EFL Trophy
BlackpoolHomeLWLWD
3:2Half-time 1:1
Aston Villa U21AwayLL761410
Blackpool winDrawAston Villa U21 win
BlackpoolHomeLWLWDAston Villa U21AwayLL- Kick-off Tue 27 Oct
- Expected goals
- 4.01 2.96 : 1.05
- Favourite
- 76% Blackpool
- Over 2.5 goals
- 75% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 61% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Blackpool vs Aston Villa U21
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.25 | 5.45 | 8.60 | 1.27 | 3.14 | 1.55 | 2.27 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Blackpool to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Blackpool price at 1.25, 1xBet lead the draw at 5.45 and 1xBet have Aston Villa U21 longest at 8.60.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.9%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.27 (1xBet) and under 2.5 3.14 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.55 (1xBet) and no 2.27 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
76%
Our prediction
Blackpool to win
Double chanceBlackpool or draw
89% chance1.02
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
75% chance1.27
BTTSBoth teams to score
61% chance1.55
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
91% chance1.10fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
8% chance12.05fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Blackpool, full-time Blackpool
54% chance1.86fair
Blackpool vs Aston Villa U21 odds movement
Blackpool win1.25-0.08
Draw5.45-0.75
Aston Villa U21 win8.60unchanged
Over 2.5 goals1.27-0.06
Under 2.5 goals3.14-0.46
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Blackpool vs Aston Villa U21 prediction
Blackpool vs Aston Villa U21 prediction, who wins and at what price
Blackpool are the clear favourite in the Blackpool vs Aston Villa U21 prediction, rated 76% to win this EFL Trophy match on Tuesday, 27 October 2026. Aston Villa U21 sit at 11% and the draw at 14%.
Blackpool are expected to score 2.96 and Aston Villa U21 1.05, so the total line is 4.01 goals; over 2.5 lands at 75% and BTTS at 61%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Blackpool to win is the main selection, rated 76%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.25. That price implies 80%, 5 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Blackpool or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 89% chance, priced 1.02.
With the draw down at 14%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Blackpool vs Aston Villa U21 over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 91%, over 2.5 at 75%, over 3.5 at 57%; under 2.5 is 25% and under 3.5 is 43%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 75%, best priced 1.27 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 61%. Blackpool score in 95% of simulations against a 5% clean sheet for Aston Villa U21; Aston Villa U21 score in 65% while Blackpool shut them out 35% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.
The most likely scoreline is 2-1 at 8.3%, followed by 3-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.9%).
With the top scoreline at 8.3%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Blackpool vs Aston Villa U21; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Blackpool, full-time Blackpool leads at 54%. A goal before the break is rated 84%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Blackpool vs Aston Villa U21
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Blackpool vs Aston Villa U21, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Blackpool to win76%1.25
Draw14%5.45
Aston Villa U21 to win11%8.60
Blackpool, draw no bet87%fair 1.15
Aston Villa U21, draw no bet13%fair 7.87
Double chance
Blackpool or draw89%1.02
Aston Villa U21 or draw25%3.34
Blackpool or Aston Villa U21 (no draw)87%1.09
Goals
Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 2.5 goals75%1.27
Over 3.5 goals57%fair 1.76
Over 4.5 goals37%fair 2.69
Under 1.5 goals9%fair 10.87
Under 2.5 goals25%3.14
Under 3.5 goals43%fair 2.31
BTTS
Both teams to score61%1.55
Not both teams to score39%2.27
Halves
First-half goal84%fair 1.20
Over 1.5 first-half goals54%fair 1.86
Second-half goal89%fair 1.12
Team goals
Blackpool to score95%fair 1.05
Aston Villa U21 to score65%fair 1.54
Blackpool clean sheet35%fair 2.86
Aston Villa U21 clean sheet5%fair 19.23
Blackpool to win to nil32%fair 3.11
Aston Villa U21 to win to nil5%fair 20.83
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-18.3%
3-18.2%
2-07.9%
3-07.8%
4-16.1%
4-05.8%
Half-time / full-time
Blackpool / Blackpool53.8%
Draw / Blackpool18%
Draw / Draw6.9%
Aston Villa U21 / Aston Villa U215.7%
Aston Villa U21 / Blackpool4%
Questions about Blackpool vs Aston Villa U21
Who will win Blackpool vs Aston Villa U21?
The model gives Blackpool the best chance at 76%, with the draw at 14%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What is the correct score prediction for Blackpool vs Aston Villa U21?
2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 8.3%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 75%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Blackpool vs Aston Villa U21 both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 61%. Blackpool find the net in 95% of simulated matches and Aston Villa U21 in 65%.
When do Blackpool play Aston Villa U21?
Blackpool vs Aston Villa U21 starts at 19:00 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.