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Live 31 UTC
China Super League Round 29 Saturday, 24 October 2026 FT
Qingdao Youth IslandHomeLLD
1:1Half-time 1:0
Yunnan YukunAwayLDD
402535
Qingdao Youth Island winDrawYunnan Yukun win
Kick-off
Sat 24 Oct
Expected goals
3.32
1.72 : 1.60
Favourite
40%
Qingdao Youth Island
Over 2.5 goals
64%
model chance
Both teams to score
67%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Best odds for Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.513.612.691.512.461.412.69Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Qingdao Youth Island to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Qingdao Youth Island price at 2.51, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.61 and 1xBet have Yunnan Yukun longest at 2.69.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 95.5%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.51 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.46 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.41 (1xBet) and no 2.69 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

75%

Our prediction

Qingdao Youth Island or Yunnan Yukun (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.72 : 1.60-2.8% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
64% chance1.51
BTTSBoth teams to score
67% chance1.41
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
84% chance1.18fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance10.10fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Qingdao Youth Island, full-time Qingdao Youth Island
25% chance4.00fair
First halfFirst-half goal
78% chance1.29fair

Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun prediction

Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun prediction and best bet

Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun prediction for the China Super League on Saturday, 24 October 2026: the model calls it close, Qingdao Youth Island 40%, draw 25%, Yunnan Yukun 35%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.

Expected goals are 1.72 for Qingdao Youth Island and 1.60 for Yunnan Yukun, a total of 3.32, which puts over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams to score at 67%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Qingdao Youth Island or Yunnan Yukun (no draw) is the main selection, rated 75%. At 1.30 with 1xBet the market prices it at 77%, against 75% from the model.

Qingdao Youth Island average 0.3 goals scored and 2.0 conceded across their last 3, Yunnan Yukun 1.0 and 3.0 across 3.

Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 84%, over 2.5 at 64%, over 3.5 at 42%; under 2.5 is 36% and under 3.5 is 58%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 64%, best priced 1.51 at 1xBet.

BTTS yes stands at 67%. Qingdao Youth Island score in 82% of simulations against a 18% clean sheet for Yunnan Yukun; Yunnan Yukun score in 80% while Qingdao Youth Island shut them out 20% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 67%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 9.9%, then 2-1 at 8.6% and 1-2 at 8%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Qingdao Youth Island, full-time Qingdao Youth Island is the top combination at 25%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 78%.

All markets, Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Qingdao Youth Island to win40%2.51
Draw25%3.61
Yunnan Yukun to win35%2.69
Qingdao Youth Island, draw no bet54%fair 1.87
Yunnan Yukun, draw no bet47%fair 2.15

Double chance

Qingdao Youth Island or draw65%1.48
Yunnan Yukun or draw60%1.54
Qingdao Youth Island or Yunnan Yukun (no draw)75%1.30

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals84%fair 1.18
Over 2.5 goals64%1.51
Over 3.5 goals42%fair 2.36
Over 4.5 goals24%fair 4.15
Under 1.5 goals16%fair 6.41
Under 2.5 goals36%2.46
Under 3.5 goals58%fair 1.74

BTTS

Both teams to score67%1.41
Not both teams to score33%2.69

Halves

First-half goal78%fair 1.29
Over 1.5 first-half goals44%fair 2.27
Second-half goal84%fair 1.19

Team goals

Qingdao Youth Island to score82%fair 1.22
Yunnan Yukun to score80%fair 1.25
Qingdao Youth Island clean sheet20%fair 4.95
Yunnan Yukun clean sheet18%fair 5.59
Qingdao Youth Island to win to nil19%fair 5.38
Yunnan Yukun to win to nil17%fair 6.06

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-19.9%
2-18.6%
1-28%
2-26.8%
1-06.2%
0-15.8%

Half-time / full-time

Qingdao Youth Island / Qingdao Youth Island25%
Yunnan Yukun / Yunnan Yukun21.5%
Draw / Qingdao Youth Island13.1%
Draw / Draw12%
Draw / Yunnan Yukun11.7%

Questions about Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun

Who will win Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun?

The model gives Qingdao Youth Island the best chance at 40%, with the draw at 25%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What is the correct score prediction for Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 64% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun?

The BTTS yes line is rated 67%. Qingdao Youth Island find the net in 82% of simulated matches and Yunnan Yukun in 80%.

What time does Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun kick off?

Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun starts at 07:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Qingdao Youth Island v Yunnan YukunQingdao Youth Island or Yunnan Yukun (no draw), 75%
1.30Bet