China Super League
Yunnan YukunHomeLDD
1:1Half-time 1:0
Chongqing Tongliang LongAwayDDW552322
Yunnan Yukun winDrawChongqing Tongliang Long win
Yunnan YukunHomeLDDChongqing Tongliang LongAwayDDW- Kick-off Sat 17 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.14 1.95 : 1.19
- Favourite
- 55% Yunnan Yukun
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 62% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.73 | 4.20 | 4.30 | 1.58 | 2.41 | 1.53 | 2.34 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Yunnan Yukun to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long prediction: Yunnan Yukun 1.73 (1xBet), draw 4.20 (1xBet), Chongqing Tongliang Long 4.30 (1xBet).
The best-price payout across the three results is 95.4%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.58 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.41 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.53 (1xBet) and no 2.34 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
55%
Our prediction
Yunnan Yukun to win
Double chanceYunnan Yukun or draw
78% chance1.23
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
60% chance1.58
BTTSBoth teams to score
62% chance1.53
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
82% chance1.22fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance10.00fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Yunnan Yukun, full-time Yunnan Yukun
35% chance2.87fair
Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long prediction
Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long prediction and best bet
Yunnan Yukun host Chongqing Tongliang Long on Saturday, 17 October 2026 in the China Super League, and the model has Yunnan Yukun at 55%, the draw at 23% and Chongqing Tongliang Long at 22%: that is the Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 1.95 for Yunnan Yukun and 1.19 for Chongqing Tongliang Long, a total of 3.14, which puts over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 62%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Our main pick is yunnan Yukun to win at 55%. At 1.73 with 1xBet the market prices it at 58%, against 55% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Yunnan Yukun or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 78% chance, priced 1.23.
Yunnan Yukun average 1.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded across their last 3, Chongqing Tongliang Long 1.3 and 0.7 across 3.
Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Under 2.5 goals is rated 40% and under 3.5 62%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 82% and over 2.5 at 60%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 60%, best priced 1.58 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 62%, built from Yunnan Yukun scoring in 86% of runs and Chongqing Tongliang Long in 70%; clean sheets come at 30% for Yunnan Yukun and 14% for Chongqing Tongliang Long.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (8.4%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 10% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Yunnan Yukun, full-time Yunnan Yukun is the top combination at 35%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 76%.
Every market for Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Yunnan Yukun to win55%1.73
Draw23%4.20
Chongqing Tongliang Long to win22%4.30
Yunnan Yukun, draw no bet71%fair 1.40
Chongqing Tongliang Long, draw no bet29%fair 3.50
Double chance
Yunnan Yukun or draw78%1.23
Chongqing Tongliang Long or draw45%2.12
Yunnan Yukun or Chongqing Tongliang Long (no draw)77%1.23
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals82%fair 1.22
Over 2.5 goals60%1.58
Over 3.5 goals38%fair 2.60
Over 4.5 goals21%fair 4.78
Under 1.5 goals18%fair 5.59
Under 2.5 goals40%2.41
Under 3.5 goals62%fair 1.62
BTTS
Both teams to score62%1.53
Not both teams to score39%2.34
Halves
First-half goal76%fair 1.32
Over 1.5 first-half goals41%fair 2.42
Second-half goal82%fair 1.22
Team goals
Yunnan Yukun to score86%fair 1.17
Chongqing Tongliang Long to score70%fair 1.44
Yunnan Yukun clean sheet30%fair 3.29
Chongqing Tongliang Long clean sheet14%fair 7.04
Yunnan Yukun to win to nil28%fair 3.57
Chongqing Tongliang Long to win to nil13%fair 7.63
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110%
2-19.8%
1-08.4%
2-08.2%
3-16.4%
1-26%
Half-time / full-time
Yunnan Yukun / Yunnan Yukun34.9%
Draw / Yunnan Yukun16.8%
Chongqing Tongliang Long / Chongqing Tongliang Long13%
Draw / Draw12.1%
Draw / Chongqing Tongliang Long8.2%
Questions about Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
Who is favourite in Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
The model gives Yunnan Yukun the best chance at 55%, with the draw at 23%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 60%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
The BTTS yes line is rated 62%. Yunnan Yukun find the net in 86% of simulated matches and Chongqing Tongliang Long in 70%.
When do Yunnan Yukun play Chongqing Tongliang Long?
Kick-off is 11:35 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.