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Live 19 UTC
FA Cup 1/128-finals Saturday, 7 November 2026 Kick-off
Stafford RangersHomeLDWDW
Sat 7 Nov
GrimsbyAwayLLDWW
572122
Stafford Rangers winDrawGrimsby win
Kick-off
Sat 7 Nov
Expected goals
3.28
2.06 : 1.22
Favourite
57%
Stafford Rangers
Over 2.5 goals
63%
model chance
Both teams to score
61%
model chance
Prices compared
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awaiting lines

Stafford Rangers vs Grimsby odds comparison

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.

57%

Our prediction

Stafford Rangers to win
StrongExpected goals 2.06 : 1.22
1.77fair
Double chanceStafford Rangers or Grimsby (no draw)
79% chance1.27fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
63% chance1.58fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
61% chance1.63fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
84% chance1.19fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
10% chance10.31fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Stafford Rangers, full-time Stafford Rangers
36% chance2.75fair

Stafford Rangers vs Grimsby prediction

Stafford Rangers vs Grimsby prediction, who wins and at what price

The Stafford Rangers vs Grimsby prediction leans to Stafford Rangers: 57% against 22% for Grimsby, with 21% left for the draw, in the FA Cup on Saturday, 7 November 2026.

Expected goals are 2.06 for Stafford Rangers and 1.22 for Grimsby, a total of 3.28, which puts over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 61%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is stafford Rangers to win at 57%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.

For a safer line, stafford Rangers or Grimsby (no draw) covers 79% of outcomes.

With the draw down at 21%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Stafford Rangers average 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across their last 5, Grimsby 2.2 and 1.6 across 5.

Goals forecast for Stafford Rangers vs Grimsby with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Under 2.5 goals is rated 37% and under 3.5 59%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 84% and over 2.5 at 63%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 63%.

Both teams to score is 61%: Stafford Rangers find the net in 87% of simulated matches and Grimsby in 71%. Stafford Rangers keep a clean sheet 30% of the time and Grimsby 13%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Stafford Rangers vs Grimsby: 2-1 (9.7%), 1-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.7% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Stafford Rangers, full-time Stafford Rangers leads at 36%. A goal before the break is rated 77%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Stafford Rangers vs Grimsby

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Stafford Rangers vs Grimsby, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Stafford Rangers to win57%fair 1.77
Draw21%fair 4.72
Grimsby to win22%fair 4.50
Stafford Rangers, draw no bet72%fair 1.39
Grimsby, draw no bet28%fair 3.55

Double chance

Stafford Rangers or draw78%fair 1.29
Grimsby or draw43%fair 2.30
Stafford Rangers or Grimsby (no draw)79%fair 1.27

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals84%fair 1.19
Over 2.5 goals63%fair 1.58
Over 3.5 goals42%fair 2.41
Over 4.5 goals23%fair 4.27
Under 1.5 goals16%fair 6.21
Under 2.5 goals37%fair 2.72
Under 3.5 goals59%fair 1.71

BTTS

Both teams to score61%fair 1.63
Not both teams to score39%fair 2.58

Halves

First-half goal77%fair 1.30
Over 1.5 first-half goals43%fair 2.30
Second-half goal84%fair 1.20

Team goals

Stafford Rangers to score87%fair 1.15
Grimsby to score71%fair 1.42
Stafford Rangers clean sheet30%fair 3.39
Grimsby clean sheet13%fair 7.87
Stafford Rangers to win to nil27%fair 3.68
Grimsby to win to nil12%fair 8.55

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-19.7%
1-19.5%
2-08%
1-07.8%
3-16.7%
2-25.9%

Half-time / full-time

Stafford Rangers / Stafford Rangers36.4%
Draw / Stafford Rangers16.8%
Grimsby / Grimsby12.6%
Draw / Draw11.4%
Draw / Grimsby7.8%

Questions about Stafford Rangers vs Grimsby

Stafford Rangers or Grimsby: which side does the model back?

The model gives Stafford Rangers the best chance at 57%, with the draw at 21%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What scoreline is most likely in Stafford Rangers vs Grimsby?

2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 63% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Stafford Rangers vs Grimsby?

The BTTS yes line is rated 61%. Stafford Rangers find the net in 87% of simulated matches and Grimsby in 71%.

What time does Stafford Rangers vs Grimsby kick off?

Kick-off is 12:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Stafford Rangers v GrimsbyStafford Rangers to win, 57%
1.77fair