Skip to the predictions
Live 14 UTC
China Super League Round 28 Saturday, 17 October 2026 FT
Shandong LunengHomeDWW
5:0Half-time 3:0
Hangzhou GreentownAwayWLLW
591922
Shandong Luneng winDrawHangzhou Greentown win
Kick-off
Sat 17 Oct
Expected goals
4.20
2.60 : 1.60
Favourite
59%
Shandong Luneng
Over 2.5 goals
78%
model chance
Both teams to score
75%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.704.664.081.213.581.283.34Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

Ad

Shandong Luneng to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown prediction: Shandong Luneng 1.70 (1xBet), draw 4.66 (1xBet), Hangzhou Greentown 4.08 (1xBet).

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 95.4%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.21 (1xBet) and under 2.5 3.58 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.28 (1xBet) and no 3.34 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

59%

Our prediction

Shandong Luneng to win
StrongExpected goals 2.60 : 1.60-0.6% against the best price
Double chanceShandong Luneng or Hangzhou Greentown (no draw)
81% chance1.20
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
78% chance1.21
BTTSBoth teams to score
75% chance1.28
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
92% chance1.08fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
8% chance12.35fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Shandong Luneng, full-time Shandong Luneng
39% chance2.54fair

Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown prediction

Our Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown prediction and pick

Shandong Luneng are a narrow favourite in the Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown prediction, rated 59% to win this China Super League match on Saturday, 17 October 2026. Hangzhou Greentown sit at 22% and the draw at 19%.

Expected goals are 2.60 for Shandong Luneng and 1.60 for Hangzhou Greentown, a total of 4.20, which puts over 2.5 goals at 78% and both teams to score at 75%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown is shandong Luneng to win, a 59% chance. At 1.70 with 1xBet the market prices it at 59%, against 59% from the model.

For a safer line, shandong Luneng or Hangzhou Greentown (no draw) covers 81% of outcomes at 1.20.

The draw sits at only 19%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Shandong Luneng average 3.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded across their last 3, Hangzhou Greentown 2.5 and 3.0 across 4.

Goals forecast for Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown reads 92% for over 1.5, 78% for over 2.5 and 60% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 22%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 78%; 1xBet pay 1.21.

The chance of both teams scoring is 75%, built from Shandong Luneng scoring in 93% of runs and Hangzhou Greentown in 80%; clean sheets come at 20% for Shandong Luneng and 7% for Hangzhou Greentown.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 75%.

The most likely scoreline is 2-1 at 8.1%, followed by 3-1 (7%) and 2-2 (6.5%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Shandong Luneng, full-time Shandong Luneng leads at 39%. A goal before the break is rated 85%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Shandong Luneng to win59%1.70
Draw19%4.66
Hangzhou Greentown to win22%4.08
Shandong Luneng, draw no bet72%fair 1.38
Hangzhou Greentown, draw no bet28%fair 3.61

Double chance

Shandong Luneng or draw78%1.25
Hangzhou Greentown or draw42%2.18
Shandong Luneng or Hangzhou Greentown (no draw)81%1.20

Goals

Over 0.5 goals99%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals92%fair 1.08
Over 2.5 goals78%1.21
Over 3.5 goals60%fair 1.66
Over 4.5 goals41%fair 2.44
Under 1.5 goals8%fair 12.82
Under 2.5 goals22%3.58
Under 3.5 goals40%fair 2.53

BTTS

Both teams to score75%1.28
Not both teams to score25%3.34

Halves

First-half goal85%fair 1.18
Over 1.5 first-half goals56%fair 1.78
Second-half goal90%fair 1.11

Team goals

Shandong Luneng to score93%fair 1.08
Hangzhou Greentown to score80%fair 1.25
Shandong Luneng clean sheet20%fair 4.95
Hangzhou Greentown clean sheet7%fair 13.51
Shandong Luneng to win to nil19%fair 5.38
Hangzhou Greentown to win to nil7%fair 14.71

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-18.1%
3-17%
2-26.5%
1-16.2%
3-25.6%
2-05.1%

Half-time / full-time

Shandong Luneng / Shandong Luneng39.3%
Draw / Shandong Luneng15.3%
Hangzhou Greentown / Hangzhou Greentown13.2%
Draw / Draw8.3%
Draw / Hangzhou Greentown7.1%

Questions about Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown

Who is favourite in Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown?

The model gives Shandong Luneng the best chance at 59%, with the draw at 19%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown correct score: what does the model say?

2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 8.1%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 78%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown?

The BTTS yes line is rated 75%. Shandong Luneng find the net in 93% of simulated matches and Hangzhou Greentown in 80%.

When is Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 12:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Shandong Luneng v Hangzhou GreentownShandong Luneng to win, 59%
1.70Bet