FA Cup
LeistonHomeWLWL
0:3Half-time 0:3
Guiseley AFCAwayWWWWW242353
Leiston winDrawGuiseley AFC win
LeistonHomeWLWLGuiseley AFCAwayWWWWW- Kick-off Sat 17 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.18 1.25 : 1.93
- Favourite
- 53% Guiseley AFC
- Over 2.5 goals
- 61% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 62% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Leiston vs Guiseley AFC odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 3.65 | 3.84 | 1.78 | 1.54 | 2.27 | 1.52 | 2.34 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Guiseley AFC to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Leiston vs Guiseley AFC are 3.65 for Leiston at 1xBet, 3.84 for the draw at 1xBet and 1.78 for Guiseley AFC at 1xBet.
The best-price payout across the three results is 91.2%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.54 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.27 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.52 (1xBet) and no 2.34 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
53%
Our prediction
Guiseley AFC to win
Double chanceLeiston or Guiseley AFC (no draw)
77% chance1.20
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
61% chance1.54
BTTSBoth teams to score
62% chance1.52
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
83% chance1.21fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance10.00fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Guiseley AFC, full-time Guiseley AFC
34% chance2.98fair
Leiston vs Guiseley AFC odds movement
Leiston win3.65-0.15
Draw3.84-0.06
Guiseley AFC win1.78-0.07
Over 2.5 goals1.54-0.03
Under 2.5 goals2.27-0.11
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Leiston vs Guiseley AFC prediction
Our Leiston vs Guiseley AFC prediction and pick
Guiseley AFC are a narrow favourite in the Leiston vs Guiseley AFC prediction, rated 53% to win this FA Cup match on Saturday, 17 October 2026. Leiston sit at 24% and the draw at 23%.
The goal expectancy is 3.18 in total, split 1.25 to Leiston and 1.93 to Guiseley AFC. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 61% and both teams to score 62%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Leiston vs Guiseley AFC is guiseley AFC to win, a 53% chance. At 1.78 with 1xBet the market prices it at 56%, against 53% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
For a safer line, leiston or Guiseley AFC (no draw) covers 77% of outcomes at 1.20.
Leiston average 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded across their last 4, Guiseley AFC 3.0 and 0.8 across 5.
Leiston vs Guiseley AFC over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
Under 2.5 goals is rated 39% and under 3.5 61%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 83% and over 2.5 at 61%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 61%, best priced 1.54 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 62%. Leiston score in 71% of simulations against a 29% clean sheet for Guiseley AFC; Guiseley AFC score in 86% while Leiston shut them out 15% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Leiston vs Guiseley AFC: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-1 (8%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Guiseley AFC, full-time Guiseley AFC is the top combination at 34%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 76%.
Every market for Leiston vs Guiseley AFC
The grid built from 1.25 and 1.93 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Leiston to win24%3.65
Draw23%3.84
Guiseley AFC to win53%1.78
Leiston, draw no bet31%fair 3.19
Guiseley AFC, draw no bet69%fair 1.46
Double chance
Leiston or draw47%1.87
Guiseley AFC or draw76%1.22
Leiston or Guiseley AFC (no draw)77%1.20
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals83%fair 1.21
Over 2.5 goals61%1.54
Over 3.5 goals39%fair 2.54
Over 4.5 goals22%fair 4.63
Under 1.5 goals17%fair 5.75
Under 2.5 goals39%2.27
Under 3.5 goals61%fair 1.65
BTTS
Both teams to score62%1.52
Not both teams to score38%2.34
Halves
First-half goal76%fair 1.31
Over 1.5 first-half goals42%fair 2.39
Second-half goal83%fair 1.21
Team goals
Leiston to score71%fair 1.40
Guiseley AFC to score86%fair 1.17
Leiston clean sheet15%fair 6.90
Guiseley AFC clean sheet29%fair 3.48
Leiston to win to nil13%fair 7.46
Guiseley AFC to win to nil26%fair 3.79
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110%
1-29.7%
0-18%
0-27.7%
2-16.3%
1-36.2%
Half-time / full-time
Guiseley AFC / Guiseley AFC33.6%
Draw / Guiseley AFC16.3%
Leiston / Leiston14.1%
Draw / Draw12.1%
Draw / Leiston8.7%
Questions about Leiston vs Guiseley AFC
Who will win Leiston vs Guiseley AFC?
The model gives Guiseley AFC the best chance at 53%, with the draw at 23%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What is the correct score prediction for Leiston vs Guiseley AFC?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 61%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Leiston vs Guiseley AFC?
The BTTS yes line is rated 62%. Leiston find the net in 71% of simulated matches and Guiseley AFC in 86%.
What time does Leiston vs Guiseley AFC kick off?
Leiston vs Guiseley AFC starts at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.