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Live 10 UTC
China Super League Round 29 Saturday, 24 October 2026 FT
Henan JianyeHomeDLL
3:4Half-time 3:0
Beijing GuoanAwayWWWWD
302545
Henan Jianye winDrawBeijing Guoan win
Kick-off
Sat 24 Oct
Expected goals
3.25
1.45 : 1.80
Favourite
45%
Beijing Guoan
Over 2.5 goals
63%
model chance
Both teams to score
65%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Henan Jianye vs Beijing Guoan odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet3.193.732.151.492.521.422.66Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Beijing Guoan to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Henan Jianye vs Beijing Guoan prediction: Henan Jianye 3.19 (1xBet), draw 3.73 (1xBet), Beijing Guoan 2.15 (1xBet).

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 95.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.49 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.52 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.42 (1xBet) and no 2.66 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

75%

Our prediction

Henan Jianye or Beijing Guoan (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.45 : 1.80-4.3% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
63% chance1.49
BTTSBoth teams to score
65% chance1.42
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
84% chance1.20fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance9.90fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Beijing Guoan, full-time Beijing Guoan
28% chance3.52fair
First halfFirst-half goal
77% chance1.30fair

Henan Jianye vs Beijing Guoan prediction

Henan Jianye vs Beijing Guoan prediction, who wins and at what price

Beijing Guoan are marginally ahead in the Henan Jianye vs Beijing Guoan prediction, rated 45% to win this China Super League match on Saturday, 24 October 2026. Henan Jianye sit at 30% and the draw at 25%.

The goal expectancy is 3.25 in total, split 1.45 to Henan Jianye and 1.80 to Beijing Guoan. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 63% and both teams to score 65%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Henan Jianye or Beijing Guoan (no draw) is the main selection, rated 75%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.28. That price implies 78%, 3 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Henan Jianye average 1.7 goals scored and 2.3 conceded across their last 3, Beijing Guoan 2.2 and 1.0 across 5.

Goals forecast for Henan Jianye vs Beijing Guoan with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines Henan Jianye vs Beijing Guoan reads 84% for over 1.5, 63% for over 2.5 and 41% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 37%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 63%, best priced 1.49 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 65%, built from Henan Jianye scoring in 77% of runs and Beijing Guoan in 84%; clean sheets come at 17% for Henan Jianye and 24% for Beijing Guoan.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 65%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Henan Jianye vs Beijing Guoan: 1-1 (10.1%), 1-2 (9.1%) and 2-1 (7.3%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Beijing Guoan, full-time Beijing Guoan leads at 28%. A goal before the break is rated 77%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Henan Jianye vs Beijing Guoan

The grid built from 1.45 and 1.80 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Henan Jianye to win30%3.19
Draw25%3.73
Beijing Guoan to win45%2.15
Henan Jianye, draw no bet40%fair 2.48
Beijing Guoan, draw no bet60%fair 1.68

Double chance

Henan Jianye or draw55%1.72
Beijing Guoan or draw70%1.36
Henan Jianye or Beijing Guoan (no draw)75%1.28

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals84%fair 1.20
Over 2.5 goals63%1.49
Over 3.5 goals41%fair 2.44
Over 4.5 goals23%fair 4.39
Under 1.5 goals17%fair 6.06
Under 2.5 goals37%2.52
Under 3.5 goals59%fair 1.69

BTTS

Both teams to score65%1.42
Not both teams to score35%2.66

Halves

First-half goal77%fair 1.30
Over 1.5 first-half goals43%fair 2.33
Second-half goal83%fair 1.20

Team goals

Henan Jianye to score77%fair 1.31
Beijing Guoan to score84%fair 1.20
Henan Jianye clean sheet17%fair 6.06
Beijing Guoan clean sheet24%fair 4.26
Henan Jianye to win to nil15%fair 6.58
Beijing Guoan to win to nil22%fair 4.63

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-110.1%
1-29.1%
2-17.3%
0-17%
2-26.6%
0-26.3%

Half-time / full-time

Beijing Guoan / Beijing Guoan28.4%
Henan Jianye / Henan Jianye18.3%
Draw / Beijing Guoan14.4%
Draw / Draw12.2%
Draw / Henan Jianye10.5%

Questions about Henan Jianye vs Beijing Guoan

Who is favourite in Henan Jianye vs Beijing Guoan?

The model gives Beijing Guoan the best chance at 45%, with the draw at 25%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

Henan Jianye vs Beijing Guoan correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.1%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 63%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Henan Jianye vs Beijing Guoan?

The BTTS yes line is rated 65%. Henan Jianye find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Beijing Guoan in 84%.

When do Henan Jianye play Beijing Guoan?

Kick-off is 07:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Henan Jianye v Beijing GuoanHenan Jianye or Beijing Guoan (no draw), 75%
1.28Bet