Primera Division
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Sun 8 Nov
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Alianza winDrawÁguila win
AlianzaHomeDLWDLÁguilaAwayWWDWW- Kick-off Sun 8 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.89 1.36 : 1.53
- Favourite
- 41% Águila
- Over 2.5 goals
- 55% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 58% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Alianza vs Águila betting odds by bookmaker
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
75%
Our prediction
Alianza or Águila (no draw)
1.33fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
55% chance1.82fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
58% chance1.72fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
78% chance1.28fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.62fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Águila, full-time Águila
25% chance4.02fair
First halfFirst-half goal
73% chance1.37fair
Alianza v Águila head to head
0Alianza wins
1Draw
0Águila wins
- 6 Sep 26Águila2:2Alianza
1 meeting since coverage began, 4 goals in total: Alianza scored 2, Águila scored 2.
Alianza vs Águila prediction
Alianza vs Águila prediction, who wins and at what price
Nothing separates the sides in the Alianza vs Águila prediction for Sunday, 8 November 2026: 34% home, 25% draw and 41% away in the Primera Division. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
Expected goals are 1.36 for Alianza and 1.53 for Águila, a total of 2.89, which puts over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 58%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Our main pick is alianza or Águila (no draw) at 75%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
Over the last 5 matches Alianza stand at 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Águila show 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats in 5.
How many goals in Alianza vs Águila? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Under 2.5 goals is rated 45% and under 3.5 67%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 78% and over 2.5 at 55%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Both teams to score is 58%: Alianza find the net in 74% of simulated matches and Águila in 78%. Alianza keep a clean sheet 22% of the time and Águila 26%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 58%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.6%, followed by 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-1 (8.5%).
With the top scoreline at 11.6%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Alianza vs Águila; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Águila, full-time Águila is the top combination at 25%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 73%.
Every market for Alianza vs Águila
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Alianza vs Águila, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Alianza to win34%fair 2.94
Draw25%fair 4.03
Águila to win41%fair 2.42
Alianza, draw no bet45%fair 2.21
Águila, draw no bet55%fair 1.82
Double chance
Alianza or draw59%fair 1.70
Águila or draw66%fair 1.51
Alianza or Águila (no draw)75%fair 1.33
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals78%fair 1.28
Over 2.5 goals55%fair 1.82
Over 3.5 goals33%fair 3.05
Over 4.5 goals17%fair 5.99
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.63
Under 2.5 goals45%fair 2.22
Under 3.5 goals67%fair 1.49
BTTS
Both teams to score58%fair 1.72
Not both teams to score42%fair 2.39
Halves
First-half goal73%fair 1.37
Over 1.5 first-half goals37%fair 2.68
Second-half goal80%fair 1.26
Team goals
Alianza to score74%fair 1.35
Águila to score78%fair 1.28
Alianza clean sheet22%fair 4.61
Águila clean sheet26%fair 3.89
Alianza to win to nil20%fair 5.03
Águila to win to nil24%fair 4.24
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.6%
1-28.8%
0-18.5%
2-17.9%
1-07.6%
0-26.5%
Half-time / full-time
Águila / Águila24.9%
Alianza / Alianza19.8%
Draw / Draw14.2%
Draw / Águila14%
Draw / Alianza11.8%
Questions about Alianza vs Águila
Who is favourite in Alianza vs Águila?
The model gives Águila the best chance at 41%, with the draw at 25%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What scoreline is most likely in Alianza vs Águila?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.6%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 55%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Alianza vs Águila?
The BTTS yes line is rated 58%. Alianza find the net in 74% of simulated matches and Águila in 78%.
What time does Alianza vs Águila kick off?
Alianza vs Águila starts at 01:30 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.