4.5 goals27%fair 3.75
Under 1.5 goals14%fair 7.14
Under 2.5 goals33%2.56
Under 3.5 goals55%fair 1.83
BTTS
Both teams to score64%1.48
Not both teams to score36%2.45
Halves
First-half goal79%fair 1.27
Over 1.5 first-half goals46%fair 2.17
Second-half goal85%fair 1.18
Team goals
Takeley to score71%fair 1.41
Chertsey Town to score89%fair 1.12
Takeley clean sheet11%fair 9.17
Chertsey Town clean sheet29%fair 3.46
Takeley to win to nil10%fair 10.00
Chertsey Town to win to nil27%fair 3.76
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-29.6%
1-18.7%
0-27.7%
1-37.1%
0-17%
2-26%
Half-time / full-time
Chertsey Town / Chertsey Town38.8%
Draw / Chertsey Town17%
Takeley / Takeley11.6%
Draw / Draw10.4%
Draw / Takeley7.2%
Questions about Takeley vs Chertsey Town
Takeley or Chertsey Town: which side does the model back?
The model gives Chertsey Town the best chance at 60%, with the draw at 20%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in Takeley vs Chertsey Town?
1-2 is the most likely scoreline at 9.6%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 67%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Takeley vs Chertsey Town?
The BTTS yes line is rated 64%. Takeley find the net in 71% of simulated matches and Chertsey Town in 89%.
When is Takeley vs Chertsey Town and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.