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Primera Division Apertura - 21 Thursday, 5 November 2026 FT
Municipal LimeñoHomeLLWDD
1:1Half-time 0:0
Fuerte San FranciscoAwayDWLLL
622216
Municipal Limeño winDrawFuerte San Francisco win
Kick-off
Thu 5 Nov
Expected goals
2.95
2.02 : 0.93
Favourite
62%
Municipal Limeño
Over 2.5 goals
56%
model chance
Both teams to score
53%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Municipal Limeño vs Fuerte San Francisco odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.473.845.941.692.011.781.89Bet
22Bet1.743.874.191.812.001.821.93Bet
BC.Game1.703.654.201.741.991.701.96Bet
Betwinner1.823.783.941.812.001.871.87Bet
Melbet1.823.783.941.812.001.871.87Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Municipal Limeño to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Municipal Limeño vs Fuerte San Francisco are 1.82 for Municipal Limeño at Betwinner, 3.87 for the draw at 22Bet and 5.94 for Fuerte San Francisco at 1xBet.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 102.3%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.81 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.01 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.87 (Betwinner) and no 1.96 (BC.Game).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

62%

Our prediction

Municipal Limeño to win
BankerLostExpected goals 2.02 : 0.93+13.3% against the best price
Double chanceMunicipal Limeño or draw
84% chance1.23Won
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
56% chance1.81Lost
BTTSBoth teams to score
53% chance1.87Won
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
79% chance1.26fairWon
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
11% chance9.35fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Municipal Limeño, full-time Municipal Limeño
41% chance2.46fairLost

Municipal Limeño v Fuerte San Francisco head to head

1Municipal Limeño wins
0Draws
0Fuerte San Francisco wins
  • 13 Sep 26Fuerte San Francisco0:2Municipal Limeño

1 meeting since coverage began, 2 goals in total: Municipal Limeño scored 2, Fuerte San Francisco scored 0.

Municipal Limeño vs Fuerte San Francisco odds movement

Municipal Limeño win1.82+0.24
Draw3.87+0.25
Fuerte San Francisco win5.94+0.92
Over 2.5 goals1.81+0.05
Under 2.5 goals2.01+0.09

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 3 Nov, 23:45 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Municipal Limeño vs Fuerte San Francisco prediction

Our Municipal Limeño vs Fuerte San Francisco prediction and pick

The Municipal Limeño vs Fuerte San Francisco prediction leans to Municipal Limeño: 62% against 16% for Fuerte San Francisco, with 22% left for the draw, in the Primera Division on Thursday, 5 November 2026.

Municipal Limeño are expected to score 2.02 and Fuerte San Francisco 0.93, so the total line is 2.95 goals; over 2.5 lands at 56% and BTTS at 53%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is municipal Limeño to win at 62%. The best price in our comparison is 1.82 at Betwinner, which implies 55%, so the model sits 7 points above the market.

That gap is worth 13.3% on a flat stake, which makes the pick a value bet as well as a probable outcome.

Municipal Limeño or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 84% chance, priced 1.23.

The draw sits at only 22%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Over the last 5 matches Municipal Limeño stand at 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Fuerte San Francisco show 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats in 5.

Municipal Limeño vs Fuerte San Francisco goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

On the goal lines Municipal Limeño vs Fuerte San Francisco reads 79% for over 1.5, 56% for over 2.5 and 34% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 44%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 56%; 22Bet pay 1.81.

BTTS yes stands at 53%. Municipal Limeño score in 87% of simulations against a 13% clean sheet for Fuerte San Francisco; Fuerte San Francisco score in 61% while Municipal Limeño shut them out 40% of the time.

Correct score: 2-0 leads at 10.7%, then 1-0 at 10.6% and 2-1 at 9.9%.

With the top scoreline at 10.7%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Municipal Limeño vs Fuerte San Francisco; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Municipal Limeño, full-time Municipal Limeño leads at 41%. A goal before the break is rated 74%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Municipal Limeño vs Fuerte San Francisco

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Municipal Limeño vs Fuerte San Francisco, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Municipal Limeño to win62%1.82
Draw22%3.87
Fuerte San Francisco to win16%5.94
Municipal Limeño, draw no bet80%fair 1.26
Fuerte San Francisco, draw no bet20%fair 4.90

Double chance

Municipal Limeño or draw84%1.23
Fuerte San Francisco or draw38%2.33
Municipal Limeño or Fuerte San Francisco (no draw)78%1.24

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals79%fair 1.26
Over 2.5 goals56%1.81
Over 3.5 goals34%fair 2.92
Over 4.5 goals18%fair 5.68
Under 1.5 goals21%fair 4.83
Under 2.5 goals44%2.01
Under 3.5 goals66%fair 1.52

BTTS

Both teams to score53%1.87
Not both teams to score47%1.96

Halves

First-half goal74%fair 1.36
Over 1.5 first-half goals38%fair 2.61
Second-half goal80%fair 1.25

Team goals

Municipal Limeño to score87%fair 1.15
Fuerte San Francisco to score61%fair 1.65
Municipal Limeño clean sheet40%fair 2.53
Fuerte San Francisco clean sheet13%fair 7.52
Municipal Limeño to win to nil36%fair 2.75
Fuerte San Francisco to win to nil12%fair 8.20

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-010.7%
1-010.6%
2-19.9%
1-19.8%
3-07.2%
3-16.7%

Half-time / full-time

Municipal Limeño / Municipal Limeño40.6%
Draw / Municipal Limeño18.9%
Draw / Draw12.3%
Fuerte San Francisco / Fuerte San Francisco9%
Draw / Fuerte San Francisco6.4%

Questions about Municipal Limeño vs Fuerte San Francisco

Who is favourite in Municipal Limeño vs Fuerte San Francisco?

The model gives Municipal Limeño the best chance at 62%, with the draw at 22%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What is the correct score prediction for Municipal Limeño vs Fuerte San Francisco?

2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 10.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 56% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Municipal Limeño vs Fuerte San Francisco?

The BTTS yes line is rated 53%. Municipal Limeño find the net in 87% of simulated matches and Fuerte San Francisco in 61%.

When is Municipal Limeño vs Fuerte San Francisco and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 01:00 UTC on Thursday, 5 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Municipal Limeño v Fuerte San FranciscoMunicipal Limeño to win, 62%
1.82Bet