Guiseley AFC vs Sutton Utd prediction

Guiseley AFC vs Sutton Utd prediction, who wins and at what price

The Guiseley AFC vs Sutton Utd prediction leans to Sutton Utd: 52% against 24% for Guiseley AFC, with 24% left for the draw, in the FA Cup on Saturday, 7 November 2026.

Expected goals are 1.15 for Guiseley AFC and 1.77 for Sutton Utd, a total of 2.92, which puts over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 57%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Sutton Utd to win is the main selection, rated 52%. The best price in our comparison is 1.81 at Melbet, which implies 55%, so the model sits 4 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Guiseley AFC vs Sutton Utd.

Guiseley AFC or Sutton Utd (no draw) is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 76% chance, priced 1.24.

Form check: Guiseley AFC have won 5 of their last 5 with 15 scored and 4 conceded, Sutton Utd 3 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 5.

Guiseley AFC vs Sutton Utd goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 79%, over 2.5 at 55%, over 3.5 at 34%; under 2.5 is 45% and under 3.5 is 67%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 55%, best priced 1.71 at Melbet.

BTTS yes stands at 57%. Guiseley AFC score in 68% of simulations against a 32% clean sheet for Sutton Utd; Sutton Utd score in 83% while Guiseley AFC shut them out 17% of the time.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11%, then 1-2 at 9.7% and 0-1 at 9.5%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 11% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Sutton Utd, full-time Sutton Utd is the top combination at 32%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 73%.