China Super League
Beijing GuoanHomeWWWWD
1:0Half-time 0:0
Qingdao Youth IslandAwayLLD691714
Beijing Guoan winDrawQingdao Youth Island win
Beijing GuoanHomeWWWWDQingdao Youth IslandAwayLLD- Kick-off Sun 18 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.54 2.51 : 1.03
- Favourite
- 69% Beijing Guoan
- Over 2.5 goals
- 68% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 60% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.43 | 5.11 | 6.62 | 1.38 | 2.62 | 1.57 | 2.26 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Beijing Guoan to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island prediction: Beijing Guoan 1.43 (1xBet), draw 5.11 (1xBet), Qingdao Youth Island 6.62 (1xBet).
The best-price payout across the three results is 95.6%, several points better than any single book offers here.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.38 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.62 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.57 (1xBet) and no 2.26 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
69%
Our prediction
Beijing Guoan to win
Double chanceBeijing Guoan or draw
87% chance1.12
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
68% chance1.38
BTTSBoth teams to score
60% chance1.57
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
87% chance1.15fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
9% chance10.64fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Beijing Guoan, full-time Beijing Guoan
47% chance2.11fair
Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island prediction
Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island prediction and best bet
Beijing Guoan host Qingdao Youth Island on Sunday, 18 October 2026 in the China Super League, and the model has Beijing Guoan at 69%, the draw at 17% and Qingdao Youth Island at 14%: that is the Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 2.51 for Beijing Guoan and 1.03 for Qingdao Youth Island, a total of 3.54, which puts over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams to score at 60%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island is beijing Guoan to win, a 69% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.43 at 1xBet, which implies 70%, so the model sits 1 points below the market.
For a safer line, beijing Guoan or draw covers 87% of outcomes at 1.12.
With the draw down at 17%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Beijing Guoan average 2.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last 5, Qingdao Youth Island 0.3 and 2.0 across 3.
Goals forecast for Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island reads 87% for over 1.5, 68% for over 2.5 and 47% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 32%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 68%, best priced 1.38 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 60%, built from Beijing Guoan scoring in 92% of runs and Qingdao Youth Island in 64%; clean sheets come at 36% for Beijing Guoan and 8% for Qingdao Youth Island.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.
The most likely scoreline is 2-1 at 9.4%, followed by 2-0 (9.1%) and 3-1 (7.9%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.4% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Beijing Guoan, full-time Beijing Guoan leads at 47%. A goal before the break is rated 80%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island
The grid built from 2.51 and 1.03 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Beijing Guoan to win69%1.43
Draw17%5.11
Qingdao Youth Island to win14%6.62
Beijing Guoan, draw no bet84%fair 1.19
Qingdao Youth Island, draw no bet16%fair 6.13
Double chance
Beijing Guoan or draw87%1.12
Qingdao Youth Island or draw31%2.88
Beijing Guoan or Qingdao Youth Island (no draw)83%1.18
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals87%fair 1.15
Over 2.5 goals68%1.38
Over 3.5 goals47%fair 2.12
Over 4.5 goals28%fair 3.55
Under 1.5 goals13%fair 7.58
Under 2.5 goals32%2.62
Under 3.5 goals53%fair 1.89
BTTS
Both teams to score60%1.57
Not both teams to score40%2.26
Halves
First-half goal80%fair 1.25
Over 1.5 first-half goals47%fair 2.11
Second-half goal86%fair 1.17
Team goals
Beijing Guoan to score92%fair 1.09
Qingdao Youth Island to score64%fair 1.56
Beijing Guoan clean sheet36%fair 2.80
Qingdao Youth Island clean sheet8%fair 12.35
Beijing Guoan to win to nil33%fair 3.05
Qingdao Youth Island to win to nil8%fair 13.33
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-19.4%
2-09.1%
3-17.9%
3-07.6%
1-17.5%
1-07.3%
Half-time / full-time
Beijing Guoan / Beijing Guoan47.3%
Draw / Beijing Guoan18.5%
Draw / Draw9%
Qingdao Youth Island / Qingdao Youth Island7.5%
Draw / Qingdao Youth Island4.9%
Questions about Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island
Who is favourite in Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island?
The model gives Beijing Guoan the best chance at 69%, with the draw at 17%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island correct score: what does the model say?
2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 68%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island?
The BTTS yes line is rated 60%. Beijing Guoan find the net in 92% of simulated matches and Qingdao Youth Island in 64%.
When do Beijing Guoan play Qingdao Youth Island?
Kick-off is 11:00 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.