Municipal LimeñoHomeLLWDD
Fuerte San FranciscoAwayDWLLL
Municipal LimeñoHomeLLWDD
Fuerte San FranciscoAwayDWLLL| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.47 | 3.84 | 5.94 | 1.69 | 2.01 | 1.78 | 1.89 | Bet | |
| 1.74 | 3.87 | 4.19 | 1.81 | 2.00 | 1.82 | 1.93 | Bet | |
| 1.70 | 3.65 | 4.20 | 1.74 | 1.99 | 1.70 | 1.96 | Bet | |
| 1.82 | 3.78 | 3.94 | 1.81 | 2.00 | 1.87 | 1.87 | Bet | |
| 1.82 | 3.78 | 3.94 | 1.81 | 2.00 | 1.87 | 1.87 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
The top 1X2 prices for Municipal Limeño vs Fuerte San Francisco are 1.82 for Municipal Limeño at Betwinner, 3.87 for the draw at 22Bet and 5.94 for Fuerte San Francisco at 1xBet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 102.3%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.81 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.01 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.87 (Betwinner) and no 1.96 (BC.Game).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
Our prediction
1 meeting since coverage began, 2 goals in total: Municipal Limeño scored 2, Fuerte San Francisco scored 0.
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 3 Nov, 23:45 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
The Municipal Limeño vs Fuerte San Francisco prediction leans to Municipal Limeño: 62% against 16% for Fuerte San Francisco, with 22% left for the draw, in the Primera Division on Thursday, 5 November 2026.
Municipal Limeño are expected to score 2.02 and Fuerte San Francisco 0.93, so the total line is 2.95 goals; over 2.5 lands at 56% and BTTS at 53%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is municipal Limeño to win at 62%. The best price in our comparison is 1.82 at Betwinner, which implies 55%, so the model sits 7 points above the market.
That gap is worth 13.3% on a flat stake, which makes the pick a value bet as well as a probable outcome.
Municipal Limeño or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 84% chance, priced 1.23.
The draw sits at only 22%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Over the last 5 matches Municipal Limeño stand at 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Fuerte San Francisco show 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats in 5.
On the goal lines Municipal Limeño vs Fuerte San Francisco reads 79% for over 1.5, 56% for over 2.5 and 34% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 44%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 56%; 22Bet pay 1.81.
BTTS yes stands at 53%. Municipal Limeño score in 87% of simulations against a 13% clean sheet for Fuerte San Francisco; Fuerte San Francisco score in 61% while Municipal Limeño shut them out 40% of the time.
Correct score: 2-0 leads at 10.7%, then 1-0 at 10.6% and 2-1 at 9.9%.
With the top scoreline at 10.7%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Municipal Limeño vs Fuerte San Francisco; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Municipal Limeño, full-time Municipal Limeño leads at 41%. A goal before the break is rated 74%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Municipal Limeño vs Fuerte San Francisco, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives Municipal Limeño the best chance at 62%, with the draw at 22%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 10.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 56% backs the same picture with less variance.
The BTTS yes line is rated 53%. Municipal Limeño find the net in 87% of simulated matches and Fuerte San Francisco in 61%.
Kick-off is 01:00 UTC on Thursday, 5 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.