Primera Division
FirpoHomeWDDLD
Thu 5 Nov
AlianzaAwayDLWDL542521
Firpo winDrawAlianza win
FirpoHomeWDDLDAlianzaAwayDLWDL- Kick-off Thu 5 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.51 1.61 : 0.90
- Favourite
- 54% Firpo
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 47% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Firpo vs Alianza betting odds by bookmaker
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
Bookmakers have not opened Firpo vs Alianza yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.
54%
Our prediction
Firpo to win
1.85fair
Double chanceFirpo or draw
79% chance1.27fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
54% chance1.84fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
53% chance1.90fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
72% chance1.40fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
13% chance7.63fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Firpo, full-time Firpo
33% chance3.00fair
Firpo v Alianza head to head
0Firpo wins
1Draw
0Alianza wins
- 4 Oct 26Alianza2:2Firpo
1 meeting since coverage began, 4 goals in total: Firpo scored 2, Alianza scored 2.
Firpo vs Alianza prediction
Our Firpo vs Alianza prediction and pick
The Firpo vs Alianza prediction leans to Firpo: 54% against 21% for Alianza, with 25% left for the draw, in the Primera Division on Thursday, 5 November 2026.
Expected goals are 1.61 for Firpo and 0.90 for Alianza, a total of 2.51, which puts over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 47%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is firpo to win at 54%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.
For a safer line, firpo or draw covers 79% of outcomes.
Over the last 5 matches Firpo stand at 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Alianza show 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Firpo vs Alianza
Under 2.5 goals is rated 54% and under 3.5 76%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 72% and over 2.5 at 46%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 54%.
Both teams to score is 47%: Firpo find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Alianza in 59%. Firpo keep a clean sheet 41% of the time and Alianza 20%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 13.1%, followed by 1-1 (11.8%) and 2-0 (10.5%).
With the top scoreline at 13.1%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Firpo vs Alianza; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Firpo, full-time Firpo is the top combination at 33%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 68%.
Every market for Firpo vs Alianza
The grid built from 1.61 and 0.90 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Firpo to win54%fair 1.85
Draw25%fair 4.02
Alianza to win21%fair 4.76
Firpo, draw no bet72%fair 1.39
Alianza, draw no bet28%fair 3.57
Double chance
Firpo or draw79%fair 1.27
Alianza or draw46%fair 2.18
Firpo or Alianza (no draw)75%fair 1.33
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals72%fair 1.40
Over 2.5 goals46%fair 2.19
Over 3.5 goals25%fair 4.08
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 9.09
Under 1.5 goals29%fair 3.51
Under 2.5 goals54%fair 1.84
Under 3.5 goals76%fair 1.32
BTTS
Both teams to score47%fair 2.11
Not both teams to score53%fair 1.90
Halves
First-half goal68%fair 1.48
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.21
Second-half goal75%fair 1.34
Team goals
Firpo to score80%fair 1.25
Alianza to score59%fair 1.69
Firpo clean sheet41%fair 2.46
Alianza clean sheet20%fair 5.00
Firpo to win to nil37%fair 2.67
Alianza to win to nil18%fair 5.43
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-013.1%
1-111.8%
2-010.5%
2-19.5%
0-08.1%
0-17.3%
Half-time / full-time
Firpo / Firpo33.3%
Draw / Firpo18.3%
Draw / Draw15.9%
Alianza / Alianza11.5%
Draw / Alianza8.3%
Questions about Firpo vs Alianza
Who is favourite in Firpo vs Alianza?
The model gives Firpo the best chance at 54%, with the draw at 25%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What is the correct score prediction for Firpo vs Alianza?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13.1%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 46% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Firpo vs Alianza?
The BTTS yes line is rated 47%. Firpo find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Alianza in 59%.
When do Firpo play Alianza?
Firpo vs Alianza starts at 01:00 UTC on Thursday, 5 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.