Henan JianyeHomeDLL
Beijing GuoanAwayWWWWD
Henan JianyeHomeDLL
Beijing GuoanAwayWWWWD| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.19 | 3.73 | 2.15 | 1.49 | 2.52 | 1.42 | 2.66 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Best 1X2 lines behind the Henan Jianye vs Beijing Guoan prediction: Henan Jianye 3.19 (1xBet), draw 3.73 (1xBet), Beijing Guoan 2.15 (1xBet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 95.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.49 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.52 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.42 (1xBet) and no 2.66 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
Our prediction
Beijing Guoan are marginally ahead in the Henan Jianye vs Beijing Guoan prediction, rated 45% to win this China Super League match on Saturday, 24 October 2026. Henan Jianye sit at 30% and the draw at 25%.
The goal expectancy is 3.25 in total, split 1.45 to Henan Jianye and 1.80 to Beijing Guoan. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 63% and both teams to score 65%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Henan Jianye or Beijing Guoan (no draw) is the main selection, rated 75%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.28. That price implies 78%, 3 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Henan Jianye average 1.7 goals scored and 2.3 conceded across their last 3, Beijing Guoan 2.2 and 1.0 across 5.
On the goal lines Henan Jianye vs Beijing Guoan reads 84% for over 1.5, 63% for over 2.5 and 41% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 37%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 63%, best priced 1.49 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 65%, built from Henan Jianye scoring in 77% of runs and Beijing Guoan in 84%; clean sheets come at 17% for Henan Jianye and 24% for Beijing Guoan.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 65%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Henan Jianye vs Beijing Guoan: 1-1 (10.1%), 1-2 (9.1%) and 2-1 (7.3%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Beijing Guoan, full-time Beijing Guoan leads at 28%. A goal before the break is rated 77%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
The grid built from 1.45 and 1.80 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives Beijing Guoan the best chance at 45%, with the draw at 25%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.1%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 63%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
The BTTS yes line is rated 65%. Henan Jianye find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Beijing Guoan in 84%.
Kick-off is 07:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.