China Super League
SHANGHAI SIPGHomeWDWWL
3:0Half-time 0:0
Chengdu Better CityAwayLLL472528
SHANGHAI SIPG winDrawChengdu Better City win
SHANGHAI SIPGHomeWDWWLChengdu Better CityAwayLLL- Kick-off Sun 18 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.32 1.88 : 1.44
- Favourite
- 47% SHANGHAI SIPG
- Over 2.5 goals
- 64% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 67% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.03 | 3.99 | 3.28 | 1.42 | 2.49 | 1.42 | 2.66 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
SHANGHAI SIPG to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best SHANGHAI SIPG price at 2.03, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.99 and 1xBet have Chengdu Better City longest at 3.28.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 95.4%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.42 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.49 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.42 (1xBet) and no 2.66 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
76%
Our prediction
SHANGHAI SIPG or Chengdu Better City (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
64% chance1.42
BTTSBoth teams to score
67% chance1.42
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
84% chance1.18fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance10.20fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time SHANGHAI SIPG, full-time SHANGHAI SIPG
30% chance3.34fair
First halfFirst-half goal
78% chance1.29fair
SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City prediction
SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City prediction and best bet
SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City prediction for the China Super League on Sunday, 18 October 2026: the model makes SHANGHAI SIPG marginally ahead at 47%, with the draw at 25% and Chengdu Better City at 28%.
Expected goals are 1.88 for SHANGHAI SIPG and 1.44 for Chengdu Better City, a total of 3.32, which puts over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams to score at 67%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
SHANGHAI SIPG or Chengdu Better City (no draw) is the main selection, rated 76%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.25. That price implies 80%, 5 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City.
SHANGHAI SIPG average 2.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across their last 5, Chengdu Better City 0.0 and 1.7 across 3.
SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 84%, over 2.5 at 64%, over 3.5 at 42%; under 2.5 is 36% and under 3.5 is 58%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 64%; 1xBet pay 1.42.
The chance of both teams scoring is 67%, built from SHANGHAI SIPG scoring in 85% of runs and Chengdu Better City in 76%; clean sheets come at 24% for SHANGHAI SIPG and 15% for Chengdu Better City.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 67%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 9.8%, then 2-1 at 9.2% and 1-2 at 7%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.8% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time SHANGHAI SIPG, full-time SHANGHAI SIPG leads at 30%. A goal before the break is rated 78%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 47% / 25% / 28% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
SHANGHAI SIPG to win47%2.03
Draw25%3.99
Chengdu Better City to win28%3.28
SHANGHAI SIPG, draw no bet62%fair 1.60
Chengdu Better City, draw no bet38%fair 2.66
Double chance
SHANGHAI SIPG or draw72%1.35
Chengdu Better City or draw53%1.80
SHANGHAI SIPG or Chengdu Better City (no draw)76%1.25
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals84%fair 1.18
Over 2.5 goals64%1.42
Over 3.5 goals42%fair 2.36
Over 4.5 goals24%fair 4.15
Under 1.5 goals16%fair 6.41
Under 2.5 goals36%2.49
Under 3.5 goals58%fair 1.74
BTTS
Both teams to score67%1.42
Not both teams to score33%2.66
Halves
First-half goal78%fair 1.29
Over 1.5 first-half goals44%fair 2.27
Second-half goal84%fair 1.19
Team goals
SHANGHAI SIPG to score85%fair 1.18
Chengdu Better City to score76%fair 1.31
SHANGHAI SIPG clean sheet24%fair 4.22
Chengdu Better City clean sheet15%fair 6.54
SHANGHAI SIPG to win to nil22%fair 4.59
Chengdu Better City to win to nil14%fair 7.14
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-19.8%
2-19.2%
1-27%
1-06.8%
2-26.6%
2-06.4%
Half-time / full-time
SHANGHAI SIPG / SHANGHAI SIPG29.9%
Chengdu Better City / Chengdu Better City17.3%
Draw / SHANGHAI SIPG14.8%
Draw / Draw11.8%
Draw / Chengdu Better City10%
Questions about SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City
Who is favourite in SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City?
The model gives SHANGHAI SIPG the best chance at 47%, with the draw at 25%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 64% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City?
The BTTS yes line is rated 67%. SHANGHAI SIPG find the net in 85% of simulated matches and Chengdu Better City in 76%.
When is SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City and where is the result shown?
SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City starts at 12:00 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.