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Live 18 UTC
FA Cup 1/128-finals Saturday, 7 November 2026 Kick-off
AFC HornchurchHomeWWLLL
Sat 7 Nov
BlackpoolAwayLWLWD
232354
AFC Hornchurch winDrawBlackpool win
Kick-off
Sat 7 Nov
Expected goals
3.16
1.21 : 1.95
Favourite
54%
Blackpool
Over 2.5 goals
61%
model chance
Both teams to score
61%
model chance
Prices compared
3
in the odds table

AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
22Bet4.123.981.741.572.311.552.30Bet
Betwinner4.123.981.741.572.311.552.30Bet
Melbet4.123.981.741.572.311.552.30Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Blackpool to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool are 4.12 for AFC Hornchurch at 22Bet, 3.98 for the draw at 22Bet and 1.74 for Blackpool at 22Bet.

The best-price payout across the three results is 93.6%, several points better than any single book offers here.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.57 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.31 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.55 (22Bet) and no 2.30 (22Bet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

54%

Our prediction

Blackpool to win
StrongExpected goals 1.21 : 1.95-6% against the best price
Double chanceAFC Hornchurch or Blackpool (no draw)
77% chance1.22
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
61% chance1.57
BTTSBoth teams to score
61% chance1.55
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
82% chance1.22fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance10.00fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Blackpool, full-time Blackpool
35% chance2.89fair

AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool prediction

Our AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool prediction and pick

AFC Hornchurch host Blackpool on Saturday, 7 November 2026 in the FA Cup, and the model has Blackpool at 54%, the draw at 23% and AFC Hornchurch at 23%: that is the AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool prediction in one line.

AFC Hornchurch are expected to score 1.21 and Blackpool 1.95, so the total line is 3.16 goals; over 2.5 lands at 61% and BTTS at 61%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Blackpool to win is the main selection, rated 54%. The best price in our comparison is 1.74 at 22Bet, which implies 57%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

For a safer line, aFC Hornchurch or Blackpool (no draw) covers 77% of outcomes at 1.22.

AFC Hornchurch average 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across their last 5, Blackpool 1.4 and 1.8 across 5.

AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 82%, over 2.5 at 61%, over 3.5 at 39%; under 2.5 is 39% and under 3.5 is 61%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 61%; 22Bet pay 1.57.

The chance of both teams scoring is 61%, built from AFC Hornchurch scoring in 70% of runs and Blackpool in 86%; clean sheets come at 14% for AFC Hornchurch and 30% for Blackpool.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 10%, then 1-2 at 9.8% and 0-1 at 8.3%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Blackpool, full-time Blackpool is the top combination at 35%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 76%.

Every market rated for AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool

The grid built from 1.21 and 1.95 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

AFC Hornchurch to win23%4.12
Draw23%3.98
Blackpool to win54%1.74
AFC Hornchurch, draw no bet30%fair 3.32
Blackpool, draw no bet70%fair 1.43

Double chance

AFC Hornchurch or draw46%2.02
Blackpool or draw77%1.21
AFC Hornchurch or Blackpool (no draw)77%1.22

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals82%fair 1.22
Over 2.5 goals61%1.57
Over 3.5 goals39%fair 2.57
Over 4.5 goals21%fair 4.72
Under 1.5 goals18%fair 5.65
Under 2.5 goals39%2.31
Under 3.5 goals61%fair 1.64

BTTS

Both teams to score61%1.55
Not both teams to score39%2.30

Halves

First-half goal76%fair 1.32
Over 1.5 first-half goals42%fair 2.40
Second-half goal82%fair 1.21

Team goals

AFC Hornchurch to score70%fair 1.42
Blackpool to score86%fair 1.17
AFC Hornchurch clean sheet14%fair 7.04
Blackpool clean sheet30%fair 3.36
AFC Hornchurch to win to nil13%fair 7.63
Blackpool to win to nil27%fair 3.65

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-110%
1-29.8%
0-18.3%
0-28.1%
1-36.3%
2-16.1%

Half-time / full-time

Blackpool / Blackpool34.6%
Draw / Blackpool16.7%
AFC Hornchurch / AFC Hornchurch13.3%
Draw / Draw12.1%
Draw / AFC Hornchurch8.4%

Questions about AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool

AFC Hornchurch or Blackpool: which side does the model back?

The model gives Blackpool the best chance at 54%, with the draw at 23%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What scoreline is most likely in AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 61%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool?

The BTTS yes line is rated 61%. AFC Hornchurch find the net in 70% of simulated matches and Blackpool in 86%.

What time does AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool kick off?

AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool starts at 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, AFC Hornchurch v BlackpoolBlackpool to win, 54%
1.74Bet