Oxford City vs Leicester prediction

Our Oxford City vs Leicester prediction and pick

Oxford City host Leicester on Friday, 6 November 2026 in the FA Cup, and the model has Leicester at 74%, the draw at 15% and Oxford City at 11%: that is the Oxford City vs Leicester prediction in one line.

Oxford City are expected to score 0.84 and Leicester 2.53, so the total line is 3.37 goals; over 2.5 lands at 65% and BTTS at 52%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is leicester to win at 74%. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.28. That price implies 78%, 4 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

For a safer line, leicester or draw covers 89% of outcomes at 1.04.

With the draw down at 15%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Oxford City average 3.0 goals scored and 0.3 conceded across their last 3, Leicester 2.4 and 1.0 across 5.

Goals forecast for Oxford City vs Leicester with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Under 2.5 goals is rated 35% and under 3.5 57%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 85% and over 2.5 at 65%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 65%, best priced 1.43 at Melbet.

Both teams to score is 52%: Oxford City find the net in 57% of simulated matches and Leicester in 92%. Oxford City keep a clean sheet 8% of the time and Leicester 43%.

The most likely scoreline is 0-2 at 11%, followed by 0-3 (9.3%) and 1-2 (9.2%).

With the top scoreline at 11%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Oxford City vs Leicester; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Leicester, full-time Leicester leads at 51%. A goal before the break is rated 78%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.